Bogey Leagues

[protop]

Hi Guys

Researching some of my stats, regarding which are the best or worst leagues to be on in regard to a win to loss ratio. I use a purely mechanical system to find my bets and no doubt there is a variety of selection methods on here. Does anybody get similar results are there really any european leagues we should avoid - Here's my list since (04/03/08)


Belgian Jupiler - 10/12 (83.33%)
Denmark Div 1 - 14/16 (87.55%)
Dutch Ereedivision - 1/1 (100%)
English Championship - 3/7 (42.85%)
English Conference 7/17 (41.17%)
English league 1 11/17 (64.70%)
English League 2 13/18 (72.22%)
English Premier league 14/22 (63.63%)
French Div 1 4/6 (66.66%)
French Div 2 6/10 (60%)
German Bundesliga 1 6/13 (46.15%)
German Regional North 9/13 (69.23%)
Greece Div 1 9/10 (90%)
Italian A 4/6 (66.66%)
Italian B 0/1 (0%)
Poland Div1 6/11 (54.54%)
Portugal Super Liga 3/5 (60%)
Scotland Div 1 2/4 (50%)
Scotland Div 2 5/9 (55.55%)
Scotland Div 3 0/3 (0%)
Scotland Prenier 5/3 (62.5%)
Spanish Primera 7/9 (77.77%)
Spanish Segunda 1/4 (25%)
Turkish super Liga 8/11 (77.77%)


The following leagues have historically not fitted my prediction model and were therefore not bet on!

German Budesliga 2
German regional South
Denmark SAS


Other European Leagues have not played enough games yet - For rating purposes.


All those highlighted in red would have cost me money!!


My system selection process dynamically filters out some leagues as the season progresses such as Scottish Div 3 hence only 3 bets placed (thankfully) Italian B would have been another. But there are some real bogey leagues that you can't forsee, that will cost you money. For me it looks like English Conference. any thoughts on how we may avoid certain leagues in the future without the benefit of hindsight particularly a measurable way of doing it!

I must point out that I did not bet on every one of these games as they were not all value imo

Alll comments most welcome................

[Belkin]

too small sample for making any conclusion. up to 10-15 games per league doesn't suffice for statistical research i would say.

[ScottyXS]

Belkins correct, you'd need seasons worth of data.
Some leagues have only been tested once.
Do like the idea tho