Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

[merlin]

... ok with the Daggers knifing themselves in the proverbials, it was a

50% haul, with Mansfield Town obliging at 2.10.Latest Figures and still

in the Black! :-

Total Staked 400.00
Total Returned 421.50
Yield +5.38%
Winners 22
Losers 18
Total Bets 40
Strike Rate 55%
Current Bank 121.50
Profit/Loss +21.50

Onwards and upwards!

[merlin]

.... just two selections again this week for the system:-

Arsenal 1.44

Chelsea (A) 1.28

Both look strong on paper, but funny old game!

[merlin]

.... unlucky again, Arsenal only drew to give us 1 correct from 2.Latest

figures and still in the Black:-

Total Staked 420.00
Total Returned 434.30
Yield + 3.40 %
Winners 23
Losers 19
Total Bets 42
Strike Rate 54.76%
Current Bank 114.30
Profit/Loss 14.30

Try again next week, onwards and upwards!

[3 legs]

Hi Merlin etal,
I'm new here and would like to understand what this thread is all about.
(I've skipped it until now because I thought it would be about Australian football)
Anyone care to explain?
Thanks a lot.
3 legs

[merlin]

.... hi there 3 legs, good to see a new face.There is plenty of threads

around in the archives, I picked this up last season and although the

season was well advanced, a system was developed, which again has

now been extended to this season.It was developed from the Michael

Wray website where his spreadsheets can be downloaded at :-

www.michaelwray.co.nz . In these sheets there are match predictions

for all the various leagues and all the various dates.I based this system

on those matches where Michael's sheets predict a 3-0 win, on the basis

that if the confidence is there to predict a 3-0 win, then that team

should stand a great chance to win the match regardless of taking the

3-0 scoreline.Therefore all selections 42 in total currently, have been

backed at £10 stakes, and show a profit as we speak.On hindsight, if

I were to start this season again, I would wait until the season is around

a month old to eliminate some early season losers due to uncertain

form, the figures would make better reading and show a distinct

improved yield if this had been followed.Hope this goes some way to

explanation,if not,please ask, when I shall endeavour to enlighten you

further.

[3 legs]

Much obliged, Merlin.
Looks like I have some homework to do.
3 legs

[merlin]

.... a bit late, but this week's highlighted selections:-

Liverpool 1.33

Preston N E 1.72

Scunthorpe U (A) 2.70

Hoping for some success!

[merlin]

..... unlucky, robbed with a Huddersfield goal four minutes from time against Scunthorpe which would have been the treble.Still 2 from 3 correct not a bad result:-

Total Staked 450.00
Total Returned 465.10
Yield +3.36%
Winners 25
Losers 20
Total Bets 45
Strike Rate 55.56%
Current Bank 115.10
Profit/Loss 15.10

Onwards and upwards!

[joey barton]

yeh i merlin just noticed ur system and its really interesting. Sorry 4 sounding naive but do u back all ur selections in single win bets or do u put them in an accumulator, o and what do the numbers next to the teams represent, soz if im sounding stupid id be grateful if u could clear this up as ur thread seems cool

[merlin]

.... hi Joey and welcome to the thread, hope that you are getting something out of it. The numbers against each team are the odds obtainable at that point in time, and displayed for the purposes of keeping a track of the system bets.Most of the time much better odds can be obtained from Betfair so if I was to do this,then the table above would look much better.These bets are currently backed as singles,but really up to those punters who want to choose their own methods.The table displays only singles, and was only born last season out of the ashes of previous attempts to make the Michael Wray spreadsheets profitable.If you look back in the archives at Page 9 - Michael Wray Spreadsheets, there has been much discussion on this which went towards the system evolving as a serious attempted profit making proposition.Several lessons have been learned,and I feel that there is certainly merits in continuing with such a system.Cheers.
ps Last season after starting late, the system finished £46.69 ahead.

[merlin]

.... with a reduced programme due to the F A Cup matches, there is only

the one selection that meets the criteria this weekend:-

Arsenal 2.10

Pretty generous odds too I reckon!

Here's hoping!

[davidmphill]

For selfish reasons hope the Gunners fail you Merlin!
Other than that better luck for the week after!

[merlin]

.... they are looking good I'm afraid David, even Wenger looked good

against the hammers the other night. ..... and what a price too! Can't

believe they are up at 11/10.

[brandy65]

Originally Posted by merlin

.... with a reduced programme due to the F A Cup matches, there is only

the one selection that meets the criteria this weekend:-

Arsenal 2.10

Pretty generous odds too I reckon!

Here's hoping!

Hi Merlin
Sorry for late (useless) info but
In my ver. of the "sheet" it also have Chelsea and Wigan as 4-0 and 3-0.
Maybe i have missed some early result but i doubt it.

On the other hand i have been following La Liga with the sheet and in the 4 last rounds it had 68% correct on the under selection.

[brandy65]

Sorry for this but disregard the above since i was posting before checking, u are right Merlin, only Arsenal
But the spanish are still valid

[merlin]

.... I was beginning to think that my sheets were mucked up somwehere!

I used to do the Euro last season but Michaels sheets were slow in coming

through particularly the Italian mess, so I disregarded and just used the

Brits.All eyes on Arsenal tomorrow eh!

[merlin]

.... The Arsenal selection duly obliged this weekend as I had expected,

and at a great price of 11/10, could hardly believe this.Anyway here are

the latest figures:-

Total Staked 460.00
Total Returned 486.10
Yield +5.67%
Winners 26
Losers 20
Total Bets 46
Strike Rate 56.52%
Current Bank 126.10
Profit/Loss 26.10

I will be back with this weeks highlighted selections a little later.Cheers.

[davidmphill]

Nice one Merlin. Once they scored it was easy.

[merlin]

....safely tucked away David, always fancied the Arsenal win, but more

so, I fancied that incredible price!

[merlin]

.... just two selections highlighted this weekend, pretty hot favourites

as it turns out, but that's what's been churned out, one cannot pick and

choose, so without further ado :-

Chelsea 1.23

Manchester U (A) 1.36

Onwards and upwards.