Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss)

[lunatism]

here are the results and stats for today:

DATE	LEAGUE	FIXTURE			REAL RESULT	CORRECT SCORE?	CORRECT WINNER?	RETURN
09/03/08	French CFA 2 - Groupe D	Racing Club Olympique Agathois	v	EF Bastia	6 - 2	---	YES	No Bet
09/03/08	Luxembourgian Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	v	CS Pétange	1 - 0	---	YES	No Bet
09/03/08	Serbian Srpska Liga - Beograd	Kolubara	v	Obilic Belgrade	2 - 0	YES	YES	No Bet
09/03/08	Swiss Challenge League	AC Bellinzona	v	FC Locarno	2 - 0	YES	YES	9.24

so as you can see....that's 100% for today, although only one game was bet on (from 4).

This brings up the strike rate quite a bit, and increases the yield a little too! So far, there will be no midweek games, but if that changes, i'll stick them up as soon as I know

STARTING BANK	100.00
CURENT BANK	102.73
TOTAL STAKED	36.14
NUMBER OF BETS	8
WINNING BETS	7
LOSING BETS	1
STRIKE RATE	87.50%
YIELD	8%
PROFIT / LOSS	2.73
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS	1.65
CORRECT SCORE	33% (3/9)
CORRECT MARGIN	33% (3/9)
WINNING AT HALF TIME	80% (4/5)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME	0% (0/5)
LOSING AT HALF TIME	20% (1/5)
HOME PERFORMANCE	88% (7/8)
AWAY PERFORMANCE	N/A
DURATION:	1 Days
LONGEST WINNING STREAK:	4
LONGEST LOSING STREAK:	1
CURRENT RUN:	4 Wins

so from the 8 selections this week, 5 were bettable, 1 was a void, 3 were wins, bringing in a yield of 8%. This will hopefully be built upon by an improved next weekend, which is shaping up to include a handful of UK fixtures (albeit lower leagues)

[lunatism]

DATE

LEAGUE

FIXTURE

RATING

LEAGUE

PREDICTION

SELECTION

1

X

2

SYSTEM

STRENGTH

FIXED

AH

AH ODDS

STAKE

BOOKIE

15/03/08

English National Conference

Exeter City FC

v

Droylsden FC

27

6 v 24

2 - 0

H

71%

22%

7%

LSS

6

1.26

1.50 (0: 1 1/2)

1.72

6.42

Pinnacle (AH)

15/03/08

English Northern Premier League - First Division: South (UniBond)

Retford United

v

Spalding United FC

31

1 v 18

2 - 0

H

74%

25%

1%

LSS

7

1.15

(1/4 2 :0) 2.25

1.93

6.68

Pinnacle (AH)

15/03/08

German Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

FC Heidenheim 1846

v

VfR Mannheim

31

3 v 17

2 - 0

H

69%

26%

5%

LSS

7

1.20

1.75 (0: 1 3/4)

1.85

6.68

Pinnacle (AH)

using AH for all of these, Exeter and Heidenheim should both get at least 2-0 wins, while i'm not confident at all that Retford will get the 3-0 suggested by pinnacle - so i'm taking the away Ah (Spalding to limit the damage to 2 goals).

Good Luck for the weekend ladies and gents

[dustbin2]

Good luck today Loon, on with two of the games but 365 dont do the Retford game Lets see a good day for both systems

[ardman123]

Originally Posted by dustbin2

Good luck today Loon, on with two of the games but 365 dont do the Retford game Lets see a good day for both systems

I would definitely recommend PinnacleSports as one of the best bookies on the web great limits and odds. If i was you i would get an account as soon as possible even if it does mean splitting your bank across 2 sites.

[dustbin2]

cheers ardman, I may get around to it sometime. Thankfully 365 do cover the picks from the aways system we are working on so Im not too bothered about missing the odd bet.

[lunatism]

just been brought to my attention that the Exeter game has been due to a wateloggd pitch...that sucks

[lunatism]

DATE	LEAGUE	FIXTURE			REAL RESULT	CORRECT SCORE?	CORRECT WINNER?	RETURN
15/03/08	English National Conference	Exeter City FC	v	Droylsden FC	POSTPONED	POSTPONED	POSTPONED	POSTPONED
15/03/08	English Northern Premier League - First Division: South (UniBond)	Retford United	v	Spalding United FC	3 - 2	---	YES	12.89
15/03/08	German Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg	FC Heidenheim 1846	v	VfR Mannheim	1 - 0	---	---	0.00

right, Heidenheim didn't meet the AH, but Spalding did manage to limit Retford, so there was some good news from today. There'll be some more matches tomorrow i think!

STARTING BANK	100.00
CURENT BANK	102.27
TOTAL STAKED	49.50
NUMBER OF BETS	10
WINNING BETS	8
LOSING BETS	2
STRIKE RATE	80.00%
YIELD	5%
PROFIT / LOSS	2.27
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS	1.71
CORRECT SCORE	27% (3/11)
CORRECT MARGIN	27% (3/11)
WINNING AT HALF TIME	83% (5/6)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME	0% (0/6)
LOSING AT HALF TIME	17% (1/6)
HOME PERFORMANCE	80% (8/10)
AWAY PERFORMANCE	N/A
DURATION:	7 Days
LONGEST WINNING STREAK:	4
LONGEST LOSING STREAK:	1
CURRENT RUN:	1 Losses

[palaceman]

I'm a bit confused, Loon. Maybe it's because I've been away for a couple of weeks and have missed something. I wonder if you could kindly clarify.

I assumed you were suggesting an Asian Handicap bet of -1 on both bets. If that was the case, wouldn't you have just got your money back on each bet, as both teams won by a goal?

I'm clearly saying something very silly but I don't know what it is.

[happygooner]

Originally Posted by palaceman

I'm a bit confused, Loon. Maybe it's because I've been away for a couple of weeks and have missed something. I wonder if you could kindly clarify.

I assumed you were suggesting an Asian Handicap bet of -1 on both bets. If that was the case, wouldn't you have just got your money back on each bet, as both teams won by a goal?

I'm clearly saying something very silly but I don't know what it is.

The AH on Retford & Spalding was 3 so as far as i'm aware the loon suggested to play Spalding +3 based upon his system only having a 2 goal win for Retford.

Correct me if i'm wrong loon.

[lunatism]

Originally Posted by happygooner

The AH on Retford & Spalding was 3 so as far as i'm aware the loon suggested to play Spalding +3 based upon his system only having a 2 goal win for Retford.

Correct me if i'm wrong loon.

spot on Goon, I was against Retford getting a win of 3 goals (the AH was +2.25), and I was backing Heidenheim to win by 2 (AH was -1.75)

[lunatism]