Free £25 Bet!
Free £200 Bet - Register on Saturday or Sunday
Free £25 Bet!

In association with Sports-Punter Free Bets Odds Comparison BetHelp Limso

We are the Official Forum of FreeBetting.net & FCBet.com


Sports News Sports Stats Live Scores OddsChecker Place Bets Suggest a Site


Go Back   The Punters Lounge - The World's Best Betting Forum > Systems, Strategy and General Betting Help > Systems & Strategy Forum

Systems & Strategy Forum Discuss all your strategies, systems, selection methods and staking plans here. Try and keep your match selections to the other forums.

UK & Irish Football Forum | Western European Football Forum | UEFA Cup & Champions League Football Forum | International Football Forum | Eastern & Southern European Football Forum | Nordic & Scandinavian Football Forum | Non European Football Forum | At The Races Forum | At The Races Systems Forum | Other Sports Forum | USA Sports Forum | Fantasy & Fun Comps Forum | Free Bets Forum | Systems & Strategy Forum | Glory Hunter's Forum | Tipster's Challenge Forum | Daily Racing Comp Forum | Euro & Worldwide Comp Forum | Poker Tourneys Forum | Poker Strategy Forum | Poker Chat Forum | Poker Live Forum | Poker Challenges Forum | Poker Staking Forum | Poker Leagues Forum | Bookmakers & Exchanges Forum | Punter's Tools/Betting Help Forum | General Chat Forum | Tech & Gaming Forum | Sports Banter Forum | Live Sports Feeds Forum

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 07-02-2006, 08:48   #21 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

I will try to find out answer of your question I have charts which shows what percentage of predictions become true in real life in different percentage areas for example in area 30%-40% 24 predictions and 8 of them become true in Spain League. I have these values and I will send these to you when I find a time. I want something from you, I am not good at using my programs percentages because I cannot act like a machine, I am listening sometimes my heart and every time when I did this I lost. I think you can act like a machine while betting can you send games you played this week after I put my programs pwercentages to web page(I will update wednesday night) to my mail(ozan@ozangumus.com)
ozangumus is offline  
Old 07-02-2006, 14:27   #22 (permalink)
Newbie Punter
 
Join Date: 18 Jan 2006
Posts: 7
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Of course!I will be glad to help you in any way i can.I will send you the list of the bookies i use and the games that i will choose. Just one more time i need to emphasize that in order to achieve your predicted stats (which seem to be correct for me) you have to play many games and not just 10 or 15. I guess that you have in your database the error in every percentage scale e.g the error for 52% predictions for Premiership etc... For example until now i played 9 matches at 50% with 4 wins and 5 losses. 7 matches at 51% 4 wins 3 losses. 8 matches at 52% 4 wins 4 losses. So your program,for my case, gives the right results until now but of course you have a lot more stats to compare and get a better indication of the effectiveness of your program. I will contact with you via email tomorrow. Thanks again!
ioannis2005 is offline  
Old 16-02-2006, 18:12   #23 (permalink)
Home-Win Punter
 
Join Date: 26 Oct 2004
Location: Portsmouth
Age: 24
Posts: 2,338
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Any update of your site for this week Ozan? I hope you haven't given up on your project, it was looking good to me

Keep it up, and keep posting here
__________________
www.pro-punters.com
PompeyPunt is offline  
Old 18-02-2006, 12:33   #24 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Week 6, cash: 97.10, placing every bet 10.00@, 80.00 paid, remaining cash: 17.10@
[won, +14.75] Cadiz - Racing (Under 2.5 / 2.0 goals) 1.95 [pinnacle]
[won, +17.50] Treviso - Lazio (Under 2.5 goals) 1.75 [eurobet]
Ascoli - Juventus (Under 2.5 goals) 2.00 [pinnacle]
[won, +17.00] Bordeaux - Lens (Under 2.5 / 2.0 goals) 1.70 [bet365]
[posp, +10.00] Monaco - Lyon (Under 2.5 goals) 1.65 [omnibet]
[won, +17.00] Braga - Guimaraes (Under 2.5 goals) 1.70 [eurobet]
[won, +20.00] Sparta - Twente (Under 2.5 goals) 2.00 [bet365]
[loss] Akratitos - Aigaleo (Under 2. goals) 1.60 [gamebookers]

Week 7, cash: 113.35, placing every bet 3.00@, 105.00 paid, remaining cash: 8.35@
Nurnberg-Wolfsburg (Under 2.5 goals) 2.10
Hertha-Schalke (Over 2.5 goals) 2.05
Leverkusen - Duisburg (Over 2.5 goals) 1.72
Frankfurt – Hamburger (Under 2.5 goals) 2.05
Stuttgart – Mainz (Over 2.5 goals) 1.95
Barcelona - Real Betis (Over 2.5 goals) 1.67
Real Sociedad – Valencia (Over 2.5 goals) 2.10
Getafe - Atletico Madrid (Under 2.5 goals) 1.85
Livorno – Inter (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80
Roma – Empoli (Over 2.5 goals) 1.70
Lecce – Reggina (Under 2.5 goals) 1.85
Sampdoria – Ascoli (Over 2.5 goals) 2.01
Udinese – Siena (Under 2.5 goals) 1.85
Nice – Monaco (Under 2.5 goals) 1.50
Ajaccio – Bordeaux (Under 2.5 goals) 1.46
Troyes – Nancy (Under 2.5 goals) 1.50
Saint Etienne – Lille (Under 2.5 goals) 1.50
Sochaux – Auxerre (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55
Rennes – Lens (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55
Metz – Marseille (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55
Roda JC – Heerenveen (Over 2.5 goals) 1.76
AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht (Over 2.5 goals) 1.58
Sporting – Ferreira (Under 2.5 goals) 2.07
Vicente – Academica (Under 2.5 goals) 1.72
Lokeren - Sint Truidense (Under 2.5 goals) 2.02
Westerlo – Roeselare (Under 2.5 goals) 2.20
Standard Liege – Cercle (Over 2.5 goals) 1.66
Club Brugge – Beveren (Over 2.5 goals) 1.59
OFI – Aigaleo (Under 2.5 goals) 1.60
Larisa – PAOK (Under 2.5 goals) 1.75
Kalamaria – Iraklis (Under 2.5 goals) 1.70
Panionios – Levadiakos (Under 2.5 goals) 1.62
Olympiakos – AEK (Under 2.5 goals) 1.72
Glasgow Rangers – Hibernian (Over 2.5 goals) 1.80
Kilmarnock – Livingston (Over 2.5 goals) 1.66

Web page is updated, I will post tips here too. You can be sure about I will not give up project anytime. Even in after next month page's name will be www.soccerforecast.com. This week there was a lot of work so I was late. This weeks tips are created by ioannis, by using outputs of Rising project.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 23-02-2006, 23:47   #25 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Week 7 Results:
[won, 6.30] Nurnberg-Wolfsburg (Under 2.5 goals) 2.10
[won, 6.15] Hertha-Schalke (Over 2.5 goals) 2.05
[won, 5.16] Leverkusen - Duisburg (Over 2.5 goals) 1.72
[loss] Frankfurt – Hamburger (Under 2.5 goals) 2.05
[won, 5.85] Stuttgart – Mainz (Over 2.5 goals) 1.95
[won, 5.01] Barcelona - Real Betis (Over 2.5 goals) 1.67
[won, 6.30] Real Sociedad – Valencia (Over 2.5 goals) 2.10
[loss] Getafe - Atletico Madrid (Under 2.5 goals) 1.85
[won, 5.40] Livorno – Inter (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80
[loss] Roma – Empoli (Over 2.5 goals) 1.70
[won, 5.55] Lecce – Reggina (Under 2.5 goals) 1.85
[won, 6.03] Sampdoria – Ascoli (Over 2.5 goals) 2.01
[loss] Udinese – Siena (Under 2.5 goals) 1.85
[won, 4.50] Nice – Monaco (Under 2.5 goals) 1.50
[won, 4.38] Ajaccio – Bordeaux (Under 2.5 goals) 1.46
[won, 4.50] Troyes – Nancy (Under 2.5 goals) 1.50
[won, 4.50] Saint Etienne – Lille (Under 2.5 goals) 1.50
[won, 4.65] Sochaux – Auxerre (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55
[loss] Rennes – Lens (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55
[won, 4.65] Metz – Marseille (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55
[won, 5.28] Roda JC – Heerenveen (Over 2.5 goals) 1.76
[won, 4.74] AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht (Over 2.5 goals) 1.58
[loss] Sporting – Ferreira (Under 2.5 goals) 2.07
[loss] Vicente – Academica (Under 2.5 goals) 1.72
[loss] Lokeren - Sint Truidense (Under 2.5 goals) 2.02
[loss] Westerlo – Roeselare (Under 2.5 goals) 2.20
[won, 4.98] Standard Liege – Cercle (Over 2.5 goals) 1.66
[loss] Club Brugge – Beveren (Over 2.5 goals) 1.59
[won, 4.80] OFI – Aigaleo (Under 2.5 goals) 1.60
[loss] Larisa – PAOK (Under 2.5 goals) 1.75
[won, 5.10] Kalamaria – Iraklis (Under 2.5 goals) 1.70
[won, 4.86] Panionios – Levadiakos (Under 2.5 goals) 1.62
[loss] Olympiakos – AEK (Under 2.5 goals) 1.72
[loss] Glasgow Rangers – Hibernian (Over 2.5 goals) 1.80
[won, +4.98] Kilmarnock – Livingston (Over 2.5 goals) 1.66

Total taken = 114.39
Remaining was = 8.35

New total cash = 122.74
ozangumus is offline  
Old 01-04-2006, 12:21   #26 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Week 8, cash: 122.74, placing every bet 5.00@, 90.00 paid, remaining cash: 32.74@
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5@ Saint Etienne - Monaco (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55 [eurobet]
5@ Metz - Lens (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55 [eurobet]
5@ Le Mans - Nancy (Under 2.5 goals) 1.51 [wagerweb]
5@ Sivasspor - Rizespor (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [eurobet]
5@ Trabzonspor - Denizlispor (Under 2.5 goals) 2.20 [betandwin]
5@ Boavista - Maritimo (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [interwetten]
5@ AA Gent - Club Brugge (Under 2.5 goals) 1.90 [betsson]
5@ Lalouviere - Sint Truiden (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [eurobet]
5@ Aigaleo - Larisa (Under 2.5 goals) 1.60 [BetButler]
5@ Iraklis - Olympiakos (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [expekt]
5@ Ostrava - Slovacko (Under 2.5 goals) 1.65 [betandwin]
5@ Teplice - Jihlava (Under 2.5 goals) 1.65 [gamebookers] [betandwin] [interwetten]
5@ Aab Aalborg - FC Nordsjaelland (Under 2.5 goals) 2.20 [bet365] [betsson]
5@ Lazio - Empoli (Over 2.5 goals) 2.15 [bet365]
5@ AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda (Over 2.5 goals) 1.60 [expekt] [interwetten]
5@ Standard - Excelsior Mouscron (Over 2.5 goals) 1.75 [expekt]
5@ Motherwell - Livingston (Over 2.5 goals) 1.75 [BetButler]
5@ AGF Aarhus - FC Kobenhavn (Over 2.5 goals) 1.75 [BetAndGame]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ozangumus is offline  
Old 04-04-2006, 07:58   #27 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Week 8, cash: 122.74, placing every bet 5.00@, 90.00 paid, remaining cash: 32.74@
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[won, 7.75] Saint Etienne - Monaco (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55 [eurobet]
[won, 7.75] Metz - Lens (Under 2.5 goals) 1.55 [eurobet]
[won, 7.55] Le Mans - Nancy (Under 2.5 goals) 1.51 [wagerweb]
[loss] 5@ Sivasspor - Rizespor (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [eurobet]
[loss] 5@ Trabzonspor - Denizlispor (Under 2.5 goals) 2.20 [betandwin]
[won, 9.00] Boavista - Maritimo (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [interwetten]
[loss] 5@ AA Gent - Club Brugge (Under 2.5 goals) 1.90 [betsson]
[won, 9.00] Lalouviere - Sint Truiden (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [eurobet]
[won, 8.00] Aigaleo - Larisa (Under 2.5 goals) 1.60 [BetButler]
[won, 9.00] Iraklis - Olympiakos (Under 2.5 goals) 1.80 [expekt]
[won, 8.25] Ostrava - Slovacko (Under 2.5 goals) 1.65 [betandwin]
[loss] 5@ Teplice - Jihlava (Under 2.5 goals) 1.65 [gamebookers] [betandwin] [interwetten]
[loss] 5@ Aab Aalborg - FC Nordsjaelland (Under 2.5 goals) 2.20 [bet365] [betsson]
[won, 10.75] Lazio - Empoli (Over 2.5 goals) 2.15 [bet365]
[postp, 5.00] AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda (Over 2.5 goals) 1.60 [expekt] [interwetten]
[won, 8.75] Standard - Excelsior Mouscron (Over 2.5 goals) 1.75 [expekt]
[won, 8.75] Motherwell - Livingston (Over 2.5 goals) 1.75 [BetButler]
[won, 8.75] AGF Aarhus - FC Kobenhavn (Over 2.5 goals) 1.75 [BetAndGame]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Total taken = 108.25
Remaining was = 32.74

New total cash = 140.99
ozangumus is offline  
Old 06-10-2006, 21:43   #28 (permalink)
Newbie Punter
 
Join Date: 12 May 2005
Posts: 36
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Hi Ozan!

Levi here. I contacted you earlier about a paid tipster job, but now i cant get thru to you on email cause i get messege your email inbox is full....

Contact me pls

Levi
billydilly is offline  
Old 07-10-2006, 08:31   #29 (permalink)
260408
 
davidmphill's Avatar
 
Join Date: 09 Feb 2005
Location: Colorado.
Age: 36
Posts: 22,374
Awards Showcase
Tipsters Challenge Daily Horse Racing Competition Daily Horse Racing Competition Tipsters Challenge 
Total Awards: 4
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Quote:
Originally Posted by billydilly View Post
Hi Ozan!

Levi here. I contacted you earlier about a paid tipster job, but now i cant get thru to you on email cause i get messege your email inbox is full....

Contact me pls

Levi
He hasn't logged in to Punters Lounge since May 06 so |I doubt he's active these days.
__________________
Gwlad, gwlad, pleidiol wyf i'm gwlad, Tra mor yn fur i'r bur hoff bau, O bydded i'r heniaith barhau.
davidmphill is offline  
Old 02-12-2006, 21:07   #30 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

Hi;
Sorry Levi, I have some problems with my mail. It was full for a time. Please contact me with my another mail adress. It is gumuso@ug.bilkent.edu.tr also my greek friend Ioannis you can contact me with this adress. I am waiting your mails. See you.

ps. Program still goes very well. For this weekend I won 6 of my 8 over/under bets. Lost ones are 2-1 unluckly. Program become better everyday. I am still upgrading it.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 02-02-2007, 16:04   #31 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Tips (www.ozangumus.com)

After long time, tips for this week again...

Week 9, cash: 140.99, placing every bet 8.00@, 64.00 paid, remaining cash: 76.99@
------------------------------------------------------
Belgium
Beveren - Club Brugge
under 2.5 goals
probability : 51.0%
Valuebet : PremierBet (2.10) 8 units
Alternative : Expekt(2.05)
------------------------------------------------------
Belgium
Sint Truiden - FC Brussels
under 2.5 goals
probability : 57.0%
Valuebet : Eurobet (1.85) 8 units
Alternative : Expekt(1.80)
------------------------------------------------------
Belgium
Roeselare - Excelsior Mouscron
under 3.0 goals
probability : 50%(0-2 goals) 22% (3 goals) 28% (4 and more goals)
Valuebet : Mybet (1.75) 8 units
------------------------------------------------------
Belgium
Mons - Germinal
under 2.5 goals
probability : 56.0%
Valuebet : Premierbet (1.83) 8 units
Alternative : Expekt(1.80)
------------------------------------------------------
Turkiye
Konyaspor - Denizlispor
under 2.5 goals
probability : 58.5%
Valuebet : Betsson (1.80) 8 units
Alternative : Pinnacle(1.76)
------------------------------------------------------
Turkiye
Sivasspor - Rizespor
under 2.5 goals
probability : 58.0%
Valuebet : Betsson (1.75) 8 units
Alternative : Betshop (1.75)
------------------------------------------------------
Italy
Livorno - Cagliari
under 2.5 goals
probability : 61.5%
Valuebet : Betsense (1.65) 8 units
------------------------------------------------------
Spain Primera Division
Deportivo - Mallorca
under 2.5 goals
probability : 61.5%
Valuebet : Eurobet (1.65) 8 units
Alternative : Betsense (1.65)
------------------------------------------------------

Good luck.

Last edited by ozangumus; 02-02-2007 at 16:26.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 31-10-2007, 17:16   #32 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

After passing first 10 weeks from nearly all leagues 2007/2008 season is opened for www.soccerforecast.com

You can again find 1X2 and Over/Under 2.5 goals probabilities here.

Also this year you can see which teams are over team and which teams are under team according to computer program in the right side of the league tables.

I will add some tips here by the weeks when I find time

I hope my program will helps you.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 08-11-2007, 13:04   #33 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

These are some valuebets according to my computer program for this week:

League : England Premier League
Match : Sunderland - Newcastle
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Centrebet
Odd : 2.05 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.96)
Probability : 51%

League : England Premier League
Match : Chelsea - Everton
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : 10Bet
Odd : 2.06 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.86)
Probability : 53%

League : Germany Bundesliga
Match : Duisburg - Bochum
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : 10Bet
Odd : 1.91 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.80)
Probability : 55%

League : Italy serie A
Match : Torino - Catania
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Eurobet
Odd : 1.70 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.67)
Probability : 60%

League : Holland Eeredivisie
Match : Twente - NAC Breda
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Canbet
Odd : 1.90 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.75)
Probability : 58%

Good luck.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 13-11-2007, 18:23   #34 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

I forgot giving results for the last years predicts now first i am giving them:
Week 9, cash: 140.99, placing every bet 8.00@, 64.00 paid, remaining cash: 76.99@
------------------------------------------------------
[won, +16.80] Beveren - Club Brugge (under 2.5 goals) 2.10
[loss] Sint Truiden - FC Brussels (under 2.5 goals) 1.85
[-, +8.00] Roeselare - Excelsior Mouscron (under 3.0 goals) 1.75
[loss] Mons - Germinal (under 2.5 goals) 1.83
[loss] Konyaspor - Denizlispor (under 2.5 goals) 1.80
[won, +14.00] Sivasspor - Rizespor (under 2.5 goals) 1.75
[sus, +8.00] Livorno - Cagliari (under 2.5 goals) 1.65
[won, +13.20] Deportivo - Mallorca (under 2.5 goals) 1.65
return 60 Units
now cash is 136.99 Units




Now the results of last weeks picks :
Week 10, cash : , placing every bet 10.00@, 50 paid, remaining cash : 86.99@
---------------------------------------------------
[WON, 1-1]
League : England Premier League
Match : Sunderland - Newcastle
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 20.5 Units
[WON, 1-1]
League : England Premier League
Match : Chelsea - Everton
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return 20.6 Units
[LOST, 0-2]
League : Germany Bundesliga
Match : Duisburg - Bochum
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Return : 0 Units
[WON, 1-1]
League : Italy serie A
Match : Torino - Catania
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 17 Units
[LOST, 1-1]
League : Holland Eeredivisie
Match : Twente - NAC Breda
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Return : 0 Units
---------------------------------------------------
Return : 58.1 Units

Now cash : 145.09 Units

I updated 4 probabilities of leagues for next week you can examine at www.soccerforecast.com
There are no probabilities for international matches program works for only league matches.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 23-11-2007, 15:34   #35 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

League : England Premier League
Match : Everton - Sunderland
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Mansion
Odd : 2.06 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.97)
Probability : 51%

League : England Premier League
Match : Middlesbrough - Aston Villa
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : VCBet
Odd : 2.20 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 2.15)
Probability : 47%

League : Germany Bundesliga
Match : Bochum - Bielefeld
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Canbet
Odd : 1.82 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.77)
Probability : 57%

League : Germany
Match : Leverkusen - Duisburg
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Stanjames
Odd : 1.67 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.65)
Probability : 61%

League : Spain Primera Division
Match : At. Madrid - Valladolid
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Pinnacle
Odd : 2.15 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.90)
Probability : 54%

League : Spain Primera Division
Match : Zaragoza - Getafe
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : 188Bet
Odd : 1.95 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.90)
Probability : 53%

League : Spain Primera Division
Match : Levante - Betis
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Centrebet
Odd : 1.70
Probability : 59%

League : France League 1
Match : Nice - PSG
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : 10Bet
Odd : 1.57 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.50)
Probability : 67%

League : France League 1
Match : Caen - Bordeaux
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Centrebet
Odd : 1.63 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.55)
Probability : 64%

League : Netherlands Eeredivisie
Match : Utrecht - Nec
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Bet365
Odd : 1.95 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.92)
Probability : 52%


These are 10 sample valuebets according to my program you can find more at www.soccerforecast.com


I updated other 6 leagues too today, I was late because of updates in the program.


placing every pick 10@
total placed 100@
remaining cash 45.09@
ozangumus is offline  
Old 26-11-2007, 18:28   #36 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

Week 11, cash : , placing every bet 10.00@, 100 paid, remaining cash : 45.09@
[WON, 7-1]
League : England Premier League
Match : Everton - Sunderland
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Return : 20.6 Units

[WON, 0-3]
League : England Premier League
Match : Middlesbrough - Aston Villa
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Return : 22 Units

[WON, 3-0]
League : Germany Bundesliga
Match : Bochum - Bielefeld
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Return : 18.2 Units

[WON, 4-1]
League : Germany
Match : Leverkusen - Duisburg
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Return : 16.7 Units

[LOSS, 4-3]
League : Spain Primera Division
Match : At. Madrid - Valladolid
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 0 Units

[WON, 1-1]
League : Spain Primera Division
Match : Zaragoza - Getafe
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 19.5 Units

[LOSS, 2-2]
League : Spain Primera Division
Match : Levante - Betis
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 0 Units

[LOSS, 2-1]
League : France League 1
Match : Nice - PSG
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 0 Units

[LOSS, 5-0]
League : France League 1
Match : Caen - Bordeaux
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 0 Units

[LOSS, 3-2]
League : Netherlands Eeredivisie
Match : Utrecht - Nec
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Return : 0 Units

Paid : 100 Units
Return : 97.0 Units
Now cash : 142.09 Units

1X2 OU Probabilities for England, Germany and Spain Leagues are updated.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 29-11-2007, 12:42   #37 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

These are 10 sample valuebets according to my program you can find more at www.soccerforecast.com

League : England Premier League
Match : Blackburn - Newcastle
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Pinnacle
Odd : 2.08 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 2.00)
Probability : 50%

League : England Premier League
Match : Portsmouth - Everton
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Canbet
Odd : 2.16 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 2.10)
Probability : 48%

League : England Premier League
Match : Reading - Middlesbrough
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Pinnacle
Odd : 2.01 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.95)
Probability : 51%

League : England Premier League
Match : Wigan - Manchester City
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson - Exchange
Odd : 1.80
Probability : 57%

League : Italy Serie A
Match : Torino - Genoa
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Eurobet
Odd : 1.70
Probability : 59%

League : France League 1
Match : Lorient - St.Etienne
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson - Exchange
Odd : 1.67 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.55)
Probability : 65%

League : France League 1
Match : Sochaux - Lens
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : 10bet
Odd : 1.67 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.55)
Probability : 64%

League : France League 1
Match : Valenciennes - Rennes
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson - Exchange
Odd : 1.67 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.55)
Probability : 65%

League : Turkey Super League
Match : Denizlispor - Fenerbahce
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson
Odd : 1.90
Probability : 54%

League : Belgium Jupiler League
Match : Lokeren - Cercle Brugge
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Bet365
Odd : 1.85 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.70)
Probability : 59%

All probabilities and picks part for this week are updated. Good luck!

Last edited by ozangumus; 30-11-2007 at 12:19.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 29-11-2007, 19:56   #38 (permalink)
Newbie Punter
 
Join Date: 13 Nov 2007
Posts: 42
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

Hiya mate,

This seems like an excellent thread.

Do you know of any basic methods behind finding percentages for win lose or draw and over/under. Is it all stats based (presumably so) and if so how far do you go back when working out your %ages?

Cheers mate

Ratmouth
Ratmouth is offline  
Old 30-11-2007, 12:30   #39 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ratmouth View Post
Hiya mate,

This seems like an excellent thread.

Do you know of any basic methods behind finding percentages for win lose or draw and over/under. Is it all stats based (presumably so) and if so how far do you go back when working out your %ages?

Cheers mate

Ratmouth
Thanks Ratmouth, yes all predictions are based on probabilities and all probabilities for 1X2 & OU are based on past stats. Program generally has scores for last twenty years in all leagues. It looks especially this season and last season but of course stats from even five years ago has effects on probabilities too. Effect decreases by years go past.

For more information and screenshots ext.
www.soccerforecast.com/info.html

Last edited by ozangumus; 30-11-2007 at 12:31.
ozangumus is offline  
Old 03-12-2007, 07:34   #40 (permalink)
Junior Punter
 
Join Date: 12 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Default Re: Over/Under Probabilities - www.soccerforecast.com

[WON, 3-1]
League : England Premier League
Match : Blackburn - Newcastle
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Pinnacle
Odd : 2.08 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 2.00)
Probability : 50%

[LOSS, 0-0]
League : England Premier League
Match : Portsmouth - Everton
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Canbet
Odd : 2.16 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 2.10)
Probability : 48%

[LOSS, 1-1]
League : England Premier League
Match : Reading - Middlesbrough
Pick : Over 2.5 goals
Bookie : Pinnacle
Odd : 2.01 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.95)
Probability : 51%

[WON, 1-1]
League : England Premier League
Match : Wigan - Manchester City
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson - Exchange
Odd : 1.80
Probability : 57%

[WON, 1-1]
League : Italy Serie A
Match : Torino - Genoa
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Eurobet
Odd : 1.70
Probability : 59%

[WON, 1-1]
League : France League 1
Match : Lorient - St.Etienne
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson - Exchange
Odd : 1.67 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.55)
Probability : 65%

[WON, 0-2]
League : France League 1
Match : Sochaux - Lens
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : 10bet
Odd : 1.67 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.55)
Probability : 64%

[LOSS, 3-0]
League : France League 1
Match : Valenciennes - Rennes
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson - Exchange
Odd : 1.67 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.55)
Probability : 65%

[WON, 1-0]
League : Turkey Super League
Match : Denizlispor - Fenerbahce
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Betsson
Odd : 1.90
Probability : 54%

[WON, 1-1]
League : Belgium Jupiler League
Match : Lokeren - Cercle Brugge
Pick : Under 2.5 goals
Bookie : Bet365
Odd : 1.85 (Also you can bet if odd is greater than 1.70)
Probability : 59%
--------------------------------------------------------------
Total Staked This Week : 100.00 Units
Total Return This Week : 126.70 Units
Now Cash : 168.79 Units

Total Success 110 Won / 173 Picks (63.6%)



ps.
www.soccerforecast.com will be updated at Tuesday for England, Germany and Spain. And page will be updated at Thursday for other leagues and picks.
ozangumus is offline  
Closed Thread