Go UNDER for Summer Sunshine

[jtw1]

Ok the Summer leagues are well under way and i think it's time to have a bash at the UNDER 2.5 goal market with a bit of a twist from the usual selection process.

What i'm proposing is picking games from those leagues where the Unders are sitting at 60% or better and right now both the Finnish VEIKKAUSLIIGA [63.5%] + YKKONEN[67.3%] , the Swedish ALLVENSKAN [60.4] , RUSSIAN PREMIER [62.8%] and the IRISH PREMIER [ 60%] are in that bracket .

Now where i used to look at past h2h results to start looking at games where Unders may happen , for this thread i'm going to concentrate on the last 6 home/away league games and selecting those teams where their goal tally is less than games played ..

To give an example we'll start off with the 1st selection and thats over in Finland where KuPS take on MyPa on Saturday.

KuPS have played 3 HOME games and have only scored 2 goals in those.
MyPa have played 4 AWAYS and have only scored 1 goal in those.

So it's only the league stats and games/goals ratio i'm looking at here , if there happens to be a decent h2h then i'll flag that up but as i say it's not a necessity here .

Another change is that instead of going for 3 straight wins , it'll only be 2 this time .
Staring as usual with 100pt bank and all odds will be care of Bet365.

BET 1 - STAKE 10pts on UNDER 2.5 goals , Kups v MyPa , @ 1.61

[beuher2000]

what do you mean by "3 straight wins" ?

any staking system?

[vitalyo]

GL jtw1 . You are the man on picking UNDERS
I have been fallowing your trends for a very long time . Cheers and GL.

[jtw1]

Cheers vitalyo

Originally Posted by beuher2000

what do you mean by "3 straight wins" ?

any staking system?

Sorry mate , i assumed [ wrongly] that the majority to follow this would be familiar with my main Trends system which runs throught the main Euro league season.

To cut a long story short , each bet will be basically a double with the returns [if any] from bet 1 going straight onto bet 2 .
So if the Kups game finishes UNDER then the returns from that goes straight onto bet 2 .
If that comes in then we bank the returns and start again .

Thats it in a nutshell , hope it's a bit clearer

[beuher2000]

thanks for explaining. I wish you big wins and few goals

[jtw1]

Going to be a long 2nd 45 mins !!!

0-2 at HT

[jtw1]

Originally Posted by jtw1

Going to be a long 2nd 45 mins !!!

0-2 at HT

And it was well worth the wait

0-2 ft

[jtw1]

Bet 2 - Sunday - SATURN v LOKOMOTIV M - Russian Prem .

Saturn have played 6 at home and scored 2 .
Lokomotiv have played 5 aways and scored 2 goals .

Stake 16.1 pts on UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.5 with Paddy Power/Stan James

[vitalyo]

Originally Posted by jtw1

BET 1 - STAKE 10pts on UNDER 2.5 goals , Kups v MyPa , @ 1.61

N1! TNX for the pick .
Congrats .Great start .


BOL.

[KThom]

Good luck Jtw - I am doing something similar in looking for actual 0-0's over the summer. None for this weekend, but I do have this Lokomotiv game down as a 0-1 away win.

[beuher2000]

Originally Posted by jtw1

And it was well worth the wait

0-2 ft

nice!
I wanted to take it after 2nd goal but couldnt find it in live-betting...

good job

[beuher2000]

Originally Posted by jtw1

Bet 2 - Sunday - SATURN v LOKOMOTIV M - Russian Prem .

Saturn have played 6 at home and scored 2 .
Lokomotiv have played 5 aways and scored 2 goals .

Stake 16.1 pts on UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.5 with Paddy Power/Stan James

careful i heard lokomotiv changed coach...

[kevsul]

Good Luck with this one JT

[THE MAN]

Hi JTW(and everyone else)
This is my 1st post,so please be gentle with moi.
In your introduction to this method,you said you were choosing games from the last 6 H/A results.

Then,in your first selection the away team had only played 4 games.
In your next selection(for today)the away team has only played 5 games.

Am i misinterpreting something?

By the way,I dont give a tinkers cuss HOW you get the winning bets,as long as you DO get them :-)

Thx.
THE MAN.

[jtw1]

Originally Posted by THE MAN

Hi JTW(and everyone else)
This is my 1st post,so please be gentle with moi.
In your introduction to this method,you said you were choosing games from the last 6 H/A results.

Then,in your first selection the away team had only played 4 games.
In your next selection(for today)the away team has only played 5 games.

Am i misinterpreting something?

By the way,I dont give a tinkers cuss HOW you get the winning bets,as long as you DO get them :-)

Thx.
THE MAN.

THE MAN .

Apologies for the lack of clarity mate , again i fall into the trap of thinking that those who read this are regular readers [ with respect to the main Under's thrad run through the main season ]

It should read that i'll be looking back at no more than the previous 6 home or away games played by each side .
I feel to go back too far can cause problems and it's relatively recent form we're interested in.
Tbh maybe the 6 games is 2 too much but we'll see how things go .

Hope that helps mate , if not feel free to ask any questions

[ going out for the rest of the day so don't expect a quick reply ]

[THE MAN]

Thanks JTW.
Clear as crystal now.
THE MAN

[THE MAN]

Well done JTW1
2-0 FT
THE MAN

[jtw1]

Cheers mate

2-0 ft as THE MAN points out .

So that a return of 24.15pts all of which is banked

Staring Bank = 100pts

Current Bank = 114.15pts

[jtw1]

Weds - Finnish VEIKKAUSLIIGA
-------------------------------------

TAMPERE v RoPS

TAMPERE have scored 4 goals in 5 Homes
RoPS have scored 3 goals in 5 Aways

Stake 10pts UNDER 2.5 @ 1.82 [ bet 365]

[jtw1]

3-1 ft

Friday - Irish Premier .
-------------------------

DROGHEDA v St PATS

Drogheda have scored 5 in 6 homes
St Pats have scored 3 in 6 aways

Stake 10pts @ 1.53 with Paddy Power .