Scoring the Euros

[Hands Solo]

Something that I came up with after taking a look at the four Euro results and games so far. Most of these encounters have been very cagey and goals aren't in an abundance, with mostly the class of the favourites shining through. The angle is correct scores, and here is how it works:

If a favourite is below 2.00 to win, back them to win 2-0
If a favourite is above 2.00 to win, back them to win 1-0

This will only apply to group stages for now, with the possibility of ignoring third round games that are dead rubbers. Each bet will be for 10pts and the match odds we are going to use are the Betfair odds, as they are the most efficient.

Hopefully I haven't clued onto this too late and we can still return a reasonable profit.

Bet 1 - France (1.87 fav) v Romania
France 2-0 @ 8.2 Betfair

Bet 2 - Italy (2.5 fav) v Netherlands
Italy 1-0 @ 7 Betfair

[tommy_de1st]

GL with your system

[tommy_de1st]

What do you say to start picking up overs coz all games ended under 2.5

[Hands Solo]

I hope not, as that would kill the premise behind this system!

Bet 3 - Spain (1.75) v Russia
Spain 2-0 @ 7.50 Sportsbet

Bet 4 - Sweden (2.66) v Greece
Sweden 1-0 @ 7 Sportsbet

[stewartd14]

Originally Posted by tommy_de1st

What do you say to start picking up overs coz all games ended under 2.5

Holland beat Italy 3-0

[nicko]

Originally Posted by Crouch Potato

I hope not, as that would kill the premise behind this system!

Bet 3 - Spain (1.75) v Russia
Spain 2-0 @ 7.50 Sportsbet

Bet 4 - Sweden (2.66) v Greece
Sweden 1-0 @ 7 Sportsbet

Will follow the results just out of curiosity, and keep fingers crossed for your picks. On the other hand it looks more like roulette to me, hard to call system as what happened in Groups A and B was pure coincidence. If any game looks Over 2,5 to me it is Spain - Russia, when in Sweden - Greece this 1-0 could be in favour of the Greeks. In both games though 1-1 is on the cards, never happened so far?
Good luck CP

[Hands Solo]

Yeah starting to feel that it was just a bit of coincidence, but the logic appealed to me. Will do 2nd round of games and if no success by then I'll close this out.

Bet 5 - Portugal 1.84 v Czech Republic
Portugal 2-0 @ 8 Sportsbet

Bet 6 - Swizterland 2.36 v Turkey
Switzerland 1-0 @ 7.2 Betfair

[Hands Solo]

And still no luck, so we are down 60pts from the beginning. A few more days and if nothing then we'll write this one off as a stupid exploration.

Bet 7 - Poland (2.36) v Austria
Poland 1-0 @ 7.6 Betfair

Bet 8 - Germany (1.77 ) v Croatia
Germany 2-0 @ 8 Betfair

[Hands Solo]

Not the result that was wanted in the Poland game, and with that I'm closing this sytem out. Was an okay enough theory but not to be.

Final P/L: -80pts @ -100% yield