Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. - Page 33 - The Punters Lounge

happygooner · 19-01-2008, 16:38

Quote:

Originally Posted by happygooner

On to the 3 o'clock games. Hopefully my data is isn't too far wrong

0 goals predicted

Blackburn v Middlesborough - Under 2.5 @ 1.82

+1.00
L Orient v Luton - Under 2.5 @ 1.84

-1.19

4 goals predicted

Plymouth v Southampton - Over 2.5 @ 2.08

-1.00
Watford v Charlton - Over 2.5 @ 1.94 - pending
West Brom v Cardiff - Over 2.5 @ 1.81

+1.00
Millwall v Tranmere - Over 2.5 @ 2.14

-1.00
Mansfield v Darlington - Over 2.5 @ 2.14

-1.00
Notts Co. v Chester - Over 2.5 @ 2.22

-1.00
Aldershot v Forest Green - Over 2.5 @ 1.63

-1.58
Stevenage B v Droylsden - Over 2.5 @ 1.49

+1.00

5 goals predicted

Tottenham v Sunderland - Over 2.5 @ 1.8

-1.25

6 goals predicted

Altrincham v York - Over 2.5 @ 1.71

+1.00

Hmmm......alot of selections

....hmmmm......

Glad I ran out of time to place those 4 goal predictions. May just track the 0-0's and over 5 from now on.

Bruce The Brew Goose · 19-01-2008, 17:07

Quote:

....hmmmm......

Glad I ran out of time to place those 4 goal predictions. May just track the 0-0's and over 5 from now on.

hg - you got the data for 4 goals, 5 goals & 6 goals separate?

Good result for your lot today.

happygooner · 19-01-2008, 17:17

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bruce The Brew Goose

hg - you got the data for 4 goals, 5 goals & 6 goals separate?

Good result for your lot today.

Well I thought I did but not quite so sure anymore because of the mistakes from data input on my sheets.

Bruce The Brew Goose · 19-01-2008, 17:28

Any idea if the 5+ and 6+ games have shown better results than the 4+ games?

happygooner · 19-01-2008, 17:33

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bruce The Brew Goose

Any idea if the 5+ and 6+ games have shown better results than the 4+ games?

from what i've got I don't think they have. It's just that today gave a huge amount of games and i'm not sure if i'm comfortable playing that many.

Then there's also the Euro leagues. What I think i'm going to do is start afresh on monitoring them for myself but only play the 0-0's or 5+.....not sure about Europe.

May just track all of them for a while.

Bruce The Brew Goose · 19-01-2008, 17:39

I seem to remember seeing some figures earlier in this thread that suggested the 5+ and 6+ games didn't do any better. I may, however, have imagined this.

Today was just one of those days I think.

happygooner · 19-01-2008, 17:56

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bruce The Brew Goose

I seem to remember seeing some figures earlier in this thread that suggested the 5+ and 6+ games didn't do any better. I may, however, have imagined this.

Today was just one of those days I think.

No, you're right. Im playing with a very limited bank roll at the moment though which means i'm juggling.

Missed the normal aways posted by Clarky but got the +2 aways which had a shocker....

At the moment i'm just playing through a book trying to turnover a nice bonus without losing my deposit and making the whole endeavor pointless!

davidc · 19-01-2008, 22:14

Hi Guys:

I have only recently downloaded the Premier League MW spreadsheet again (my last comp did not have excel but this one does!) and although I haven't posted to this thread for a while, I hope you will forgive the interruption.

This is an excellent thread but I have tended to be a lurker and have watched with interest the recent discussion on the differences in predicted results.

The main point of the post is to say that I have updated my Premier League version with results from 25th November until last weekend and have all the results in the correct date order and the table is also correct but I got the predicted result for the Tottenham v Sunderland game today as 4 - 2 and I know that some of you had 4 - 1 for this game. I have just spent 40 mins going through all the results since 25th Nov (as a double check) and I am certain that I have them all correct and entered for the dates on which the fixture actually took place.

Not sure if this is helpful or not but it does not take too long to update the sheets manually and that should resolve the discrepancies.

Bruce The Brew Goose · 20-01-2008, 00:35

No odds on lays for tomorrow.

Euro aways.........
Levante v. Mallorca 2.22
Osasuna v. Athletic Bilbao 3.85
Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid 2.7
Udinese v. Milan 1.92

Bruce The Brew Goose · 20-01-2008, 00:50

Odds on lays standings after the weekend - as there are no selections for Sunday........

Saturday, one selection - Lay Leeds 1.99 v. Doncaster......Result 0-1

Selections 5
Winners 3
Losers 2
P/L (units) 0.93
Yield (%) +18.6

*Figures include a 4% deduction from all winnings to allow for Betfair commission.

clarky101 · 20-01-2008, 12:16

It was not a good day for the + 2 Aways yesterday

Arsenal @ 1.53 (unmatched

)
Oldham @ 2.92

Walsall @ 3.1

MK Dons ' 1.75

Darlington @ 2.24

York @ 2.2

3 draws & Mk Dons mucking a fair few bets up

Total Staked		155.00		Ave Stake
Total Returned		148.54		5.00
Yield		0.958	-4.17%
Winners		12
Losers		19
Strike Rate		39%
Current Bank		93.54
Profit / Loss		-6.46		BANK
STAKE	PROFIT	-%	RETURN	100

clarky101 · 20-01-2008, 15:35

Not a bad weeend for the Normal Aways though
Chelsea @ 1.7

Man Utd @ 1.41

Everton (Sun) @2.36

Wolves @ 2.72

Charlton @ 3.4

Huddersfield @ 3.75

Doncaster @ 4.4

Stockport @ 2.58 (Post)
Brentford @2.56 (Post)
Torquay @2.32

Total Staked		435.00		Ave Stake
Total Returned		582.32		5.00
Yield		1.339	33.87%
Winners		43
Losers		44
Strike Rate		49%
Current Bank		247.32
Profit / Loss		147.32		BANK
STAKE	PROFIT	-%	RETURN	100

Back later with the midweek picks & hopefully get the +2's back on track

clarky101 · 20-01-2008, 19:29

Midweek +2's Aways
Oldham @ 2.74
Bradford @ 2.88
Stevenage (Thurs) @1.62

& Normal aways
Southend @ 3.15

merlin · 20-01-2008, 19:40

.... Hi there David, and welcome to our humble portals. Good to see you getting interested in the thread.There have been many trials and tribulations and several various methods scrutinised, some have come and gone, whilst others are still with us and performing well enough to see us still remaining in the Black.I'm sure there could be things here for you to contribute and/or investigate, feel free to add any input you feel may be worth persuing.Thanks.

merlin · 20-01-2008, 22:20

.... Six winners from nine selections in the 3-0 system to leave the latest position as:-

Total Staked	940.00		Avg Stake
Total Returned	1002.90		10.00
Yield	1.067	6.69%
Winners	64
Losers	30
Strike Rate	68.09%
Current Bank	162.90
Profit / Loss	62.90

Could have been better, but it could also have been worse.
More to follow later.

barrhead73 · 21-01-2008, 12:32

4 out of 11 for the DRAWS at the weekend, still got two games tonight before i can update my sheets.

There is one DRAW selection for tomorrow night in League 1.

Bournemouth v Luton DRAW

Bruce The Brew Goose · 21-01-2008, 14:56

The weekends Euro aways...........

Genoa v. Atalanta 3.8 Score 2-1
Levante v. Mallorca 2.22 Score 2-2
Osasuna v. Athletic Bilbao 3.85 Score 2-0
Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid 2.7 Score 0-2
Udinese v. Milan 1.92 Score 0-1

Selections 5
Winners 2
Losers 3
P/L (units) -0.48
Yield (%) -9.7

*Figures include a 4% deduction from all winnings to allow for Betfair commission.

merlin · 21-01-2008, 16:28

..... the Betfair commission is actually 5% Bruce, so a little adjustment is needed.

happygooner · 21-01-2008, 19:00

Quote:

Originally Posted by clarky101

Midweek +2's Aways
Oldham
Bradford
Stevenage (Thurs)

& Normal aways
Southend
Will post the odds up tomorrow

Clarky, what do you have for Hereford tonight?

19-01-2008, 17:28	#644 (permalink)
Bruce The Brew Goose Goose Join Date: 09 Jan 2008 Posts: 50	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Any idea if the 5+ and 6+ games have shown better results than the 4+ games?

19-01-2008, 17:39	#646 (permalink)
Bruce The Brew Goose Goose Join Date: 09 Jan 2008 Posts: 50	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. I seem to remember seeing some figures earlier in this thread that suggested the 5+ and 6+ games didn't do any better. I may, however, have imagined this. Today was just one of those days I think.

19-01-2008, 22:14	#648 (permalink)
davidc Shrewdie Punter Join Date: 24 Jul 2005 Posts: 674	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Hi Guys: I have only recently downloaded the Premier League MW spreadsheet again (my last comp did not have excel but this one does!) and although I haven't posted to this thread for a while, I hope you will forgive the interruption. This is an excellent thread but I have tended to be a lurker and have watched with interest the recent discussion on the differences in predicted results. The main point of the post is to say that I have updated my Premier League version with results from 25th November until last weekend and have all the results in the correct date order and the table is also correct but I got the predicted result for the Tottenham v Sunderland game today as 4 - 2 and I know that some of you had 4 - 1 for this game. I have just spent 40 mins going through all the results since 25th Nov (as a double check) and I am certain that I have them all correct and entered for the dates on which the fixture actually took place. Not sure if this is helpful or not but it does not take too long to update the sheets manually and that should resolve the discrepancies.

20-01-2008, 00:35	#649 (permalink)
Bruce The Brew Goose Goose Join Date: 09 Jan 2008 Posts: 50	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. No odds on lays for tomorrow. Euro aways......... Levante v. Mallorca 2.22 Osasuna v. Athletic Bilbao 3.85 Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid 2.7 Udinese v. Milan 1.92

20-01-2008, 00:50	#650 (permalink)
Bruce The Brew Goose Goose Join Date: 09 Jan 2008 Posts: 50	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Odds on lays standings after the weekend - as there are no selections for Sunday........ Saturday, one selection - Lay Leeds 1.99 v. Doncaster......Result 0-1 Selections 5 Winners 3 Losers 2 P/L (units) 0.93 Yield (%) +18.6 Figures include a 4% deduction from all winnings to allow for Betfair commission. Last edited by Bruce The Brew Goose; 20-01-2008 at 00:50.*

20-01-2008, 19:29	#653 (permalink)
clarky101 Jonah Punter Join Date: 17 Apr 2006 Location: Bexhill Posts: 1,316	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Midweek +2's Aways Oldham @ 2.74 Bradford @ 2.88 Stevenage (Thurs) @1.62 & Normal aways Southend @ 3.15 __________________ i came into this world with nothing & pretty much still got it !!!!!!!!! Last edited by clarky101; 22-01-2008 at 19:14. Reason: B/F odds put in

20-01-2008, 19:40	#654 (permalink)
merlin Wizard Elect Join Date: 07 Mar 2005 Location: Chester-le-Street.Co.Durham.UK. Posts: 1,384	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... Hi there David, and welcome to our humble portals. Good to see you getting interested in the thread.There have been many trials and tribulations and several various methods scrutinised, some have come and gone, whilst others are still with us and performing well enough to see us still remaining in the Black.I'm sure there could be things here for you to contribute and/or investigate, feel free to add any input you feel may be worth persuing.Thanks.

21-01-2008, 12:32	#656 (permalink)
barrhead73 Shrewdie Punter Join Date: 23 Oct 2006 Location: Scotland Age: 35 Posts: 648	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 4 out of 11 for the DRAWS at the weekend, still got two games tonight before i can update my sheets. There is one DRAW selection for tomorrow night in League 1. Bournemouth v Luton DRAW __________________ I used to be indecisive, but now i'm not so sure

21-01-2008, 14:56	#657 (permalink)
Bruce The Brew Goose Goose Join Date: 09 Jan 2008 Posts: 50	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. The weekends Euro aways........... Genoa v. Atalanta 3.8 Score 2-1 Levante v. Mallorca 2.22 Score 2-2 Osasuna v. Athletic Bilbao 3.85 Score 2-0 Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid 2.7 Score 0-2 Udinese v. Milan 1.92 Score 0-1 Selections 5 Winners 2 Losers 3 P/L (units) -0.48 Yield (%) -9.7 *Figures include a 4% deduction from all winnings to allow for Betfair commission.

21-01-2008, 16:28	#658 (permalink)
merlin Wizard Elect Join Date: 07 Mar 2005 Location: Chester-le-Street.Co.Durham.UK. Posts: 1,384	Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... the Betfair commission is actually 5% Bruce, so a little adjustment is needed.