Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment.

[merlin]

..... last season saw information used in various ways within the Michael

Wray Spreadsheets system, in an attempt to find decent betting

opportunities.It is my intention to once again embark upon 2-0 and 3-0

predicted scorelines as highlighted by the system.Percentage yields etc

will be shown on a weekly basis.For those interested in Michael's sheets

and the progress of this season's sheets, I have received the following

e-mail recently:-

The sheets are very close to release. I hope to have the English and
Germany sheets up within the next few days. Spain is just awaiting
fixtures, whilst Italy is awaiting confirmation of participants!

The European Champions League is on hold, whilst I wait for the official
verdict on the participants. It's unclear as to whether UEFA have endorsed
the proposed Italian replacements or how they will be seeded. The first
two qualifying rounds are proceeding as originally planned, so it just
remains to see who gets a group seeding and who goes into the third
qualifying round. I suspect they'll just do a straight swap, but they are
still showing the original Italian clubs and it's all a mess.

In the meantime, I've also got the Euro2008 qualifiers underway. I've
finished updating most of the historic component and just need to figure
out how to incorporate the new group sorting criteria - they've decided
that the head-to-head component needs to be iterative where multiple teams
are tied on points. It's the first time this approach has been used and
they're only doing it for the qualifers. The regulations state that they
will return to normal criteria for the Euro 2008 Finals... it's a bit
annoying!

Cheers,
Michael.

Predictions using this system will follow when the season gets under way.Cheers.Merlin.

[muppet77]

epl sheet is up there now mate.

(PS why is this thread called return to Oz?)

[mcgin]

Good luck with this Merlin, I'll be following the 3-0 predictions myself after a few weeks (just won't have the time to maintain the sheets )

[merlin]

.... Hi there Muppett old lad, long time no speak, how u doing?

Yep! Iv'e downloaded all the sheets there is at the moment, some are

still in the pipeline, and of course the Italians will be in an awful mess.

Return to Oz was I suppose a little to do with the Wizard of Oz and my

avatar mentions Wizard, so joined the two together and came up with

that as a catchy little title.Anyway its a bit like following the yellow

brick road.Hope you can visit often.Cheers.

[merlin]

... Hi there and welcome also McGin, always good to have you aboard.

Missed your input last season late on,but I understand you had your

own system to persue.One advantage this season will be that the system

is starting much earlier having been put together a bit late on,but never

the less it proved to be quite a good little money spinner.Hope it does as

well this season.Anyway do call in if you can spare the time.Good luck

with your own ventures.Cheers.

[Punto83]

How have the sheets been performing so far? Just remembered about this so will download the new ones at work to tomorrow and feed all the results in

[davidmphill]

Good luck again Merlin.

[merlin]

..... been away Punto so have just got around to updating the sheets

and squaring things up.First selections this week follow further down.

Cheers.

[merlin]

.... thanks David, a pleasure once again to have you aboard. Your

comments are always welcome.Early days for the system, so will be

looking forward to see how it performs.Good luck with yours!

[merlin]

.... OK new season, new ball game, here are the selections based on

Michael's sheets for this season:-

Highlighted 3-0 selections:-

Barnsley (A) 3.60
Morecambe. 1.80
Oxford U. 1.83
Tamworth. 2.50

Highlighted 2-0 selections:-
Wolves. 2.20
Mansfield T. 1.91
Swindon T. 1.62
Cambridge U. 2.00
Grays A. 1.62
Southport. 2.38

So I'll be monitoring these and reporting back with yield figures etc next week.Cheers.

[laying larry]

Hi merlin, good to see the thread back after the summer break. Last year you also ran the times predictor with another set of stats put up in a table along with 3-0 ratings will you be doing this again as if my memory serves me right did you not have some good returns.
If you are I will be around most of the time this year and if there is anything I can assist you with just let me know.
Cheers

LL

[merlin]

.... Hi there LL and a warm welcome back. It was Kanga (Andy) who

introduced the stats into the three categories:- Michael Wray Sheets,

Times Predictor and Betting Genius, which had to meet a certain criteria.

I will find out off Andy if he is taking up the mantle once again, and

perhaps there is something you can get involved with there.Keep watching

this space!

[MetallicIan]

Hey this isn't anything to do with you is it Merlin???

http://www.fixedoddsloophole.com/

[merlin]

.... sorry to disappoint you young fella! I lay no claim to such fame and

fortune, and if it is as good as he says it is, how come he is trying to

sell it to the likes of us? No I'm afraid it is a case of hard experimentation

pour moi just like most bodies on these forums.Good luck with yours!

[merlin]

... still early days yet, but as I suspected the 2-0 system does not look as solid as the 3-0 does.Therefore I'm going to drop the 2-0 completely, and concentrate only on the 3-0 system.Two results out of 4 were successful and it still showed a profit of £14.30. Figures:-

Total Staked 40.00
Total returned 54.30
Yield + 35.75%
Winners 2
Losers 2
Total Bets 4
Strike rate 50%
Current Bank £114.30
Profit/Loss +£14.30

Once again seems to be taking up where it left off last season.

[merlin]

.... ok on to this week's selections from those matches highlighted as 3-0

wins by the Michael Wray sheets:-

Arsenal 1.29
W.B.A. 1.44
Cheltenham (A)3.20
Peterboro 1.67
Liverpool 1.57
Gravesend 2.38
Morecambe (A) 2.75

All these matches qualify under the system rules, so hoping for good things.

[Clotty]

I'll be keeping an eye on this, Merlin. Good luck!

[merlin]

.... not so good this weekend.Poor performance.I'm just wondering whether Iv'e started tracking this too early without letting the season settle down a little.Anyway here is the current position:-

Total staked 110.00
Total Returned 85.40
Yield - 22.36%
Winners 4
Losers 7
Total Bets 11
Strike rate 36.36 %
Current Bank 75.40
Profit/Loss -24.60

Here's hoping for better this weekend.

[merlin]

.... OK another day, another dollar, that's what they say anyway!I have still to decide whether it is better to leave the monitoring of this system until the season has got under way, as the results have not so far been as encouraging as last season.Anyway I'll persevere.This week's highlighted selections:-

Bolton W (A) 2.88
Manchester U (A) 1.36
Leicester C 1.83
Bradford C 1.80
Walsall 2.00
Weymouth (A) 2.63

Hopefully I would expect these to perform better.

[merlin]

... That's more like it, 4 winners from 6 which makes the figures look

somewhat better:-

Total Staked 170.00
Total Returned 163.60
Yield - 3.76%
Winners 8
Losers 9
Total Bets 17
Strike Rate 47.06%
Current Bank 93.60
Profit/Loss - 6.40

..... Onwards and upwards!