Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss)

[lunatism]

sorry folks - no selections for today...just have to wait until Tueday when the next one should come up!!

[happygooner]

Originally Posted by lunatism

haha....is that you claiming discovery of another system on the sly?

but on a serious note folks, i've been giving the LSS Almosts to Goon for a bit, and they've done his bank some good, so we thought it would only be fair to share the wealth!

Absolutely nothing I can take credit for here haha!

[lunatism]

aaah - the one selection that was up for tomorrow has packed its bags and disappeared. But that's just the "system" looking out for itself I guess (or a postponement ). Anything comes up, you guys will be the first to know!

[lunatism]

what a boring week so far - weekend will bring some games in (always does), let's hope they're good ones

[marron]

Doing very well so far mate, lets hope you can keep it up.

Good Luck

[lunatism]

Originally Posted by marron

Doing very well so far mate, lets hope you can keep it up.

Good Luck

thanks....how's your website going - or did you never set it up in the end?

[marron]

Not yet, but it will be up sometime in the future.

Good luck once again

[lunatism]

DATE	LEAGUE	FIXTURE			RATING	LEAGUE	PREDICTION	SELECTION	1	X	2	SYSTEM	STRENGTH	FIXED	AH	AH ODDS	STAKE	BOOKIE
05/04/08	Belgian 2e klasse	Royal Antwerp FC	v	KFC Verbroedering Geel	29	4 v 19	2 - 0	H	77%	18%	5%	LSS	7	1.12	---	---	9.87	bWin (F)
05/04/08	Bosnian Premier League	NK Celik Zenica	v	NK Zepce	28	3 v 16	2 - 0	H	80%	16%	4%	LSS	6	1.05	(2 :0) 2.0	1.93	8.81	Pinnacle (AH)
05/04/08	Bosnian 1.Liga - RS	Borac Banja Luka	v	Jedinstvo Crkvina	38	2 v 16	2 - 0	H	74%	23%	3%	LSS	7	---	---	---	---	---
05/04/08	Bulgarian B PFG - East	PFC Sliven	v	Benkovski Byala	34	1 v 14	2 - 0	H	75%	22%	2%	LSS	7	---	---	---	---	---
05/04/08	Serbian Srpska Liga - Istok	Sindjelic Nis	v	OFK Nis	38	1 v 16	2 - 0	H	76%	22%	2%	LSS	7	---	---	---	---	---

right, again I wonder why Pinnacle don't have a match...almost every fixture in this league for the weekend - of course except the Royal Antwerp one! As i've said before, i'm not a huge fan of going against the AH, but I feel I must for the Zenica fixture, these two usually play out a tight game, and a 2-0 is most likely here, although 8 out of the last 11 (from 2002 until today) have finished with a 1 goal win (or draw), which means it most likely will finish less than two goals.....but i'm not sure

Zenica should win, but the fixed odds of 1.05 are not really value at all, and i don't think that this home side can win by 3 goals, if they do, they will not only have to do something they have NEVER done against the away side before (in over 12 fixtures since 2002), but they will also have to win by more than 2 for the first time since September. 4 of their last 6 home games (in the league) finished up with one goal wins to the home side, so it's very likely to happen again (doesn't mean it will of course - but there's a little bit of reasoning behind that)......

...if you don't feel comfortable with that - take the 1.05

GOOD LUCK!!!

[happygooner]

So just out of interest, if a tight game is expected why don't you take the AH+ on the away team?

[lunatism]

Originally Posted by happygooner

So just out of interest, if a tight game is expected why don't you take the AH+ on the away team?

i did ...that's why it says
(2:0) 2.0 1.93 Pinnacle (AH)

[happygooner]

Thought i'd advise that the Bosnian game is now +2.5 @ 1.6 so even more security

[lunatism]

DATE	LEAGUE	FIXTURE			REAL RESULT	CORRECT SCORE?	CORRECT WINNER?	RETURN
05/04/08	Belgian 2e klasse	Royal Antwerp FC	v	KFC Verbroedering Geel	2 - 2	---	---	0.00
05/04/08	Bosnian Premier League	NK Celik Zenica	v	NK Zepce	4 - 1	---	---	0.00
05/04/08	Bosnian 1.Liga - RS	Borac Banja Luka	v	Jedinstvo Crkvina	3 - 0	---	YES	No Bet
05/04/08	Bulgarian B PFG - East	PFC Sliven	v	Benkovski Byala	3 - 1	---	YES	No Bet
05/04/08	Serbian Srpska Liga - Istok	Sindjelic Nis	v	OFK Nis	3 - 1	---	YES	No Bet

STARTING BANK	100.00
CURENT BANK	122.27
TOTAL STAKED	156.70
NUMBER OF BETS	28
WINNING BETS	24
LOSING BETS	4
STRIKE RATE	85.71%
YIELD	14%
PROFIT / LOSS	22.27
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS	1.59
CORRECT SCORE	14% (4/29)
CORRECT MARGIN	28% (8/29)
WINNING AT HALF TIME	76% (13/17)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME	18% (3/17)
LOSING AT HALF TIME	6% (1/17)
HOME PERFORMANCE	86% (24/28)
AWAY PERFORMANCE	N/A
DURATION:	28 Days
LONGEST WINNING STREAK:	13
LONGEST LOSING STREAK:	2
CURRENT RUN:	3 Wins

record longest ever longest streak of 2 hit today, before the 3 non bets put it back into a run of 3 wins. But that doesn't really help matters, since i'm sure i wasn't the only one who felt a little stung by the results of today.

My preliminary list for today brings up three selections, after the data updaets have run i'll post them.

[lunatism]

right - i have three selections for today - but i'm holding onto them for a bit while i wait for pinnacle to put the AH's on their site (which they tell