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Old 01-10-2008, 13:19   #1061 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 23 Oct 2006
Location: Scotland
Age: 35
Posts: 648
Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

One game for my EPL Unders this weekend (which has been pretty poor so far).

WBA v Fulham UNDER 2.5 Goals
Stake £1
Odds 1.9 (Bet365)
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Old 01-10-2008, 16:12   #1062 (permalink)
Jonah Punter
 
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Join Date: 17 Apr 2006
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Quote:
One +2 tonnight

Leicester @ 2.54






After a winner last night for the +2's

+2's table

Total Staked30.00Ave Stake
Total Returned41.7610.00
Yield1.39239.18%
Winners2
Losers1
Strike Rate67%
Current Bank111.76
Profit / Loss11.76BANK



And to the weekend picks

+2's
Arsenal @ 1.65
Leicester @ 2.46
Leeds @ 2.48
Wolves @ 2.6

NORMS

Man Utd @ 1.65
Walsall @ 2.44

Odds to be put up laters
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Last edited by clarky101; 03-10-2008 at 09:55. Reason: odds going in
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Old 01-10-2008, 19:30   #1063 (permalink)
Value Hunter
 
Join Date: 23 Jun 2006
Location: South Coast
Age: 34
Posts: 87
Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Barrhead73, what's your criteria for selection of the Unders?

Last night the MW sheets spat out five selections in the Championship games for the "Low Goals Under 2.5" system
30-Sep-08 Cardiff City Coventry City
30-Sep-08 Crystal Palace Charlton Athletic
30-Sep-08 Doncaster Rovers Sheffield United
30-Sep-08 Ipswich Town Barnsley
30-Sep-08 Southampton Norwich City

3 won and 2 lost. Here is the position so far:

Starting Bank 100.00
Current Stake 10.00
Bets so far 14
Winners 8
Losers 6
Strike Rate 57%
Average price 1.83
Total Stakes 140.00
Total Returns 146.85
Yield % 4.9%
Profit/-Loss 6.85
ROCE % 6.8%

Most of the time I'll be using Betfair prices and subtracting 4% commission as in real life situation (only paper trailing at the mo).

Plenty more selection for this weeken I'll put them up on Friday.
adios Ed

Last edited by Fast Eddie; 01-10-2008 at 19:31.
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Old 01-10-2008, 21:42   #1064 (permalink)
Wizard Elect
 
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Location: Chester-le-Street.Co.Durham.UK.
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

..... why don't you copy and paste your above table from your spreadsheet Ed.Will save work in the long run and it looks good too.Easy to do, no problem at all, anyone can do this.
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Old 01-10-2008, 22:07   #1065 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 23 Oct 2006
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Eddie

Criteria is EPL games selected as draws become Under 2.5 goals selections.

It worked ok last year but has got off to a slow start this season.
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Old 02-10-2008, 06:29   #1066 (permalink)
Value Hunter
 
Join Date: 23 Jun 2006
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Quote:
Originally Posted by merlin View Post
..... why don't you copy and paste your above table from your spreadsheet Ed.Will save work in the long run and it looks good too.Easy to do, no problem at all, anyone can do this.
Merlin, I do copy and paste from excel but mine doesn't come out as a nice white table like other people's, maybe I'm missing something out, perhaps in the formatting in the spreadsheet, I don't know. I ran a search on here and google but nothing came up so it's probably just one of those strange Microsoft things, or should I be doing some sort of formatting when I construct a post on here?
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Old 02-10-2008, 06:43   #1067 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
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Join Date: 12 Mar 2007
Location: Slovenia
Posts: 85
Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Fast Eddie, Are you using Firefox? If so, then that's the problem. Try using Internet Explorer or download a free IE plugin for Firefox...
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Old 02-10-2008, 10:12   #1068 (permalink)
Value Hunter
 
Join Date: 23 Jun 2006
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Excellent, thank you very much robkor. I am using Firefox, so I'll go and have a look for that plugin.

Last edited by Fast Eddie; 02-10-2008 at 17:36.
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Old 02-10-2008, 15:41   #1069 (permalink)
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

..... just a straight forward copy and paste Ed, nothing else. I tried it with the spreadsheet you sent, and it worked fine with IE.You will need to outline some of your boxes in the sheet to make it look better and perhaps click on centre to get it into the middle of the boxes.
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Old 02-10-2008, 17:41   #1070 (permalink)
Value Hunter
 
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Yippee, found a plugin which enables you to switch the rendering engine and use IE while still in Firefox (of course I could have just opened up Punter's Lounge in IE but this is cooler) and it all works, touch wood. Thanks for your help. Here's the add on for FF if anyone's interested https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/1419

Overall Statistics from matchday 1 to the present
All 5 English Leagues
Total Matches504
Total Goals13582.69per game
Total Predicted Goals12482.48per game
Home Wins22144%
Drawn Matches12825%
Away Wins15531%
MW Prediction Accuracy
Overall 1X2 Prediction %38.3%193from504
Home Prediction %47.0%108from230
Draw Prediction %29.5%36from122
Away Prediction %32.2%49from152
O/U 2.5 Prediction %49.2%248from504
Over 2.5 Prediction %49.1%106from216
Under 2.5 Prediction %49.3%142from288
Correct Score Pred %10.3%52from504

Last edited by Fast Eddie; 02-10-2008 at 17:53.
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Old 03-10-2008, 09:39   #1071 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
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Join Date: 09 Aug 2008
Location: estonia
Posts: 73
Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

Bet nr 15:
LAY Bolton against West Ham @ 5,4 to win 10

Bet nr 16:
LAY Burnley against Reading @ 6,4 to win 10

Bet nr 17:
LAY Sporting Gijon against Mallorca @ 6,6 to win 10

Bet nr 18:
LAY Lecce against Lazio @ 10,5 to win 10
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Old 03-10-2008, 16:50   #1072 (permalink)
Wizard Elect
 
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

..... Is this a paper trial Lorenzo? Otherwise the liabilities total some 249 points, a bit rich for some quarters.
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Old 04-10-2008, 07:08   #1073 (permalink)
Value Hunter
 
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

These are the selections of a goal or less per game for the Low Goal Under 2.5 system for today:
---------------------------------------------------------Predicted Scoreline -------------Betfair Price before commision
04-Oct-08BarnsleyDoncaster Rovers101.67
04-Oct-08Birmingham CityQueen's Park Rangers101.85
04-Oct-08BlackpoolCardiff City011.66
04-Oct-08Norwich CityDerby County011.76
04-Oct-08Sheffield UnitedBristol City101.82
04-Oct-08Hereford UnitedWalsall011.87
04-Oct-08MillwallMilton Keynes Dons101.86
04-Oct-08HistonSalisbury City101.96

Last edited by Fast Eddie; 04-10-2008 at 13:08.
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Old 04-10-2008, 11:25   #1074 (permalink)
This time nxt yr Rodders!
 
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Default Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

I'm coming back to the fold to try something I mentioned previously:

Providing Clarky & Merlin don't mind I'm going to take their 2 & 3 goal systems which have been so successful and use them on the asian handicap.

On betfair there are 3 options for each AH market so will just use the closest one to evens for each favoured team:

So first game will be Leeds 12 O'C