Head-to Head Meetings

[jtw1]

Here's another 'system' i run on the same forum as the UNDERS thread and is pretty successful at finding the winners , non-losers if you like the ASIANS ,
It's as straight-forward an idea as you could imagine as it looks at the recent previous results between the teams in their particular fixture to identify any match in which one side has a historical adavantage over another.
Here's the selections and results for yesterdays games THIS IS NOT A USUAL OCCURENCE SO DON'T GET TOO EXCITED

jtw1 Group Class	Posted 02-03-2007 08:57 PM Hide Post BREMEN v bochum 6-1-0 1.36 WOLFSBURG v m'gladbach 5-0-1 1.9 CELTIC v dunfermline 15-0-3 1.16 beveren v GENK 1-0-4 1.66 AEK v aris 5-0-0 1.4 portsmouth v CHELSEA 0-0-3 [0-0-7 H/A] 1.57 PSV v rkc 10-1-0 1.16 ANDERLECHT v charleroi 9-1-0 1.36 cercle brugges v STANDARD L 1-0-4 1.85 AUXERRE v rennes 4-0-0 2.25
	Posts: 2019 | Registered: 14-08-2004

Ignored post by jtw1 posted 02-03-2007 08:57 PM Show Post

jtw1 Group Class

Posted 04-03-2007 12:34 AM Hide Post COP THIS LOT !!!!!!!!!! BREMEN 3-0 WOLFSBURG 1-0 CELTIC 2-1 GENK 5-0 AEK 3-1 CHELSEA 2-0 PSV 2-0 ANDERLECHT 3-2 AUXERRE 1-0 STANDARD L 2-0

The first group are the games where either home or away side has a recent history or 4+ wins in that particular fixture.
The bold letters indicate the team which holds the advantage and are followed by the recent record they hold in that fixture.
The final set of figures are the best odds for that match.
e.g the first game looks at BREMEN v bochum who have faced each other 6 times in that fixture with BREMEN winning 6 and drawing 1 and losing 0 from the most recent meetings and are 1.36 to win again.

Heres todays picks -

FEYENOORD v roda 6-1-0 1.65
SOCHUAX v nantes 4-0-0 1.83
JUVENTUS v piacenza 7-0-0 1.28
g.zabrze v WISLA KRACKOW 0-0-6 1.72

[jtw1]

Juventus 4-0
Wisla 4-0
Feyenoord 1-1
Sochaux 1-2

[staffy]

Intersting start JTW. We will be naming the systems forum after you soon.

[jtw1]

SATURDAY
----------

1- G'BIRLIGI v g'tepspor 5-1-0 1.75
2- STUTTGART v wolfsburg 5-1-0 1.61
3- HALIFAX v exeter 5-1-0 2.7
4- MACCLESFIELD v shrewsbury 6-0-1 2.5
5- PAOK v aigaleo 4-0-1 1.7
6- WILLEM II v groningen 9-0-0 2.62
7- CLUB BRUGGE v westerlo 8-1-0 1.5
8- NICE v rennes 4-1-0 2.2

Some very interesting figures to consider , namely WILLEM II
MACCLESFIELD + HALIFAX

[jtw1]

As i say it's not a system as such but a draw-no-bet or ASIAN H'Caps acca usually comes in.

HALIFAX 2-1
PAOK 2-0
WILLEM II 3-0
C BRUGGE 2-0
G'BIRLIGI 0-0
STUTTGART 0-0
M'FIELD 2-2
NICE 0-0

SUNDAY
------

ankaragucu v BESIKTAS 0-1-6 2.05
twente v AJAX 0-1-5 3.0
PSG v auxerre 5-1-0 2.1
SPARTA PRAGUE v jablonec 6-0-0 1.33

[methuselah]

Would Brondby-Nordjylland fit.
5-1-0 and8-2-0 with aways included.

[jtw1]

Correct me if i'm wrong mate but i beleive the Danes have the same league set-up as the SCOTS Prem + SWISS in that each team plays each other 4 times [ 2 home , 2 away] .
I prefer the more traditional 1 home 1 away for H2H records.


BESIKTAS 1-0
AJAX 3-1
PSG 0-1
S.PRAGUE 0-2

[aliando]

seems a consistent 50% strike rate following the intial games - what prices are/can you get(ting)?

[jtw1]

The odds i quote are taken from BET RESCUE and are usually the best odds available from the most popular bookies.

[jtw1]

FRIDAY
------

RKC v roda 5-1-0 2.6

[jtw1]

3-2 RKC

[jtw1]

TRABSONSPOR v a'gucu 4-0-0 1.61
DORTMUND v nurnberg 4-1-0 2.3
SCALKE v stuttgart 7-1-0 1.9
WOLFSBURGv bochum 4-1-0 1.9
RANGERS v aberdeen 14-2-0 1.57
MARSEILLE v nice 5-0-0 1.72

[raylin]

Excellent idea
Could be more profitable if you shopped around for better odds
betfair for instance althouh commission will reduce price still better odds
TRABSONSPOR v a'gucu 4-0-0 1.61 same
DORTMUND v nurnberg 4-1-0 2.3 same
SCALKE v stuttgart 7-1-0 1.9 2.02
WOLFSBURGv bochum 4-1-0 1.9 2.06
RANGERS v aberdeen 14-2-0 1.57 1.69
MARSEILLE v nice 5-0-0 1.72 1.93

[jtw1]

True raylin , Betfair are usually slightly better odds but i post the odds to give people a rough idea of what the bookies think and see if they are offering, what could be, a decent bet if we were to consider the h2h form only.
eg - DORTMUND may not be the force of old but Nurnberg have still not managed a win there in 5 outings so at 2.3 it could well be worth further investigation and have a look at team news/injuries etc.

Cheers for the input mate

[jtw1]

WOLFSBURG 3-1
SCHALKE 1-0
RANGERS 3-0
MARSEILLE 3-0
DORTMUND 0-0
T'SONSPOR 0-1


SUNDAY
------

FEYENOORD v WILLEM II 11-0-0 1.4
LEVERKUSEN v m'gladbach 5-1-0 1.72
OLYMPIAKOS v aris 4-0-1 1.28
AUXERRE v lens 6-1-0 2.5
LAZIO v empoli 4-1-0 1.53

[staffy]

Nice going mate.

[jtw1]

LEVERKUSEN 1-0
AUXERRE 1-0
LAZIO 3-0
FEYENOORD 0-0
OLYMPIAKOS 0-0


MONDAY
------

SLAVIA PRAGUE v brno 5-1-0 1.61

[lenda]

congratulations 2 sistem very good !!!

[jtw1]

SLAVIA PRAGUE 2-1

[allthethings]

I would think that over time you'll hit a bit over 50%, perhaps as high as 55%, which will be just enough to cover (maybe) at some of the odds you're getting.

Theoretically it stands to reason since, for example, PSV has been a top team forever, and Roda has not...the trouble is that the teams change from year to year, and I'd wonder whether results from 2003 are relevant in 2007.

BOL with it, though, it seems to working for you so far.