Over/under -2.91units, 124 bets

what a dire weekend :rolleyes

im away on holidays for a couple of days so i will update later this week - no more selections til next weekend!!!!

havent updated for a week but here is the position after the games from 15th-16th march ....


Domestic Games

Starting Bank - 100 units
Current Bank - 90.69 units
Profit (Loss) - (9.31) units
Units Staked - 90 units
Yield - (10)%
Number of bets - 60
Strike Rate - 50% (30/60)
Average Odds - 1.84


European Games

Starting Bank - 100 units
Current Bank - 92.4 units
Profit (Loss) - (7.6 units)
Unit Staked - 17 units
Yield - (44%)
Number of bets - 13
Stirke Rate - 23% (0/13)
Average Odds - 1.88

having been unable to do anything on this over the last few weeks....

over/unders will be back with a vengeance this weekend, roaring into profit!!!!!

watch this space

ok, maybe not

Fixtures 18th, 19th April

Strong Bets - overs

Ipswich - Portsmouth, 2 units @ 1.72
Reading - Nottm forest, 2 units @ 1.9
Man Utd - Blackburn, 2 units @ 1.75
Southampton - Leeds, 2 units @ 1.95
Bradford - Watford, 2 units @ 1.9
Burnley - Gillingham, 2 units @ 1.83

Strong Bets - unders

Bolton - West Ham, 2 units @ 1.8
Stoek City - Wimbledon, 2 units @ 1.8
Wolves - Millwall, 2 units @ 1.9

Medium Bets - unders

Sheff Wed - Grimsby, 1 unit @ 1.83



19 units staked , 20.07 units returned

Starting Bank - 100 units
Current Bank - 91.76 units
Profit (Loss) - (8.24) units
Units Staked - 109 units
Yield - (7.5)%
Number of bets - 70
Strike Rate - 51% (36/70)
Average Odds - 1.84

Strong Bets - overs

Chelsea - Everton, 2 units @ 1.85
Newcastle - Aton Villa, 2 units @ 1.8
Coventry - Stoke, 2 units @ 2.00
Gillingham - Bradford, 2 units @ 1.9

Strong Bets - unders

Blackburn - bolton, 2 units @ 1.8
Portsmouth - Reading, 2 units @ 1.9
Watford - Derby, 2 units @ 1.8

Medium Bets - overs

West Ham - Middlesboro, 1 unit @ 2.1
Grimsby - Walsall, 1 unit @ 2.00
Millwall - Crystal Palace, 1 unit @ 1.83
Rotherham - Ipswich, 1 unit @ 1.9
Wimbledon - Preston, 1 unit @ 1.8

Medium Bets - unders

Birmingham - Southampton, 1 unit @ 1.75
Liverpool - Charlton, 1 unit @ 1.85
Brighton - Sheff Wed, 1 unit @ 1.72


15 bets, 22 units staked

Starting Bank - 100 units
Current Bank - 86.11 units
Profit (Loss) - (13.89) units
Units Staked - 131 units
Yield - (11)%
Number of bets - 85
Strike Rate - 49% (42/85)
Average Odds - 1.84

:rolleyes

Overall

Total Bets - 85
Winners - 42
Losers - 43 Strike Rate - 49.41%

Strong Bets

Total - 46
Winners - 22
Losers - 24 Strike Rate - 47.83

Medium Bets

Total - 39
Winners - 20
Losers - 19 Strike Rate - 51.28%

Overall Profit / Loss = -13.89 units
Overall Yield = -11%

Strong Bets

Stakes = 92 units
Returns = 80.4 units
Loss = 11.6 units
Yield = -12.6%

Medium Bets

Stakes = 39 units
Returns = 36.71 units
Loss = 2.29 units
Yield = 5.8%

Over Bets

Stakes = 94 units
Returns = 72.03 units
Loss = 21.97 units
Yield = -23%

Under Bets

Stakes = 37 units
Returns = 45.08 units
Profit = 8.08 units
Yield = +22%


Strong Over = Loss 16.86 units, Yield = -23%
Strong Under = Profit 5.26 units, Yield = +26%
Medium Over = Loss 5.11 units, Yield = -23%
Medium Under = Profit 2.82 units, Yield = +17%

Strong Overs

Burnley - Sheff Wed, 2 units @ 1.8
Leeds - Blackburn, 2 units @ 1.95
West Brom - Liverpool, 2 units @ 1.95
Ipswich - Wimbledon, 2 units @ 1.61
Nottm Forest - Millwall, 2 units @ 1.72

Strong Unders

Bolton - Arsenal, 2 units @ 2.00

Medium Overs

Charlton - Southampton, 1 unit @ 2.00
Everton - Aston Villa, 1 unit @ 1.9
Sheff Utd - Wolves, 1 unit @ 1.9

Medium Unders

Walsall - Derby, 1 unit@ 1.83


10 bets, 16 units

Selections for 26th April

10 bets

stakes 16 units
returns 23.86 units

profit on days games - 7.86 units



Sundays matches to follow...

Strong Over

Tottenham - Man Utd, 2 units @ 1.7

Strong Unders

Man City - West Ham, 2 units @ 1.8
Portsmouth - Rotherham, 2 units @ 2.00

Medium Under

Leicester - Norwich, 1 unit @ 1.9

Starting Bank - 100 units
Current Bank - 92.47 units
Profit (Loss) - (7.53) units
Units Staked - 154 units
Yield - (5)%
Number of bets - 99
Strike Rate - 52.5% (52/99)
Average Odds - 1.84


Much better

Strong Over

Sheff Utd - Bradford, 2 units @ 1.7

tonight sees selection number 100, with the position (assuming a loser) at just a shade better than a loss of 10 units.

any comments on this so far?


im thinking of back testing over some more countries to see the results. may do this over the summer months, and then test the system "live" next season.

Starting Bank - 100 units
Current Bank - 93.87 units
Profit (Loss) - (6.13) units
Units Staked - 156 units
Yield - (4)%
Number of bets - 100
Strike Rate - 53% (53/100)
Average Odds - 1.84


more selections tomorrow...

Strong Overs

Fulham - Everton, 2 units @ 2.00
Liverpool - Man City, 2 units @ 1.85
Newcastle -Birmingham, 2 units @ 1.8
West Ham -Chelsea, 2 units @ 1.9

Medium Over

Middlesboro -Tottenham, 1 unit @ 1.9

Strong Unders

Aston Villa - Sunderland, 2 units @ 1.9
Blackburn - West Brom, 2 units @ 1.85


13 units staked, 13.1 units returned

Strong Overs

Derby - ipswich, 2 units @ 1.8
Millwall - Coventry, 2units @ 1.8
Norwich - Preston, 2 units @ 1.75
Wolves - Leicester, 2 units @ 1.75
Arsenal -Leeds, 2 units @ 1.7

Medium Over

Gillingham - Crystal Palace, 1 unit @ 1.75

Strong Unders

Stoke - Reading, 2 units @ 1.75
Wimbledon - Burnley, 2 units @ 2.05


15 units staked

(note, division one prices are from gamebookers - bet 365 not offering a market on div 1 this weekend)

Strong OVer

Arsenal - Southampton, 2 units @ 1.75

(easy peasy!! )

update of bank later

Medium Under

Wolves - Reading, 1 unit @ 1.7