Local Knowledge

[western skies]

The more astute amoungst you (and the less discerning if you read all my posts! ) might have noticed by now that I'm a Chelsea fan, currently exiled in Bristol. The idea behind this particular Glory Hunt is to take advantage of that fact - the being in Bristol bit, not the Chelsea fan bit.

I've noticed that I do pretty well betting on the Bristol clubs and that obviously must have something to with living in the area, being exposed to the local tv/papers, and for my sins knowing quite a lot of City and Rovers fans. I'd go as far as to say I know more about the Bristol teams than I do about most of the clubs in the Premiership and the way I see it that's got to be an advantage when betting on them.

So, let's find out if I'm right:-

100 pt starting bank
5pts staked per bet

There won't be any reasoning for these picks (other than that above) but
they will be based on my hopefully subjective knowledge of both clubs.

All Bets will be placed with BetFair, prices correct at time of posting & I will assume 5% commission paid on any returns.

BET 1 - 22/12/07 Championship Bristol City v Burnley - Home Win - 1.94
BET 2 - 22/12/07 League One Leeds Utd v Bristol Rovers - Home Win - 1.45

[western skies]

Couple of late goals (very late in City's case) gets the Glory Hunt off to a positive start.

BET 1 - 22/12/07 Championship Bristol City v Burnley - Home Win - 1.94 - WON +4.46
BET 2 - 22/12/07 League One Leeds Utd v Bristol Rovers - Home Win - 1.45 - WON +2.14


START BANK: 100 pts
BETS: 2
WON: 2
STRIKE RATE: 100%
STAKED: 10 pts
PROFIT: 6.60 pts
CURRENT BANK: 106.60 pts
YIELD: 66.0%

[aliando]

nice start!

[western skies]

Cheers ali

Two tough games to predict today though, with City away at fellow high-fliers West Brom and Rovers entertaining fellow-strugglers Luton. Still, that's what this thread is all about

BET 3 - 26/12/07 Championship West Brom v Bristol City - Draw - 4.1
BET 4 - 26/12/07 League One Bristol Rovers v Luton Town - Home Win - 2.46

[aliando]

unlucky mate - wrong way round

[western skies]

Well, I knew Rovers were shite but to blow a 1-0 lead against 8 men...

Cheers Ali, had a feeling these Boxing Day fixtures would be difficult to call but never mind - I'm still convinced this will pay dividends in the long run and there's plenty of bank left to blow in the meantime.


BET 3 - 26/12/07 Championship West Brom v Bristol City - Draw - 4.1 - LOSE -5.00
BET 4 - 26/12/07 League One Bristol Rovers v Luton Town - Home Win - 2.46 - LOSE -5.00


START BANK: 100 pts
BETS: 4
WON: 2
STRIKE RATE: 50%
STAKED: 20 pts
PROFIT: -3.40 pts
CURRENT BANK: 96.60 pts
YIELD: -17.0%


Be back with the weekend fixtures tomorrow.

[western skies]

OK, here we go again...

BET 5 - 29/12/07 Championship Burnley v Bristol City - Draw - 3.45 BET 6 - 29/12/07 League One Bristol Rovers v Carlisle - Away Win - 2.82

[western skies]

Apologies for the lack of selections on New Years Day - knew this was a mistake starting it around Xmas!

Still, the way it's gone so far, might have preserved the bank a little bit longer...


BET 5 - 29/12/07 Championship Burnley v Bristol City - Draw - 3.45 - LOSE -5.00
BET 6 - 29/12/07 League One Bristol Rovers v Carlisle - Away Win - 2.82 - LOSE - 5.00


START BANK: 100 pts
BETS: 6
WON: 2
STRIKE RATE: 33%
STAKED: 30 pts
PROFIT: -13.40 pts
CURRENT BANK: 86.60 pts
YIELD: -44.67.0%


Still early days. Onwards and upwards in 2008.

[western skies]

F.A. Cup 3rd round weekend - just what this Glory Hunt needs to turn it around

Still, here goes...

BET 7 - 05/01/08 FA Cup Bristol City v Middlesboro' - Draw - 3.35
BET 8 - 06/01/08 FA Cup Fulham v Bristol Rovers - Home Win - 1.46

[western skies]

Almost forgot the Rovers game is on tonight, so here's this week's selections - will update the overall position later, but suffice to say I hate the FA Cup with a passion.

BET 9 - 12/01/08 FA Cup Bristol City v Colchester - Home Win - 1.75
BET 10 - 11/01/08 League One Tranmere v Bristol Rovers - Away Win - 3.7