Cavelloman's Ratings and Systems .

[cavelloman]

Working on power ratings and game analysis at present will post up tomorro evening with the Paul Ross System bets. New system to start very soon..........waitttt ffffooooor itttt.

[cavelloman]

Decided to post tonight late.

HOME TEAMS	PEN POWER	PURE PEN	PR RATING	PRICE	VALUE	COMMENTS
W BREMEN	1.6	1.2	11.25	1.86	YES	1.92(-0.5 AH) with CanBet
NORTHAMPTON	1.6	1.3	17.25	1.83	YES	1.85@SportingBet
M K DONS	1.6	1.1	12.50	1.44
ARSENAL	1.2	0.6	12.00	1.65
HAMBURG	1.2	0.8	0.25	1.66
ROMA	1.1	0.8	29.00	1.26
WBA	1.0	0.8	15.25	1.83	YES	1.83 @ ToteSport
ST ETTIENNE	0.7	0.6	11.25	2.10	YES	2.05@SportingBet
LILLE	0.3	0.0	13.25	3.20	YES	6 pts @3.25 Coral + 4 pts Draw @3.1 with Bet365

AWAY TEAMS	PEN POWER	PURE PEN	PR RATINGS	PRICE	VALUE	COMMENTS
MAN U	2.9	1.8	-34.5	1.37
LIVERPOOL	2.0	1.2	-11.8	1.83
CELTIC	2.0	1.2	-5.5	1.62
DUNDEE U	1.6	1.2	0.8	1.80
B LEVEN	1.5	1.3	2.3	2.28
SWANSEA	1.4	0.7	-31.0	2.10	POSS
BARCELONA	1.4	1.0	-4.5	2.10
TOTTENHAM	1.3	0.9	-4.8	2.03
SEVILLA	1.2	0.4	-10.3	1.49
WOLVES	0.7	0.6	-26.8	2.50
WIGAN	0.2	0.6	-13.5	6.20	YES	4 pts @5.5 & 6 pts Draw @3.6 with Bet365

Others may follow later if prices move in the right direction.

[cavelloman]

Add this "Value Bet"


Hull City +0.7 Pen Pow,+0.6 Pure Pen, But PR Rating against by 11.25

Hull City 5 pts Win @4.5 5 pts Draw @3.5 Both with Bet365

[cavelloman]

Staking Plan

	STAKING PLAN FOR 2008 PAUL ROSS RATINGS AWAY STAIRCASE SYSTEM
	PRICE RANGE
RATING	2.00-2.25	2.26-2.50	2.51-2.87	2.87-3.25	3.26-3.75	3.76+
-10 to -14.9						3
-15 to -19.9					4	3
-20 to -24.9				5	4	3
-25 to -29.99			7	6	4	4
-30 to -34.99	10	9	8	6	5	4
-35 TO -39.99	10	10	9	7	6	5
-40 TO -49.99	10	10	9	8	7	6
	STAKE LEVEL IN RED ABOVE

[cavelloman]

Now for the Bets

Doncaster -23.25 5 pts @2.9 with Bet365

AH Option 1.75 (+0.25) with Bet365

Swansea -31.0 10 pts @2.25 with Expekt

AH OPtion 1.96 (+0.25) with CanBet

Wolves -26.75 7 pts @2.62 with BetChronicle

AH Option 1.91 (O AH) with Betinternet

Brentford -12.25 3 pts @ 4.33 with Stan James

AH Option 1.99 (+ 0.5 AH) @1.99 with BetChronicle

Wigan -13.5 3 pts @ 5.5 with ToteSport

AH Option 2.1 (+0.5 AH) with BetChronicle

[cavelloman]

Paul Ross Ratings System

Swansea 10 pts @2.25 wiyth Expekt

[gregprowt]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Would much appreciate if you also posted up system bets here when I've missed one. Thanks for pointing out one I missed last week.

not a problem Cavelloman, happy to help, to be honest didnt want to invade your thread and look like I was telling you YOUR SYSTEM

just glad it was a selection that won

one for the this week (though rating has changed since earlier in the week) from -19.25 to -21.25

Wrexham V Mansfield -21.25

I make that a 5 pt win (available at 3.2 expect)

and

AH bet of approx 1.9 (on the +0.25)

heres to another good weekend

PS. do you cover French league as i also have 1 from that (that I have backed)

[cavelloman]

Latt "Value Bet" for this weekend barinf any great moves or news.

Roma @1.79 with BetChronicle



Price IMO just too big even considering thay play Real Madrid next week. 7 wins from 9 against Parma at the Olympic Stadium over the last few year is enough to convince me on top of the great ratings from me and Paul.

[cavelloman]

O.K One to add due to changed rating. Paul Ross Ramping Away System

Mansfield 5 pts @3.2 with Expekt

AH Option 1.93 (+0.25 AH) with CanBet

[cavelloman]

Thank Greg,
Prices were not up when I looked at French league 1 so here is another bet.. Had beeen sitting on the fence if to back the away side based on my ratings with one team +0.1 Pen Power the other +0.1 Pure Pen

Valenciennes -15.0 3 pts @5 with Bet365


AH Option (+0.5 AH) @2.06 with CanBet.

N.B. On my ratings(teams almost level) Valenciennes should be max 4.5

[Kamo]

Hi Cavelloman,

Good luck this week

hope its not a stupid question but how many points do you stake on the AH options? is it the same as the ramping system stakes?

[cavelloman]

No because the odds are alway around evens 10 points per game. In other words level stake

[Kamo]

OK thanks mate. will be following as usual