over the bar and under his legs

[happygooner]

Well I think this has been researched enough now despite never reaching (or even coming close to) 500 paper points. The strike rate was excellent and partial failure can only be attributed to the manner and impatience of such a glory hunt.

I'm playing anything under 1.87ish and laying anything over 1.93ish with the exception of where a better price can be gained from backing instead of laying. In this case you will see a few 1.9's (even the odd 2.00 it would seem) under the back section as opposed to lays. not an exact science but this should see me leave those games alone which yoyo back and forth odds wise and could feasibly go anywhere/any way!

I'll still tally up bets for now as not quite sure where i'm taking the staking system and this should help me keep an eye on what is happening. Also with the strike rate i've enjoyed previously I'm going to stake U.S style for a fixed profit rather than a fixed liabilty. This should maximise potential gains.

Back

1)Crewe v Tranmere - Under 2.5@1.73
2)Dag & Red v Brentford - Under 2.5@1.93
3)Leyton Orient v Gillingham - Under 2.5@2.00
4)Luton Town v Yeovil - Under 2.5@1.76

Lay/Back against

5)Burton Albion v Stafford Rangers - Under 2.5@2.22
6)Leeds v Oldham - Under 2.5@1.97
7)Accrington Stanley v Bradford - Over 2.5@2.00
8)Chesterfield v Wrexham - Over 2.5@2.04
9)Southampton v Watford - Under 2.5@2.24
10)Brighton v Bournemouth - Over 2.5@2.00

All the above for £2.00 each

Good luck if you choose to follow. I'll be sure to lose the shirt off my back now haha!

[happygooner]

Back

11)Aston Villa v Tottenham - Over 2.5@1.85

[happygooner]

Quote:

Originally Posted by happygooner
Well I think this has been researched enough now despite never reaching (or even coming close to) 500 paper points. The strike rate was excellent and partial failure can only be attributed to the manner and impatience of such a glory hunt.

I'm playing anything under 1.87ish and laying anything over 1.93ish with the exception of where a better price can be gained from backing instead of laying. In this case you will see a few 1.9's (even the odd 2.00 it would seem) under the back section as opposed to lays. not an exact science but this should see me leave those games alone which yoyo back and forth odds wise and could feasibly go anywhere/any way!

I'll still tally up bets for now as not quite sure where i'm taking the staking system and this should help me keep an eye on what is happening. Also with the strike rate i've enjoyed previously I'm going to stake U.S style for a fixed profit rather than a fixed liabilty. This should maximise potential gains.

Back

1)Crewe v Tranmere - Under 2.5@1.73-£2.74
2)Dag & Red v Brentford - Under 2.5@1.93-£2.15
3)Leyton Orient v Gillingham - Under 2.5@2.00+£1.90
4)Luton Town v Yeovil - Under 2.5@1.76+£1.90

Lay/Back against

5)Burton Albion v Stafford Rangers - Under 2.5@2.22+£1.90
6)Leeds v Oldham - Under 2.5@1.97+£1.90
7)Accrington Stanley v Bradford - Over 2.5@2.00+1.90
8)Chesterfield v Wrexham - Over 2.5@2.04-£2.08
9)Southampton v Watford - Under 2.5@2.24+£1.90
10)Brighton v Bournemouth - Over 2.5@2.00-£2.00

All the above for £2.00 each

Good luck if you choose to follow. I'll be sure to lose the shirt off my back now haha!

All winning bets have been minused 5% commission hence only +£1.90

+£2.52 so far today after commission

Not a bad start. Profit is profit after all.

[aliando]

good luck with this mate - hope the hard work pays off!

[happygooner]

Originally Posted by aliando

good luck with this mate - hope the hard work pays off!

As do I, cheers aliando.

[Hodgey]

Nice start mate. Good luck with it.

[happygooner]

Originally Posted by Hodgey

Nice start mate. Good luck with it.

Cheers Hodgey

[happygooner]

Originally Posted by happygooner

Back

11)Aston Villa v Tottenham - Over 2.5@1.85+£1.90

+£4.42 to start. Happy enough with that.

[happygooner]

Back

12)Forfar v Elgin - Over 2.5@1.57
13)Airdrie United v Queens Park - Under 2.5@1.84
14)Cheltenham v Port Vale - Under 2.5@1.74
15)Livingston v Dunfermline - Under 2.5@1.78

Lay/Back against

16)Bolton v Derby - Under 2.5@2.04
17)Alloa v Brechin - Under 2.5@2.46

[happygooner]

Back

18)Blackburn v Sunderland - Over 2.5@1.93

[happygooner]

Quote:

Originally Posted by happygooner
Back

12)Forfar v Elgin - Over 2.5@1.57-£3.50
13)Airdrie United v Queens Park - Under 2.5@1.84-£2.38
14)Cheltenham v Port Vale - Under 2.5@1.74+£1.90
15)Livingston v Dunfermline - Under 2.5@1.78+£1.90

Lay/Back against

16)Bolton v Derby - Under 2.5@2.04-£2.08
17)Alloa v Brechin - Under 2.5@2.46+£1.90

.....bah feckin humbug!! These Bastards couldn't have hit a cows arse with a banjo tonight!!!

[happygooner]

Quote:

Originally Posted by happygooner
Back

18)Blackburn v Sunderland - Over 2.5@1.93-£2.15

Yet more missed chances and good goalkeeping prove to be the undoing here....

[happygooner]

---

-£4.41 today which brings our running total to a stunning (read averagely crap!) 10-8 and +£0.01 so far.

WOOOHOOO!!!

[aliando]

probably not what you want to hear, but £0.01 profit makes this a successful thread compared to most!

head up mate - all systems have their highs and lows.

[happygooner]

Haha cheers

By Christmas 2008 I may have as much as 50p at that rate

[aliando]

[Hodgey]

Originally Posted by aliando

probably not what you want to hear, but £0.01 profit makes this a successful thread compared to most!

head up mate - all systems have their highs and lows.

Damn right - my overs and unders is 857pts down!

[happygooner]

Another day another dime

Back

19)Southampton v Leicester City - Over 2.5@2.02
20)West Ham United v Man City - Under 2.5@1.78
21)Sunderland v Wigan - Under 2.5@1.79
22)Ipswich v Portsmouth - Over 2.5@2.08

Lay/Back against

23)Southend v Dag & Red - Under 2.5@2.24
24)Wolverhampton v Cambridge Utd - Under 2.5@2.24

This will be it for today as i'm off out on the lash in Brum tonight. As normal, gl if you choose to follow.

[happygooner]

Originally Posted by Hodgey

Damn right - my overs and unders is 857pts down!

Yeah but you must be able to make something from that. Prem always seem to go against the grain so could happily continue backing them at higher odds while European slightly more predictable so back the lower odds at a book like Pinny where odds and high and comm.

[happygooner]

Lay/Back against

25)Derby v Sheff Wed - Over 2.5@2.22

There will be more later but just wanted to get this one out there as starts soon.