MadnessDaily 2

[madnesstiger]

GF,

Your historical fables are worth reading everytime mate!


Anyway, back to the action...

BET 3, ATTEMPT 1

DATE

ATT.

SPORT

MARKET

SELECTION

LAY @

LIABILITY

W/L

RETURNS

NEW BANK

16-May-08

1

Football

Doncaster vs Southend

Under 4.5 Goals (I-P)

1.77

£ 2.09

£ -

£ 52.32

A hint of the old 'more goals in the 1st half = more chance of goals in the 2nd!

Not expecting this to be as easy as the last attempt, but hey, let's see what happens!



(Bet placed when 3-0, 45mins)

[madnesstiger]

5-0 after 80mins... will do me just fine!

[madnesstiger]

3 winners so far.

DATE

ATT.

SPORT

MARKET

SELECTION

LAY @

LIABILITY

W/L

RETURNS

NEW BANK

16-May-08

1

Football

Doncaster vs Southend

Under 4.5 Goals (I-P)

1.77

£ 2.09

W

£ 4.68

£ 57.00

STRIKE-RATE: 50%
CURRENT YIELD: 37.2%

PROFIT/LOSS: +£7.00 [+14% on starting bank]

[madnesstiger]

BET 4, ATTEMPT 1

Hopefully Rochdale's strong finish to the season will help overcome the 1-2 defeat from the 1st leg.

DATE

ATT.

SPORT

MARKET

SELECTION

LAY @

LIABILITY

W/L

RETURNS

NEW BANK

17-May-08

1

Football

Rochdale vs Darlington

Darlington to qualify

1.70

£ 2.00

£ -

£ 55.00

Kick-Off 1200 BST

[madnesstiger]

Rochdale win penalties 5-4!

***

Bet 5

DATE

ATT.

SPORT

MARKET

SELECTION

LAY @

LIABILITY

W/L

RETURNS

17-May-08

1

Football

Cardiff vs Portsmouth

Next Goal P'mouth

1.73

£ 2.16

£ -

Cannot see this being a walk-over for Portsmouth by any means, and would like to see the underdogs lift the trophy.

Portsmouth are 2-7 F/A in their last 6 league games
Cardiff are 12-11 F/A in their last 6 league games

Yes, there is a big difference in class of teams here, but as you can see, Portsmouth haven't been scoring freely of late, and can see Cardiff getting the first goal.

[madnesstiger]

HT Portsmouth 1-0 Cardiff

I still think Cardiff have a chance here, and in my opinion, have provided the best football and more consistent at going forward.

On that basis, here's Attempt 2 of 5

DATE

ATT.

SPORT

MARKET

SELECTION

LAY @

LIABILITY

W/L

RETURNS

NEW BANK

17-May-08

2

Football

Cardiff vs Portsmouth

Portsmouth to win

1.35

£ 1.79

£ -

£ 55.20

[madnesstiger]

Cardiff came close, but it remained 1-0 and attempt 2 became a loser.

Onto Attempt 3 then,

DATE

ATT.

SPORT

MARKET

SELECTION

LAY @

LIABILITY

W/L

RETURNS

NEW BANK

17-May-08

3

Football

Ferrol vs Tenerife

Under 2.5 Goals

1.81

£ 5.60

£ 49.60

Tenerife have the 2nd-worst away record in the league, and have conceded 12 goals in the last 6 league games, and scored 7.

Ferrol are in good recent form having lost just 2 matches from their last 10 in the league.

Ferrol are over 2.5 in their last 3 league games.

Tenerife are over 2.5 in 3 of their last 4 league games.

[madnesstiger]

0-0..

And on we go to Attempt 4...

DATE

ATT.

SPORT

MARKET

SELECTION

LAY @

LIABILITY

W/L

RETURNS

NEW BANK

17-May-08

4

Football

Nancy vs Rennes

Under 2.5 Goals

1.85

£ 10.61

£ -

£ 38.99

Last day of the French Ligue 1 season, and both teams will be after a win here towards the top of the table.

Nancy need to win to be certain of 3rd place and Rennes need to go all-out attack to find a win to stand any chance of finishing in the top 5.

As an added bonus here, Rennes have been over in their last 3 matches. Let's hope for a fourth in a row in this one!

[madnesstiger]

Should Attempt 4 result in a loss, then the available odds available for the final attempt will be 1.65 (to back) / 2.54 (lay)


Taken from a previous spreadsheet I made, here's a quick ready-reckoner for back/lay odds:

% >>> ODDS				% >>> ODDS				% >>> ODDS				% >>> ODDS
CHANCE	BACK	LAY		CHANCE	BACK	LAY		CHANCE	BACK	LAY		CHANCE	BACK	LAY
99%	1.01	101.00		78%	1.29	4.45		64%	1.57	2.75		54%	1.85	2.18
98%	1.02	51.00		77%	1.30	4.33		63%	1.58	2.72		54%	1.86	2.16
97%	1.03	34.33		76%	1.31	4.23<