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Old 06-11-2007, 22:22   #21 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 23 Oct 2006
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Default Re: Serie Beeeeeee, i love you
We have a bet for this weekend!!!!

Ascoli tb Frosinone @ 1.90

Stake = £3.75
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Old 10-11-2007, 19:08   #22 (permalink)
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Default Re: Serie Beeeeeee, i love you
Quote:
Originally Posted by barrhead73 View Post
We have a bet for this weekend!!!!

Ascoli tb Frosinone @ 1.90

Stake = £3.75
Well done !!
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Old 12-11-2007, 08:56   #23 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Ascoli win 2-0

Bank now £300.38
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Old 13-11-2007, 08:25   #24 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Looks like this system could be out of action for a while with all the goings on in Italy.
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Old 20-11-2007, 15:01   #25 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Serie B looks set to return this weekend.

Here's hoping we can keep on the winning track on this despite my sudden hatred of all things Italian!

Avellino tb Spezia @2.05 (Bet365)
Stake £3.00
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Old 26-11-2007, 08:59   #26 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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90th minute equaliser by Spezia. Hopefully the last minute goals will even out over the season.

Bank now £297.38
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Old 26-11-2007, 10:33   #27 (permalink)
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Nothing for this weekend.
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Old 05-12-2007, 08:37   #28 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Nothing for this weekend.

I have developed a second system for Serie B since the current system is a bit slow moving.

The current system looks only at games involving teams where the home team is five places or less behind the the away team. Then the system looks at other factors such as Last 6 games, Last 4 Homes etc etc etc to determine whether they qualify.

But if i look just at the games which meet the criteria of the 5 places rule but do not get selected for the main system then there is a good strike rate of draws.

2004/05 21/63 draws
2005/06 24/60 draws
2006/07 13/32 draws
2007/08 8/19 draws

A total of 66/174 (37.9%)

Therefore i will run with a draws system for the non qualifiers. The system is called Serie B - Plan B (good eh?). Fixed stake of £2 per bet.

And we have one for this weekend,

Mantova v Lecce £2 stake, odds 2.8 (B365)
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Old 11-12-2007, 12:03   #29 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Mantova win and therefore we lose.

5 games for this weekend that dont meet the 1st criteria so therefore fall into Serie B Plan B

Date Selection Odds Stake
12-DecAscoli2.92
12-DecLecce2.92
12-DecPicenza2.92
12-DecRimini2.92
12-DecTreviso2.92


Need minimum 2 draws to return a profit.
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Old 17-12-2007, 08:38   #30 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Ascoli match was cancelled therefore 1 draw out of 4 this weekend for a small loss.


Start Bank 200.00
Current Bank 195.80
Profit- 4.20
Growth-2.1%
Wins1
Losses4
Bets5
Strike Rate20.0%
Staked10
Returned-2.2
Yield-122%
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Old 19-12-2007, 10:03   #31 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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No games meet the criteria again this weekend therefore three games go into Serie B Plan B

Date Selection Stake Odds
22-DecCesena DRAW£ 2.00 2.8
22-DecGrosseto DRAW£ 2.00 2.9
22-DecModena DRAW£ 2.00 2.8
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Old 08-01-2008, 08:38   #32 (permalink)
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Three games for Plan B, none for the main plan

All stakes are £2

Selection---------------Odds
Avellino2.87
Frosinone2.8
Rimini2.87
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Old 13-01-2008, 10:40   #33 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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2 draws out of 3 for a good weekend.

Results of Serie B Plan B so far,

Start Bank 200.00
Current Bank 200.74
Profit 0.74
Growth0.4%
Wins4
Losses7
Bets11
Strike Rate36.4%
Staked22
Returned22.74
Yield3%


Results woluld have been much better if i had started this from the beginning of the season
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Old 17-01-2008, 08:44   #34 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Three more games for Plan B this weekend. The main system remains quiet.

Selection Odds
Messina 2.9
Pisa 2.7
Triestina 2.75

Each stake is £2
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Last edited by barrhead73; 17-01-2008 at 08:46.
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Old 20-01-2008, 20:49   #35 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Another good weekend for Plan B with 2 draws out of 3.

plan B results,

Start Bank 200.00
Current Bank 205.64
Profit 5.64
Growth2.8%
Wins6
Losses8
Bets14
Strike Rate42.9%
Staked28
Returned33.64
Yield20%
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Old 22-01-2008, 13:42   #36 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Two more for Plan B this weekend. Still quiet on the original Plan.

Grosseto v Modena DRAW 2.87
Piacenza v Ascoli DRAW 2.8

Both are £2 stake.
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Old 28-01-2008, 08:14   #37 (permalink)
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Another 90th minute goal costs us this weekend with Piacenza winning 2-1

Updated results for Plan B

Start Bank 200.00
Current Bank 201.64
Profit 1.64
Growth0.8%
Wins6
Losses10
Bets16
Strike Rate37.5%
Staked32
Returned33.64
Yield5%
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Old 28-01-2008, 08:19   #38 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Nothing for this weekends matches for either Plan
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Old 06-02-2008, 08:11   #39 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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3 more games for Plan B this weekend

-----------------------------------Stake-------Odds (B365)
09-FebAvellino DRAW £ 2.00 2.8
09-FebMessina DRAW £ 2.00 2.75
09-FebVicenza DRAW £ 2.00 2.9
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Old 11-02-2008, 08:37   #40 (permalink)
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Another 90th minute winner causes this to be 0/3 this weekend.

Update later.
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