greyhound laying another system

[byrnesy]

Before i go live tomorrow, i am going to open myself up for i hope some constructive criticsm.
The system is remarkably simple, all i do is lay the previous trap winner. ie trap 6 wins at hall green, next race at hall green lay trap 6.
Stakes have been kept to a mimimum, but this is the risky bit. If the lay loses ie wins the liability then rolls onto the next bet.
Stinks of martingale i know, but will only roll over twice.
I have of course been tracking and betting a bit on this system over the last 20 days which corresponds to approx a 1000 races it is so far looking very good.
As an example and not after eventing todays results so far
Hall Green Newcastle
6 3 2 4 1 3
2 3 5 5 6 1
4 2 1 3 4 5
1 2 6 5 1 4
5 1 3 4 5 3
1 4 3 2 3 6

looking forward to some fierce criticsm to hopefully rip it to shreds but at the moment i cant see any flaws, except of course i have to spend three hours in front of the computer.
Anyway i have won enough money from you boys in the past now is the time to stop looking and maybe start inputting

[byrnesy]

just looked at post sorry about the figures first three are at hall green second three at newcastle

[KevinTHFC]

Interesting idea, are you looking to stop at a winner or just keep going through he card?

Kevin

[Norfolk Enchance]

The system is remarkably simple, all i do is lay the previous trap winner. ie trap 6 wins at hall green, next race at hall green lay trap 6.

I don't see why the previous winner being trap 6 makes it less likely that the next winner will be trap 6.

Surely each race is an independent event?

[stewartd14]

Another slight problem I think. If it rains and there is a track bias, happens quite often in greyhound racing, then surely it increases the probability of consecutive trap winners. Just a thought. Good luck anyway

[byrnesy]

I believe in BAGS racing as probobaly in any dog racing that form is not all it is cracked out to be. I think that all i am doing is choosing another form of random picking. I could have picked whoever finishes second to lay in the next race. It is purely random, I have looked at form, and the so called experts ie racing post but have seen so many good things get beat that it just made me think. Anyway we will soon see and yes i am going to try and go through the morning cards, certainly at sunderland and sheffield today will post lays shortly.

[byrnesy]

Sunderland 11 03 Trap 2
1000 point start 5 point lays

[byrnesy]

Sunderland 11 03 result 6 1 2 Lay trap 6 in the 11 19
profit net of comission 4.85
Sheff 11 11 trap 3

[byrnesy]

Sheffield 11 11 result 2 1 5 Lay trap 2 11 28
profit after two races 9.70

[byrnesy]

Sunderland 11 19 result 3 5 1 Lay trap 3 in the 11 34
Profit 14.55

[byrnesy]

Sheffield 1128 result 5 1 2 Lay trap 5 in the 11 42

[byrnesy]

Sunderland 11 34 result 1 2 4 Lay trap 1 in the 11 48

[byrnesy]

Sheffield 11 42 result 1 6 5 lay trap 1 in the 11 57

[byrnesy]

Sunderland 11 48 result 1 2 6 Lay trap 1 in the 12 04
First recovery stake for next at sheffield 26 points

[byrnesy]

Sheffield 11 57 result 4 2 5 first recovery comes in all back to plan continue on 5 points. lay trap 4 in the 12 12

[byrnesy]

Sunderland 12 04 result 2 5 3 lay trap 2 in the 12 18

[thunderfoot]

What Odds are you LAying against?

[byrnesy]

Sheffield 12 12 result 6 1 5 Lay trap 6 in the 12 27

[byrnesy]

Sunderland 12 18 result 2 1 5 recovery again at sheffield 75 points on trap 6. Lay trap 2 in the 12 32

[aldric]

Just a thought if you do happen to lose 2 races in a row... and in this example you are laying 75 on trap 2 on odds around 6.6... IF that loses you won't be able to roll it over as the greyhounds don't have that kind of liquidity.

Does that make sense?

I see trap 2 came 2nd on that race.... but if it had won your stake for the next race would have been HUGE.