Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

[barrhead73]

Originally Posted by barrhead73

Two selections for the EPL Unders this weekend. Both kick-off at the same time so both are 1 unit each.

Birmingham v Man City UNDER 2.5 @ 1.65
Derby v Fulham UNDER 2.5 @ 1.67

Both fall flat.

One for this weekend,

Aston Villa v Bolton UNDER 2.5 goals
Stake 1 unit
Odds 1.67

[clarky101]

[quote]So one lonely Norm for midweek

Torquay @ 1.54 /QUOTE]

[merlin]

.... been away for a few days, latest position:-

Total Staked		1370.00		Avg Stake
Total Returned		1488.37		10.00
Yield		1.086	8.64%
Winners		95
Losers		42
Strike Rate		69.34%
Current Bank		218.37
Profit / Loss		118.37

Back with the rest of the week shortly.

[clarky101]

Weekend picks

Norms
MK Dons (Fri) @1.85
Chelsea @ 1.81
Cambridge @ 1.64

+2's
Man Utd (Sun) @ 1.46

[merlin]

..... two selections for the 3-0 system this weekend:-

Northwich V 1.57
Eintracht Frankfurt 2.20

Hope these do the biz!

[clarky101]

Weekend picks

Norms
MK Dons (Fri) @1.85
Chelsea @ 1.81
Cambridge @ 1.64

+2's
Man Utd (Sun) @ 1.46

So So nearly the Merlin Full House, but a better weekend than the last two...tables updated tomorrow

[merlin]

..... good results there Graham, keep em coming.
Mixed bag with the 3-0 system, 1 correct from 2 =

Total Staked		1390.00		Avg Stake
Total Returned		1503.78		10.00
Yield		1.082	8.19%
Winners		96
Losers		43
Strike Rate		69.06%
Current Bank		213.78
Profit / Loss		113.78

Ah well there's always another day!

[clarky101]

Tables are as follows

Norms

Total Staked		280.00		Ave Stake
Total Returned		332.97		10.00
Yield		1.189	18.92%
Winners		15
Losers		13
Strike Rate		54%
Current Bank		152.97
Profit / Loss		52.97		BANK

+2's

Total Staked		180.00		Ave Stake
Total Returned		179.04		10.00
Yield		0.995	-0.53%
Winners		10
Losers		8
Strike Rate		56%
Current Bank		99.04
Profit / Loss		-0.96		BANK

[clarky101]

Another lonely Norm for tonight

Grays @ 2.74

Hopefully keeping the good run up for the Norms

[barrhead73]

2 EPL Unders for this weekend,

Derby v Aston Villa
Sunderland v Man City

[clarky101]

Another lonely Norm for tonight

Grays @ 2.74

Hopefully keeping the good run up for the Norms

I knew i should'nt of mentioned the good run

[barrhead73]

Another EPL Under

Tottenham v Middlesboro
Odds 2

[Fast Eddie]

Originally Posted by barrhead73

Another EPL Under

Tottenham v Middlesboro
Odds 2

Spurs being involved in a low scoring game doesn't seem like the best bet in the world does it?! But that's the system I suppose. The MW sheets do throw up some strange looking predictions occasionally, but I guess that's true of any system. Merlin kindly supplied me with some updated sheets last month and I've been keeping them up to date (the top four English Leagues). I've also been trying to copy all MW's predictions and the actual results into a spreadsheet to try and measure the accuracy of the predictions. (As an excel novice it's taking some learning and I can see macros are obviously the way to go). Has anyone else done this , over a long period (mine only began a few weeks ago so there isn't a large pool of data to draw any conclusions from as yet)?
Also, has anyone any new ideas for systems derived from these MW sheets? Perhaps we could all throw a few ideas out there, however odd they may seem and others could run with them or give their reasons in support or against, etc, and then a few more systems might be up and running ready for next season. I'm thinking Away predictions where the Away Win is not the favourite, if these aren't too rare. Or, backing "Any Unquoted" (basically either team getting 4 goals or more) on Betfair correct score market when there are four or more goals predicted for the game, because this suggests weak defences, powerful attacks. These are just ideas off the top of my head without any great statistical data to back them up, but you get the idea. If this is the wrong place for this then I apologise. Otherwise, let's brainstorm.

Ed

[clarky101]

Weekend picks

+2's
Rochdale @ 2.2

Norms
Chesterfield @ 2.5
Bradford @ 3.15
Ebbsfleet @ 2.08

Lets get back to winning ways

[merlin]

.... hi there FF great to have your input.

It's a bit late to be looking at systems for these sheets for this season as there are only a matter of weeks left.
A couple of ideas spring to mind for next season, monitoring all 0-0 selections with under 2.5 goals in mind.
Also monitoring various leagues to check correct weekly predictions to see if there is any leverage in backing all of these say in one league.I seem to remember Serie A being quite good this season.All that would be needed would be one double to just about break even, two correct and we are laughing.A little food for thought!

[merlin]

...... three selections for the 3-0 system for this weekend:-

Chelsea 1.25
Grays Athletic 1.88
Real Betis 1.52

Onwards and upwards.

[SecondSight]

I would not recommend unders at evens on this game.

Boro have switched formation hence open game against MU last week.

I think Southgate will keep with it at Spurs.