Tennis Favourites

[Lucky1]

Starting Bank: 200
Bets: 10 (...for now)

There doesn't seem to be much value in just backing favourites in single bets, but there might be if its sustained for a longer period of time.

I always feel safer backing really poor odds in Tennis as there is only 2 outcomes, and if you don't win then you have made a really poor decision or a really unlucky decision.

I will try and run this for a little while and see how far it will go with sucess and profitability, if I can get a nice run going, who knows what might be achieved!

[Lucky1]

1. L.Hewitt vs J.Acasuso @ 1.22

2. V.Zvonareva vs M.Erakovic @ 1.16

3. L.Davenport vs S.Errani @ 1.10

4. K.Srebotnik vs A.Rezai @ 1.44

5. R.Nadal vs R.Ram @ 1.04

6. M.Fish vs P.Luczak @ 1.40

[Lucky1]

1. L.Hewitt vs J.Acasuso @ 1.22 + 2.20

2. V.Zvonareva vs M.Erakovic @ 1.16 - 10.00

3. L.Davenport vs S.Errani @ 1.10 +1.00

4. K.Srebotnik vs A.Rezai @ 1.44 -10.00

5. R.Nadal vs R.Ram @ 1.04 ......

6. M.Fish vs P.Luczak @ 1.40 +4.00

Not the best start , maybe I'll have to be a bit more patientien and limit my picks.

Start Bank - 200
Current Bank - 177.20

[Mr Intensity]

Good luck mate

[Lucky1]

Well Nadal won, giving us 10.40 back from it.

So....

Start Bank - 200
Current Bank - 187.60
P/L - 12.40

Looking at tomorrow and tonight, looks to be a few matches...

[MetallicIan]

Hiya Lucky1,

Without realising you started this thread I have been looking at a similar theme, here's my findings for the last 3 days for odds under 2.00 with 4% taken off for Betfair Commission...

ODDS	WIN?	P/L	Bank
1.03	1	2.88	2.88
1.05	1	4.80	7.68
1.06	1	5.76	13.44
1.11	1	10.56	24.00
1.13	1	12.48	36.48
1.15	1	14.40	50.88
1.18	1	17.28	68.16
1.19	1	18.24	86.40
1.20	1	19.20	105.60
1.21	1	20.16	125.76
1.21	0	-100.00	25.76
1.22	1	21.12	46.88
1.24	1	23.04	69.92
1.25	0	-100.00	-30.08
1.26	1	24.96	-5.12
1.27	1	25.92	20.80
1.29	1	27.84	48.64
1.32	1	30.72	79.36
1.32	1	30.72	110.08
1.34	1	32.64	142.72
1.36	0	-100.00	42.72
1.46	1	44.16	86.88
1.47	1	45.12	132.00
1.51	0	-100.00	32.00
1.53	1	50.88	82.88
1.55	1	52.80	135.68
1.57	1	54.72	190.40
1.59	1	56.64	247.04
1.65	1	62.40	309.44
1.65	1	62.40	371.84
1.66	1	63.36	435.20
1.69	1	66.24	501.44
1.72	0	-100.00	401.44
1.73	0	-100.00	301.44
1.76	0	-100.00	201.44
1.83	0	-100.00	101.44
1.83	1	79.68	181.12
1.85	1	81.60	262.72
1.88	1	84.48	347.20

So looking good so far mate, could have some mileage in this and will be interesting to see how it performs over a few weeks.

[MetallicIan]

By the way, I'm just looking at ATP and specifically Chennai, Qatar and Adelaide.

[Lucky1]

So that would be backing all the favourites? Which still looks like you would come out ontop... hmmm, very interesting.

Looks very decent, and ive seen youve looked at biggers stakes which is an option to boost winnings over a shorter period of time.

As it is a paper trial, will revert to a 1000 Bank and 100 bets for now, and surley using a bit of tennis knowledge a few of losses can be avoided as DNB's.

Thanks for the stats MetallicIan, hopefully I can tighten up the selections and make this thread profitable.

Sooooo.....

New plan, just the staking

Bank of 1000
Bets 100 each

[Lucky1]

Cilic v Haase - Cilic @ 1.72 Stake 100

Malisse v Youzhny Malisse @ 1.85 Stake 100

García López v Nadal Nadal @ 1.04 Stake 100

Moya v Serra Moya @ 1.37 Stake 100

Becker v Llodra Becker @ 1.98 DNB

Hewitt v Tsonga Hewitt @ 1.33 DNB

Mathieu v Sirianni Mathieu @ 1.22 Stake 100

Nieminen v Spadea Niemienen @ 1.40 Stake 100

Davydenko v Murray Murray @ 1.70 DNB

Ljubicic v Wawrinka Ljubicic @ 1.74 DNB

All the mens matches from tomorrow, and I've outlined the risky ones as DNB. Hopefully this will start off a lot better then the last attempt!

Seems we can afford 2 around losses and still be at around break even.

[MetallicIan]

Good luck

[Lucky1]

---

Cilic v Haase - Cilic @ 1.72 Stake 100

Malisse v Youzhny Malisse @ 1.85 Stake 100

García López v Nadal Nadal @ 1.04 Stake 100

Moya v Serra Moya @ 1.37 Stake 100

Becker v Llodra Becker @ 1.98 DNB Becker lost

Hewitt v Tsonga Hewitt @ 1.33 DNB Hewitt lost

Mathieu v Sirianni Mathieu @ 1.22 Stake 100

Nieminen v Spadea Niemienen @ 1.40 Stake 100

Davydenko v Murray Murray @ 1.70 DNB Murray won

Ljubicic v Wawrinka Ljubicic @ 1.74 DNB Wawrinka won

Most of the DNB were for good reasons, 3 of the 4 lost which was the good news, but more lost also, so turned out badly anyway.

Early morning, but I think it works out like this

Start Bank 1000
Current Bank 953

No more probably until Monday. Should start to get better.

[Lucky1]

Marin Cilic vs Thomas Cackl @ 1.29 - Stake 100

Jo Wilfreid Tsonga vs Andreas Seppi @ 1.42 - Stake 100