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Old 11-10-2008, 17:36   #1101 (permalink)
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Join Date: 23 Jun 2006
Location: South Coast
Age: 34
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

3 winners, two losers today. Position currently good. Low Goals Under 2.5 system : -

Starting Bank100.00
Current Stake10.00
Bets so far29
Winners17
Losers12
Strike Rate59%
Average price1.84
Total Stakes290.00
Total Returns317.03
Yield %9.3%
Profit/-Loss27.03
ROCE %27.0%

Last edited by Fast Eddie; 11-10-2008 at 17:38.
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Old 11-10-2008, 18:24   #1102 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Quote:
Four picks & all for the NORMS

Bradford @ 2.2
Wycombe @ 2.14
Forest Green Rovers @ 2.54

Sunday

Stevenage B @ 2.18
So we need S'Boro to beat E'Boro tomorrow
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Old 11-10-2008, 22:42   #1103 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

..... another mixed bag today, although there were only two selections which qualified for the 3-0 system this weekend.Dagenham duly obliged last night, but dreary Shrewsbury Town could not overcome the likes of Port Vale to give us the full house.So latest position with a strike rate lower than it usually is for this time of year:-

Total Staked
170.00
Avg Odds
Avg Stake
Total Returned
181.13
1.85
10.00
Yield
1.065
6.55%
Winners
10
Losers
7
Strike Rate
58.82%
Current Bank
111.13
Profit / Loss
11.13


Back to a full league program next week
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Old 12-10-2008, 15:00   #1104 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

12-Oct-08AltrinchamOxford United10
12-Oct-08Rushden & DiamondsTorquay United10

Todays pics on the LOw Goals Under 2.5 System
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Old 12-10-2008, 17:10   #1105 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

I completely missed Stevenage Borough today as was out so will just take from Clarky's odds for when I ever manage to total things up.
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Old 13-10-2008, 10:08   #1106 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Quote:
Four picks & all for the NORMS

Bradford @ 2.2
Wycombe @ 2.14
Forest Green Rovers @ 2.54

Sunday

Stevenage B @ 2.18
Not a good weekend

NORMS

Total Staked90.00Ave Stake
Total Returned37.5810.00
Yield0.418-58.25%
Winners2
Losers7
Strike Rate22%
Current Bank47.58
Profit / Loss-52.43BANK
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Old 13-10-2008, 10:20   #1107 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Tough start Clarky especially compared to last season when the early results were phenomenal.
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Last edited by barrhead73; 13-10-2008 at 10:20.
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Old 13-10-2008, 10:32   #1108 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Yeah it is Barrhead & when you look at the Conference every team seems to beat everyone... hopefully this will level out after this weekend...
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Old 13-10-2008, 17:59   #1109 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

One for tonight in League 2 for the Low Goals Under 2.5 System

13-Oct-08Notts CountyBrentford001.75
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Old 13-10-2008, 21:54   #1110 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

..... OK down to business once again for this weekend's league program. The 3-0 system has highlighted the following teams as prospective wins:-

Aston V.
Bradford C.
Exeter C.
Rotherham U.
Lazio (a)

Will be back later in the week with the odds for these.
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Old 14-10-2008, 10:22   #1111 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Winner last night, current position for the Low Goals Under 2.5 system

Starting Bank100.00
Current Stake10.00
Bets so far32
Winners19
Losers13
Strike Rate59%
Average price 1.84
Total Stakes320.00
Total Returns 353.25
Yield %10.4%
Profit/-Loss 33.25
ROCE %33.3%
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Old 14-10-2008, 11:27   #1112 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Morning all, a few weekend picks

NORMS
Cambridge (Thurs) @ 2.2
Chelsea @ 1.7
West Ham (Sun) @ 3.0
Blackpool @ 3.2
M K Dons @ 2.14
Rochdale @ 2.66
Villarreal @ 2.66
Osasuna (Sun) @ 2.70
Udinese (Sun) @ 2.70

+2's
Port Vale (Sun) @ 3.0

Now that the 3 Euro leagues have played enough games i've decided to include them as well. Will put the odds in later in the week....
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Last edited by clarky101; 16-10-2008 at 17:18. Reason: Adding CUFC
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Old 14-10-2008, 17:10   #1113 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

I wonder if I should include some of the European Leagues in my Low Goals Under 2.5 System. Are the prices good on the elikes of betfair for the european leagues for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market? I'll go and have a look how many games most of the leagues have played so far.
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Old 14-10-2008, 19:08   #1114 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Quote:
Originally Posted by lorenzo. View Post
Bet nr 15:
LAY Bolton against West Ham @ 5,4 to win 10

Bet nr 16:
LAY Burnley against Reading @ 6,4 to win 10

Bet nr 17:
LAY Sporting Gijon against Mallorca @ 6,6 to win 10

Bet nr 18:
LAY Lecce against Lazio @ 10,5 to win 10
Sorry for beeing so late, but haven't been around. A very bad week that was and I decided to end it coz it seems to be too risky in the end.

So finally it was:

Starting bank: 200

Total bets: 18
Winning bets: 16
Losing bets: 2
Strike rate: 88,88%

Current bank: 266,25
Profit/Loss: 66,25

Good luck to all others.
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Old 15-10-2008, 10:53   #1115 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Lorenzo, good work securing a profit so far and well done for knowing when to walk away from something that you don't feel comfortable with. Will you still be following your syatem (i.e. paper trailing it)? Perhaps setting your risk on each bet to the same amount rather than a fixed win amount.
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Old 15-10-2008, 11:56   #1116 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

..... its always dangerous when laying at such odds. and in particular to be trying to win 10 points a time. 100 points lost in two poor results on the last occasion.Why don't you just paper trial it for a while Lorenzo and see how it performs long term.You never really gave it much chance as you were in from the word go.Give it the 'wait and see' approach.
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Old 16-10-2008, 17:04   #1117 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

..... brought this down from up above, now with odds:-


..... OK down to business once again for this weekend's league program. The 3-0 system has highlighted the following teams as prospective wins:-

Aston V. 1.90
Bradford C. 1.98
Exeter C. 1.78
Rotherham U. 1.65
Lazio (a) 2.30

Hope these will do the biz..
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Old 17-10-2008, 16:52   #1118 (permalink)
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