Paul Ross Rating System.

[munki]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Oldham win 2-1

Profit to Date = 66.8 pts

Brilliant stuff

[cavelloman]

06/05/2007

Palermo

21.40 v 63.80

Roma

-42.40

Roma @3.75 with Expekt

Big price here. Well out of kilter with both Paul's rating and Cavelloman's ratings

[alexblade]

Cavelloman I really enjoy your posts and I make a little profit with you , Man I appreciate what you're doing , keep that way!

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Roma @3.75 with Expekt

Big price here. Well out of kilter with both Paul's rating and Cavelloman's ratings

Roma win 2-1

Profit to Date = 94.3 pts

At last going against the moltivation factor pays out.

[cavelloman]

First bet expected from late September.

[aliando]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

First bet expected from late September.

good luck mate

[alexblade]

We are waiting Cavelloman ?!?!? 20 september !!!

[FleetFanatic]

Blimey....if you posted in my thread with that attitude,
I'd want you banned.

Late September could be the 29th..... I'm sure the old boy will post when he is ready to do so.

[alexblade]

Cavelloman I miss your picks !!!

[Matthew]

Originally Posted by FleetFanatic

Blimey....if you posted in my thread with that attitude,
I'd want you banned.

Late September could be the 29th..... I'm sure the old boy will post when he is ready to do so.

If I were Alexblade I would be a little embarrassed that I couldn't be
bothered to read a 3 page thread and figure out that the picks appear to
be away wins where the rating is bigger than -30 and the odds are higher than evens.

The leagues bet in so far are:
English Championship, Germany, EPL, English League 1, English League 2,
Italy.

See.......that wasn't too hard was it.

[cavelloman]

Correct.

But I need at least 8 matches from any league before the system selections become valid. Form from last season is not valid.

My power ratings will appear when 10 matches have taken place.

P.S. I may have another Paul Ross rating system soon.

[Punto83]

Look forward to them Cavelloman

[cavelloman]

Right for this season I've added another system based on Paul's ratings.

So we now have an away system and a home system. Records will be kept for both and combined returns. for this season.

[alexblade]

Thanks , Mat!!
And go go go CavelloMan!!

[aliando]

good luck cavelloman!

[cavelloman]

Normal service now resumed.

Profit to Date = 94.3 pts

[cavelloman]

08/12/2007

Bristol Rvs

21.80 v 63.40

Swansea

-41.60

Swansea @6/4 with BetDirect

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Swansea @6/4 with BetDirect

Match postponed therefore bet void.

Profit to Date = 94.3 pts

[cavelloman]

For next year I will be using Paul's rating in a more complex way to isolate value bets. Researching this at the moment.

[cavelloman]

I have done some analysis of Paul's ratings and the results are below (2202-2007). Note that the profits would be increased if getting the biggest price available. (I believe the prices used are always Bet365)

Next year we will have 2 maybe 3 systems running.

1. Original System
2. Away Staircase System
3. Possible (Home Banker).

	LOWER RATING - BIGGER PRICE ANALYSIS
PRICE	RATING	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	PROFIT/LOSS
2.0-2.25	-30	-1	0.2	-3	1.3	1.2	-0.6	-1.9
2.25-2.5	-25	4.07	5.48	2.44	-1.2	1.34	-6.6	5.53
2.51-2.87	-20	-1.83	-13.45	3	1.89	-6.82	15.74	-1.47
2.88-3.25	-15	1	-3	-4.5	-7	5.3	1.5	-6.7
3.26+	-10	0.74	20.49	9.65	-0.93	-17.51	33.7	46.14
	PROFIT/LOSS	2.98	9.72	7.59	-5.94	-16.49	43.74	41.6
PRICE	RATING							PROFIT/LOSS
2.00-2.25	-35	0	1.2	-1	0.1	2.2	-0.6	1.9
2.26-2.5	-30	2.67	2.44	2.07	-1.3	0.67	-2.6	3.95
2.51-2.87	-25	-0.2	-9.25	-4.63	7.47