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Old 05-03-2007, 23:24   #1 (permalink)
too young to understand
 
Join Date: 18 Oct 2006
Posts: 1,645
Default Basketball Regression system

Its been said that numbers dont mean that much in basketball, well im gonna put this to the test. This is actually my statistics coursework so lets hope it goes well .

I have collected data and devised a model (not nearly as hard as it might sound) and have been given 3 significant variables to work with, which I think is enough.

Right onto the selections. For ease i will use my bank as my bank for this, I have put 30 quid into pinnacle to keep me interested and have decided to wager 2% of this on each bet. Until I can see any real trends as to the success of my bets i shall do one total play and one handicap play per match, unless the scores my model is spitting out doesnt allow me to.

Tonight my selections are as follows

Milwaukee +5.5Handicapno +5.5
Mil/Orl Under 200Totalno +6
Detroit -12Handicapno+2
GS/Det Under 197.5Totalno +3.5
Miami -6handicapno +1
Atl/Mia over 185.5totalno +1.5
Charlotte +14handicapno +3
Char/Utah under 204Totalyes +9
LA Clippers +6.5Handicapno +1.5
SA/LAC under 174Totalno +1
Hou/Cle over 181.5Totalno +1.5


Ignore the 3rd column as it just tells you how far from my predicted scores the line was.

Thanks

PS. This system is IN TESTING, dont blame me if you back things that dont win.
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Old 05-03-2007, 23:26   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Basketball Regression system

to make this easier i will up the bank to 300 points, and place 6 points per selection. These are all placed at pinnaclesports lines, hovering between 1.9 and 2
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Old 05-03-2007, 23:27   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Basketball Regression system

good luck mate!
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Old 06-03-2007, 16:44   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Basketball Regression system

lol first night i put it on here and it bombs, 3/11, ill put up the profit/loss later

tonight

Toronto +4.5Handicap
Was/Tor Under 210Total
Seattle +2Handicap
La Lakers +2Handicap
NJ/Dallas under 192.5Total
New Orleans +5Handicap
Sacramento -4.5Handicap
San Antonio -6.5Handicap
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Old 06-03-2007, 16:47   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: Basketball Regression system

Unlucky with your start mate. Hope you turn it around.
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