Horses For Courses

[Crouch Potato]

Surprisingly, not actually a system about horses, but golfers. The premise is to back players who have a demonstrated history of playing well on a particular course. It will either be to win, w/o Woods, top 5/10, top nationality etc., depending on the odds and competition etc. Each selection will be staked 10pts, possibly broken down into a combo of bets (i.e. 5pts e/w etc.).

First bet up is the AT&T Classic (TPC @ Sugarloaf), going for Zach Johnson, who has won two of the past 4 classics, and a T2 in between. Going for the win only:

10pts Zach Johnson to win @ 18.5 Betfair

[Crouch Potato]

Poor start with Johnson not figuring in the final equations.

Just one for the BMW Championship this week (Wentworth); Angel Cabrera, who has won this event previously and also has 3 Top 5 finishes since 2001.

5pts E/W Cabrera to win @ 26.00 (Lasseters)

EW Terms: 1/4 odds 1-2-3-4-5

[Crouch Potato]

And one for the Crowne Plaza in Fort Worth, where Kenny Perry has won once previously with a couple of runner up finishes. He's in good form at the moment so hopefully he can close one out this time.

5pts Kenny Perry to win @ 26.00 Sportsbet
5pts Kenny Perry top 5 finish @ 5.50 Centrebet

[stewartd14]

Great idea mate and I am sure it will be a successful system. A pity you didnt include Imada last week who lost in a play off last year to Zach Johnson. I see you take more than the 1 year into account though.

Anyway, best of luck with this.

[Wumpking]

Good luck with this system - looks very interesting

[Tulenos]

For a similar reason I'm on both Cabrera and Perry this week too And adding Bairn to be winning after R1 as he's got incredible record in it this year

[Crouch Potato]

Cheers guys

Originally Posted by stewartd14

Great idea mate and I am sure it will be a successful system. A pity you didnt include Imada last week who lost in a play off last year to Zach Johnson. I see you take more than the 1 year into account though.

Yeah, I figured if you only include the one good performance, you'd have a lot more people to choose from, and you'd have to consider other factors more (I am admittedly not very educated about golf). I'm also trying to keep the good performances the most recent, which is why someone like Monty, who threepeated the BMW back in 98-2000 isn't included this weekend, as he's done **** all since.

Both my guys horribly out of contention, so we'll write them off and bring the system figures to:

Selections 3:
Win Bets: 3
Wins: 0
Top 5 Bets: 2
Wins: 0
Staked: 30
Returned: 0
Profit: -30

Nothing to be too concerned about though, with the odds we're dealing with here that can easily be turned around.

[Crouch Potato]

The Memorial

Kenny Perry
1 - 2003
3 - 2007
T6 - 2004
T7 - 2001

5pts E/W Kenny Perry @ 34.00 [Lasseters]

KJ Choi
1 - 2007
5th - 2004
T8 - 2002

5pts E/W KJ Choi @ 41.00 [Sports Acumen]

[Crouch Potato]

Kenny Perry gets us underway

Selections: 5
Win Bets: 5
Wins: 1
Top 5 Bets: 4
Wins: 1
Staked: 50
Returned: 216.25
Profit: +156.25

[Wumpking]

Nice result at well nice odds

[Crouch Potato]

Cheers mate. Just the beginning I hope. For reference, the Memorial was played at the Muirfield Village Golf Club.

Austrian Open - Fontana Golf Club

Marcus Brier
2006 - 1st
2004 - 1st
2002 - 1st

10pts Marcus Brier to win @ 23.00 Sportsbet

[Crouch Potato]

Stanford St. Jude Championship - TPC @ Southwind

David Toms
1st - 2003, 2004
2nd - 2005
3rd - 2007
4th - 2002

5pts E/W David Toms @ 19.00 Lasseters

[Crouch Potato]

Not over yet but my guys for the weekend are as good as dead.

Selections: 7
Win Bets: 7
Wins: 1
Top 5 Bets: 5
Wins: 1
Staked: 70
Returned: 216.25
Profit: +146.25

[Crouch Potato]

The first major for the system is upon us and here's too a big result. The US Open is being played on the Torrey Pines South course, which hosts the last 2 rounds of the Buick Invitational. For simplicity sakes, I have just used Buick results for course form:

Charles Howell III
2 - 2007
T2 - 2005
T7 - 2003
T13 - 2008

5pts Charles Howell III to win @ 190 Betfair
5pts Charles Howell Top 10 Finish @ 15.00 Sportingbet

Luke Donald
T2 - 2004, 2005
T7 - 2003

3pts Luke Donald Winner W/O Woods @ 28 Betfair
7pts Luke Donald Top 10 Finish @ 4.50 Sportingbet

And finally, Tiger Woods, who has won 5 of the past 6 Buicks. Given he is Tiger I wasn't sure to take him or not, but he has good odds due to his knee injury and so I am going to take him (This system pays no attention what-so-ever to injuries - at least atm lol).

Tiger Woods
1st - 2008,2007,2006,2005,2003

10pts Tiger Woods to Win @ 4.40 Betfair

[Crouch Potato]

Nothing from Donald or Howell, but Tiger gets up to record us a rather small and menial profit. For simplicity purposes, we'll calculate commission at 5%.

So 44pts returned on a market with 15pts staked, .05 * 29 = 1.45

Selections: 10
Outright Bets: 9
Wins: 2
Winner W/O Woods Bets:1
Wins:0
Top 5 Bets: 5
Wins: 1
Top 10 Bets: 2
Wins: 0
Staked: 100
Returned: 258.8
Profit: +158.8

[Crouch Potato]

The BMW International is not held at the same course each year and so will not be including this week.

The Travellers Championship @ TPC River Highwind has been a fixture there since 1994, so is quite fine.

Hunter Mahan
1st - 2007
2nd - 2006

Bet 5pts Hunter Mahan to win @ 22 Betfair
Bet 5pts Hunter Mahan Top 5 @ 5.4 Betfair

Woody Austin
1st - 2004
T5 - 2006
T9 - 2005

Bet 5pts Woody Austin to win @ 70 Betfair
Bet 5pts Woody Austin Top 10 @ 5.9 Betfair

[Crouch Potato]

Hunter Mahan finishes T2 to collect another small profit. Shame he didn't have agood first round as he was only one shot back.

27pts returned on 5pts staked, 22pt profit so commission of 1.1pts and net return of 25.9pts.

Selections: 12
Outright Bets: 11
Wins: 2
Winner W/O Woods Bets:1
Wins: 0
Top 5 Bets: 6
Wins: 2
Top 10 Bets: 3
Wins: 0
Staked: 120
Returned: 284.7
Profit: +164.7

[Crouch Potato]

Open De France (Le Golf National - Marseille)

Soren Hansen
2nd - 2007
3rd - 2005
T10 - 2004

5pts E/W Soren Hansen @ 29 Lasseters

ONE MORE TO COME

Buick Open @ Warwick Hills

Jim Furyk
1st - 2003
2nd - 2006
T2 - 2001
T5 - 2007
T6 - 2004,2005
T10 - 2002

10pts Jim Furyk to Win @ 12 Centrebet

[Crouch Potato]

Hansen places so another weekend of slight frustration.

Selections: 14
Outright Bets: 13
Wins: 2
Winner W/O Woods Bets:1
Wins: 0
Top 5 Bets: 7
Wins: 3
Top 10 Bets: 3
Wins: 0
Staked: 140
Returned: 324.7
Profit: +184.7

[Crouch Potato]

I'm currently in preparation for the Tour De France, so there will be no selections this week