Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss)

[lunatism]

DATE

LEAGUE

FIXTURE

RATING

LEAGUE

PREDICTION

SELECTION

1

X

2

SYSTEM

STRENGTH

FIXED

AH

AH ODDS

STAKE

BOOKIE

16/02/08

English Southern Football League - Division One: Midlands (British Gas)

Sutton Coldfield Town

v

Malvern Town

28

3 v 20

3 - 0

H

74%

21%

4%

LSS

7

1.15

2.00 (0: 2)

1.93

7.30

Pinnacle (AH)

right folks, here's the only selection I have for Saturday.....things going to plan (like that ever happens) should see 4 selections for Sunday. although the downside to that is that only two can be bet on (the others live in the erroneous leagues somewhere near the centre of the earth i've been told)

fixed odds of 1.15 for this game are way too low to be taken seriously, so we're going to see whether Sutton can match (or better) my score prediction and take on the AH of -2.00

good luck

[lunatism]

Not quite the 3-0 plus that I hoped for from Sutton, but they equalled the handicap and so the result is void (better than losing.....i guess):

DATE	LEAGUE	FIXTURE			REAL RESULT	CORRECT SCORE?	CORRECT WINNER?	RETURN
16/02/08	English Southern Football League - Division One: Midlands (British Gas)	Sutton Coldfield Town	v	Malvern Town	3 - 1	---	YES	VOID

STARTING BANK	100.00
CURENT BANK	112.36
TOTAL STAKED	198.61
NUMBER OF BETS	30
WINNING BETS	22
LOSING BETS	8
STRIKE RATE	73.33%
YIELD	6%
PROFIT / LOSS	12.36
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS	1.48
CORRECT SCORE	16% (5/32)
CORRECT MARGIN	16% (5/32)
WINNING AT HALF TIME	65% (15/23)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME	30% (7/23)
LOSING AT HALF TIME	4% (1/23)
HOME PERFORMANCE	75% (21/28)
AWAY PERFORMANCE	50% (1/2)

STARTING BANK	100.00
CURENT BANK	129.38
TOTAL STAKED	129.01
NUMBER OF BETS	19
WINNING BETS	17
LOSING BETS	2
STRIKE RATE	89.47%
YIELD	23%
PROFIT / LOSS	29.38
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS	1.45
CORRECT SCORE	20% (4/20)
CORRECT MARGIN	20% (4/20)
WINNING AT HALF TIME	71% (10/14)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME	29% (4/14)
LOSING AT HALF TIME	0% (0/14)
HOME PERFORMANCE	89% (16/18)
AWAY PERFORMANCE	100% (1/1)

soooooooooooooo...we end the day as we start it, a nice comfortable 23% yield (or 6% yield depending on what system you're looking at)

i'll post the selections for the tomorrow as soon as possible (i think soon = sunday really early)

[lunatism]

damn it - know what i just found out? that one of my selections for today happened to play yesterday. not only that, but they won, not only that, but the score prediction was spot on ..... that's a lot soccerway

in the next hour or so, i'll be posting up any selections that are left for today.

i'm no cheat - i won't be adding this game to my stats or selection data, but i'm just letting you know what it was. chose to believe me or not, but this is a game that my system had generated for today:

17/02/08 Belgian 2e klasse KVSK United Overpelt-Lommel v KFC Verbroedering Geel 5 v 19 28 2 - 0 H 74% 20% 7%

(sorry for loss of table structure...firefox error - but not too important anyway - just wanted you lot to see the selection)

.....hopefully the selection(s) for today fare just as well as that game did!

[lunatism]

right, here we go.....another shot at the AH for today. Sorry people, only one selection again

DATE

LEAGUE

FIXTURE

RATING

LEAGUE

PREDICTION

SELECTION

1

X

2

SYSTEM

STRENGTH

FIXED

AH

AH ODDS

STAKE

BOOKIE

17/02/08

Spanish Segunda B - Groupo 1

Rayo Vallecano

v

CD San Isidro

27

5 v 20

2 - 0

H

75%

19%

6%

LSS

6

1.30

1.00 (0: 1)

1.72

7.02

Pinnacle (AH)

"traditionally" (last three times the two have met) a high scoring match, should see a few goals here, might end up being 3-1 / 4-2 rather than the 2-0 predicted though

good luck!!

[dustbin2]

Hi Loon, just finally having the time to read your system through. Impressive and thorough( as if it could be anything else ). Will keep following with interest. GL

[lunatism]

Originally Posted by dustbin2

Hi Loon, just finally having the time to read your system through. Impressive and thorough( as if it could be anything else ). Will keep following with interest. GL

haha, thanks Dusty...you must have put aside some hours (and a bit more) to read through all the tripe on here!! thanks for the support

[lunatism]

hey all - good news or not so good news first? Don't worry, nothing major. Rayo won....althought didnt didn't win 2-0, they did beat the AH, winning 3-1 (as i suggested they might when i wrote the selection out this morning). So no correct score, but a correct margin (which is ALL IMPORTANT when betting with AH) and a winner to take away the disappointment of the mixed up date with the KSVK game!!

There are more games on tuesday (as far as I know...although that will probably change after tongihts matches)...i'll keep you all informed:

DATE	LEAGUE	FIXTURE			REAL RESULT	CORRECT SCORE?	CORRECT WINNER?	RETURN
17/02/08	Spanish Segunda B - Groupo 1	Rayo Vallecano	v	CD San Isidro	3 - 1	---	YES	12.08

STARTING BANK	100.00
CURENT BANK	117.42
TOTAL STAKED	205.63
NUMBER OF BETS	31
WINNING BETS	23
LOSING BETS	8
STRIKE RATE	74.19%
YIELD	8%
PROFIT / LOSS	17.42
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS	1.49
CORRECT SCORE	15% (5/33)
CORRECT MARGIN	18% (6/33)
WINNING AT HALF TIME	65% (15/23)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME	30% (7/23)
LOSING AT HALF TIME	4% (1/23)
HOME PERFORMANCE	76% (22/29)
AWAY PERFORMANCE	50% (1/2)

STARTING BANK	100.00
CURENT BANK	134.44
TOTAL STAKED	136.03
NUMBER OF BETS	20
WINNING BETS	18
LOSING BETS	2
STRIKE RATE	90.00%
YIELD	25%
PROFIT / LOSS	34.44
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS	1.47
CORRECT SCORE	19% (4/21)
CORRECT MARGIN	24% (5/21)
WINNING AT HALF TIME	71% (10/14)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME	29% (4/14)
LOSING AT HALF TIME	0% (0/14)
HOME PERFORMANCE	89% (17/19)
AWAY PERFORMANCE	100% (1/1)

as you can no doubt see, orange selections quite a bit ahead at the minute - 18 wins from 20 matches, hopefully that can continue. Correct scores for this predictions is also at 19%, with winning at half time at 71%, maybe there's the possiblity of looking into half time bets opening up?!

[lunatism]

shame, no selections for today - but seems there WILL be a handful for the weekend, so not to worry