Rugby Quarb System - Page 2 - The Punters Lounge

Wumpking · 12-09-2007, 22:49

Fiji just about hang on to beat Japan 35 - 31

Quote:

bet you were getting nervous during the Fijian game wumpking!!

Wasn't able to watch the game and didn't know the result until having only just watched the highlights. Phew! I hope in future there aren't that many 1.10 shots that end up being that close.

System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£995.10
Total Staked	£147.00
Number of Bets	3
Winning Bets	2
Losing Bets	1
Strike Rate	66.7%
Yield	-3.3%
Profit / Loss	-£4.90

Despite a losing start the system is nearly back in the black.

Wumpking · 13-09-2007, 18:05

Assessment of the South Africa v England game as follows:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Worst Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Selection
17	14/09/2007	RWC 2007	South Africa	1.15	1.08	1.11	1.17	No Bet

Whilst South Africa potentially qualify as price < 1.50, it is a no bet as no value can be obtained.

However, current price on Betfair is 1.18 which is close to the minimum value price of 1.19 (taking into account commision) required for a bet. In this respect, I have put up a back bet on South Africa on Betfair with a stake of £45.00 and have requested odds of 1.19 and will monitor to see if this is matched before kick off tomorrow.

Wumpking · 13-09-2007, 21:12

South Africa bet was matched in full! Bet therefore is South Africa - £45.00 win @ 1.19 with Betfair -

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Wumpking · 14-09-2007, 21:08

South Africa beat England 36 - 0

System back in the black and showing a small profit!

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£1,003.22
Total Staked	£192.00
Number of Bets	4
Winning Bets	3
Losing Bets	1
Strike Rate	75.0%
Yield	1.7%
Profit / Loss	£3.22

Wumpking · 14-09-2007, 21:17

Assessment of the matches on the 15th Sept:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Worst Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Selection
18	15/09/2007	RWC 2007	New Zealand	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.05	No Bet
19	15/09/2007	RWC 2007	Wales	5.50	3.50	3.96	4.16	No Bet
20	15/09/2007	RWC 2007	Ireland	1.01	1.00	1.00	1.05	No Bet
21	15/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Bath	1.69	1.53	1.61	1.69	No Bet
22	15/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Harlequins	2.25	2.10	2.18	2.28	No Bet
23	15/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Wasps	2.25	2.00	2.12	2.23	No Bet

No bets on any games as no qualifiers.

F. · 14-09-2007, 22:42

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wumpking

South Africa beat England 36 - 0

Just be careful on the celebration, remember this forum is full of English guys !!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wumpking

System back in the black and showing a small profit!

The way it should be !!

F.

Wumpking · 15-09-2007, 15:18

Cheers F.

Two matches for tomorrow assessed (will do rest later although none likely to qualify):

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Worst Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Selection
24	16/09/2007	RWC 2007	Samoa	1.11	1.04	1.07	1.13	No Bet
25	16/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Newcastle	1.53	1.33	1.46	1.53	Newcastle

Current price on Betfair for Samoa is 1.15 which is the minimum price required (taking into account commission). Therefore, bet is Samoa - £47.00 @ 1.15 with Betfair -

.

Other selection is Newcastle - £33.00 @ 1.53 with SkyBet -

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Wumpking · 15-09-2007, 21:33

Remaining matches for tomorrow assessed:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Worst Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Selection
26	16/09/2007	RWC 2007	Fiji	2.05	1.67	1.91	2.01	No Bet
27	16/09/2007	RWC 2007	France	1.01	1.00	1.00	1.05	No Bet
28	16/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Bristol	2.10	1.72	1.88	1.97	No Bet
29	16/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Leeds	6.00	4.00	4.74	4.98	No Bet

No bets on any games as no qualifiers.

Wumpking · 16-09-2007, 17:36

Samoa lose to Tonga

Again very galling as Samoa have won the last 9 matches between the two and have not lost to Tonga since June 2000.

Newcastle beat Sale by 33 - 12

System once again back in the red:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£973.71
Total Staked	£272.00
Number of Bets	6
Winning Bets	4
Losing Bets	2
Strike Rate	66.7%
Yield	-9.7%
Profit / Loss	-£26.29

Wumpking · 17-09-2007, 20:14

Assessment of tomorrow's match:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Worst Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Selection
30	18/09/2007	RWC 2007	Scotland	1.03	1.01	1.02	1.07	No Bet

No bet as no value.

Wumpking · 19-09-2007, 12:55

Assessment of the next 3 matches:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Worst Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Selection
31	19/09/2007	RWC 2007	Italy	1.02	1.00	1.00	1.05	No Bet
32	20/09/2007	RWC 2007	Wales	1.02	1.00	1.00	1.05	No Bet
33	21/09/2007	RWC 2007	France	1.20	1.12	1.16	1.22	No Bet

No bets as no value. Possible chance that France's price might drift on Betfair from its current 1.20 to 1.24 which is the minimum price required (taking into account commission) so will monitor price up to Friday's kick off.

Wumpking · 20-09-2007, 22:39

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wumpking

Possible chance that France's price might drift on Betfair from its current 1.20 to 1.24 which is the minimum price required (taking into account commission) so will monitor price up to Friday's kick off.

France price suprisingly drifted to 1.24 earlier today and stake was matched. Bet therefore is France - £42.00 win @ 1.24 with Betfair -

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Wumpking · 21-09-2007, 16:47

A busy weekend ahead with 17 games between now and Sunday. Assessment of the remainder of tonight's games and some of tomorrows:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Worst Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Selection
34	21/09/2007	Magners League	Cardiff Blues	1.32	1.16	1.24	1.30	Cardiff Blues
35	21/09/2007	Magners League	Connacht	1.66	1.53	1.58	1.66	No Bet
36	21/09/2007	Magners League	Ulster	1.61	1.44	1.51	1.59	No Bet
37	22/09/2007	RWC 2007	England	1.19	1.10	1.12	1.18	England
38	22/09/2007	RWC 2007	South Africa	1.01	1.00	1.00	1.05	No Bet

Current price on Betfair for Cardiff Blues is 1.33 which is the minimum price required (taking into account commission). Therefore, bet is Cardiff Blues - £39.00 @ 1.33 with Betfair -

.

Other selection is England - £54.00 @ 1.19 with BetChronicle -

.

Wumpking · 21-09-2007, 22:19

Cardiff Blues beat Glasgow 32 - 16

France beat Ireland 25 -3

System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£995.52
Total Staked	£353.00
Number of Bets	8
Winning Bets

13-09-2007, 21:12	#23 (permalink)
Wumpking Seasoned Punter Join Date: 09 Jan 2007 Posts: 464	Re: Rugby Quarb System South Africa bet was matched in full! Bet therefore is South Africa - £45.00 win @ 1.19 with Betfair - .