XXX Hot Stuff XXX

[Hodgey]

Let's see how many times this thread gets deleted!

This revolves around laying home teams who are up against inform opponents. Nothing much new there then. However, I've been paper trailing this since the beginning of September and the results have gone rather better than I expected!

So cue it all going pear shaped from here on in!

All bets layed for fixed profit of 10pts.

[Hodgey]

Norwich v Watford 4.30
Bournemouth v Leeds 4.60
Luton v Carlisle 2.56
Millwall v Swansea 3.35
Lincoln v Chesterfield 3.30
Bradford v Chester 2.68

All home teams layed for 10pts profit.

[friskyfitz]

Originally Posted by Hodgey

Let's see how many times this thread gets deleted!

First thing I saw was your reply and though...wtf?? why is it still here ???

then I read the thread

Best of luck then....

[aliando]

how many people will be dissappointed to see betting in here...


good luck mate!!

[Carl]

Originally Posted by aliando

how many people will be dissappointed to see betting in here...


good luck mate!!

No tits. well apart from the 2 above members but nothing I can w@nk over.

GL Hodgey

[aliando]

Originally Posted by Carl

No tits. well apart from the 2 above members but nothing I can w@nk over.

i'll have my self-portrait back then

[Hodgey]

sorry to disappoint you guys. I'll try and rustle up some tits a bit later on (ie when I'm not at work!)

Anyhow, last night went pretty well getting 5/6 with just Chester letting the side down and denying the clean sweep.

Date	League	Match	Odds	Result	W or L	Bet	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
06-Nov									0.00
06-Nov	EC	Norwich v Watford	4.30	1-3	W	10.00	33.00	9.50	9.50
06-Nov	E1	Bournemouth v Leeds	4.60	1-3	W	10.00	36.00	9.50	19.00
06-Nov	E1	Luton v Carlisle	2.56	0-0	W	10.00	15.60	9.50	28.50
06-Nov	E1	Millwall v Swansea	3.35	2-2	W	10.00	23.50	9.50	38.00
06-Nov	E2	Lincoln v Chesterfield	3.30	2-4	W	10.00	23.00	9.50	47.50
06-Nov	E2	Bradford v Chester	2.68	2-1	L	10.00	16.80	(16.80)	30.70

Summary
Bets Placed 6
Units Staked 147.90
Units Returned 178.60
Profit 30.70
Yield 20.76%
Strike Rate 83.33%
Average Odds 3.47
Average Stake 24.65

[Hodgey]

There were no picks for this over the weekend, but there is one tonight:

Reading v Arsenal

Lay Reading at 8.60

[Hodgey]

Reading 1-3 Arsenal - another winner.

Summary
Bets Placed 7
Units Staked 223.90
Units Returned 264.10
Profit 40.20
Yield 17.95%
Strike Rate 85.71%
Average Odds 4.20
Average Stake 31.99

[Hodgey]

Had 2 more picks for last weekend but other slightly more important events took over!

However they both would have been winning lays at bookmaker odds of 2.63 (so around 2.80-3.00ish on Betfair). I won't include them in the results here but encouraging stuff all the same.

[Hodgey]

7 for today:

Date	League	Match	Odds	Result	W or L	Bet	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
12-Nov	EP	Reading v Arsenal	8.60	1-3	W	10.00	76.00	9.50	40.20
24-Nov	EP	Birmingham v Portsmouth	3.45					0.00	40.20
24-Nov	EP	Bolton v Man Utd	8.60					0.00	40.20
24-Nov	EP	Derby v Chelsea	15.00					0.00	40.20
24-Nov	EC	Cardiff v Ipswich	2.54					0.00	40.20
24-Nov	EC	Barnsley v Watford	4.00					0.00	40.20
24-Nov	E1	Port Vale v Doncaster	3.25					0.00	40.20
24-Nov	Econf	Droylsden v Forest Green	5.20					0.00	40.20

[Hodgey]

Ouch!
That was certainly a bad day. 4 from 7 failed to give big losses of 134.90pts

Date	League	Match	Odds	Result	W or L	Bet	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
									40.20
24-Nov	EP	Birmingham v Portsmouth	3.45	0-2	W	10.00	24.50	9.50	49.70
24-Nov	EP	Bolton v Man Utd	8.60	1-0	L	10.00	76.00	(76.00)	(26.30)
24-Nov	EP	Derby v Chelsea	15.00	0-2	W	10.00	140.00	9.50	(16.80)
24-Nov	EC	Cardiff v Ipswich	2.54	1-0	L	10.00	15.40	(15.40)	(32.20)
24-Nov	EC	Barnsley v Watford	4.00	3-2	L	10.00	30.00	(30.00)	(62.20)
24-Nov	E1	Port Vale v Doncaster	3.25	1-3	W	10.00	22.50	9.50	(52.70)
24-Nov	Econf	Droylsden v Forest Green	5.20	5-3	L	10.00	42.00	(42.00)	(94.70)

Summary
Bets Placed 14
Units Staked 574.30
Units Returned 479.60
Profit (94.70)
Yield -16.49%
Strike Rate 64.29%
Average Odds 5.10
Average Stake 41.02

[aliando]

soruyy but pissed but with cardiff in theis groupo id disafgree./

ipswich are are as good as my nan on the road - is there a home away filter.? potentalial is here - good liluvkcmate!

[Hodgey]

Originally Posted by aliando

soruyy but pissed but with cardiff in theis groupo id disafgree./

ipswich are are as good as my nan on the road - is there a home away filter.? potentalial is here - good liluvkcmate!

Hows your head?

Ipswich winning 6-0 last time out played a big part in this one. Together with Cardiff being pretty pony lately. But yes I agree that your nan is probably better on the road and its something I need to look at.

To be honest I think it was worth the risk at those odds to lay - it was the Bolton game that screwed things up.

[Hodgey]

Today's terrible twosome:

Cheltenham v Leeds 5.60

Wrexham v Chester 3.00

[Hodgey]

Fook me.

Cheltenham v Leeds 1-0

Wrexham v Chester 2-2

Nightmare city in here this weekend.

Summary
Bets Placed 16
Units Staked 640.30
Units Returned 509.10
Profit (131.20)
Yield -20.49%
Strike Rate 62.50%
Average Odds 5.00
Average Stake 40.02

[Hodgey]

Just the one for today:

Crystal Palace v West Brom 3.15

[Hodgey]

Crystal Palace v West Brom 1-1

Summary
Bets Placed 17
Units Staked 661.80
Units Returned 540.10
Profit (121.70)
Yield -18.39%
Strike Rate 64.71%
Average Odds 4.89
Average Stake 38.93