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11-02-2010, 22:27
| #663 (permalink) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Shrewdie Punter   Join Date: 19 Apr 2009 Location: Liverpool
Posts: 746
|  Re: Testing Testing Testing 123 (Formatting) Boom Or Bust#3 (ATR Systems) This is a continuation of the Boom Or Bust series that I started in the Glory Hunt section of the PL forum, the selection methods used in those two threads are the same for this. Boom Or Bust#1 was very successful and resulted in an overall profit of £829.25. Bets....................................145 Wins...................................68 Placed (E/W bets).................4 Strike rate...........................46.90% Total staked........................7313.20 Total returns incl stake.........8142.45 Start bank...........................200 End bank............................1029.25 Profit/loss...........................829.25 Yield..................................11.34% Boom Or Bust#2 ended up with an overall loss of £365.32 Bets....................................38 Wins...................................14 Strike rate............................36.84% Total staked.........................1853.82 Total returns incl stake..........1488.50 Start bank............................829.25 End bank..............................463.93 Profit/loss............................-365.32 Yield...................................-19.71% System The methods that I used to arrive at the selections were to apply different groups of criteria to a ten year database of last time out winners (flat racing) in the form of filters, to create different subsets of possible selections or different systems if you like. The number of 'systems' is 40+ which when combined together produce on average around 250 to 300 possible selections throughout the year. And an example of a filter or system could be. #1 Won last race #2 8yo only #3 is running in same class of race or going down in class today #4 the SP in todays race is less than evens (selection is odds on) - SP cap to be applied Due to the diversity of the criteria it is impractical to list every system, so I'll put some (minimal!) reasoning in place to conform to the rules of this forum even though the selections are systematic or methodical in nature. It will hopefully be a combination of WIN, E/W, PLACE and LAY bets. Staking I'll use a points system of 1 through to 10 points, with a 'boom or bust' element of a 25pts depending on the strength of the selection. LAY bets - the points awarded will represent the LIABILITY. E/W bets - for accounting purposes E/W bets will be split into two parts, as a win single and as a place single with half of the points going onto each part (max size for these will probably be 5pts E/W). A large proportion of the 'systems' have an 'SP cap' applied, E.G. if SP is bigger than 3/1 then no bet, if SP is bigger than 6/4 then no bet etc. If I post up a selection that then fails on this point then the selection will remain part of the thread. NB - Unlike the Glory Hunt 'Boom Or Bust' threads, I wont have a starting bank so I won't be applying any growth/reduction factor to the points awarded. But for information, each 1pt would represent 0.5% of any betting bank, making a 10pt bet equal to 5% of any betting bank or a total betting bank starting size of 200 points.
 Last edited by skylark2009; 12-02-2010 at 20:08. Reason: Testing, testing 123 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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02-03-2010, 12:16
| #666 (permalink) | |
| Modest + Well Hung Punter  Join Date: 22 Jul 2003 Location: Middle Earth Age: 36
Posts: 18,850
| Re: Testing Quote:
__________________ When I was born, I was given a choice! A Big Cock or a great memory..Ive forgotten what I chose! | |
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