Jumping on the 1 or more wagon. 40 n/o planned

[Masterplan]

will be choosing matches across all football markets where the total goals in the last 3 matches for both teams is 14 or more. (2 2/3 avg per match)
hoping for odds of 1.07 or more but will settle for 1.05 in the right market.
hoping for a return of at least £75

Bet 1.
UK-Championship

• Derby v Plymouth 30/12/06 15:00
• Goal Total: 14
• Bet: £5 @ 1.09 Betfair
• Return £5.45

If Bet 1 is good:

Bet 2.
UK-Premiership

• Sheff Utd v Arsenal 30/12/06 17:15
• Goal Total: 21 (!!!)
• Bet: £5.45 @ 1.08 Betfair
• Return: £5.88

[friskyfitz]

best of luck mate

[Masterplan]

just as a quick benchmark the charlton - Villa match that started an hour ago has a goal total of 14, so would be a 1 or more back. 0-0 atm tho :/ but charlton have had 4/6 shots on target so far. would look like a god possibility still.

edit: 14:00 0-1 with a penalty bet woulda won.

[Masterplan]

they sure left it late but derby nab one in the 81st minute to make a winner
still waiting for betfair payout to place on the sheff match.
will post bet once placed and matched

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

Bet 1.
UK-Championship

• Derby v Plymouth 30/12/06 15:00
• Goal Total: 14
• Bet: £5 @ 1.09 Betfair
• Return £5.45

Bet 2.
UK-Premiership

• Sheff Utd v Arsenal 30/12/06 17:15
• Goal Total: 21 (!!!)
• Bet: £5.45 @ 1.07 Betfair (matched)
• Return: £5.83

as a further note the only 0-0 game today would not have qualified having only a goal total of 7.

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

Bet 2.
UK-Premiership

• Sheff Utd v Arsenal 30/12/06 17:15
• Goal Total: 21 (!!!)
• Bet: £5.45 @ 1.07 Betfair (matched)
• Return: £5.83

as a further note the only 0-0 game today would not have qualified having only a goal total of 7.

market went up to 1.22 before the goal, but i'm not going to argue over a few pence at this stage.
will check tomorrows markets for bet 3

[Masterplan]

AZ Alkmaar v Roda JC 31/12/06 11:30
qualifies with 15 total and is the only available match tomorrow with the total goals market available. however the odds are currently below the minimum 1.07 so may end up unmatched.
will post at 1.07 once payout received and hope it gets taken up before kickoff tomorrow

[Masterplan]

90 mins before matchstart and best price on the market has been 1.04, looks like no selections for today. will get working on tomorrows market

[Masterplan]

90 mins before matchstart and best price on the market has been 1.04, looks like no selections for today. will get working on tomorrows market.
tomorrows pick is:

Bet 3:

• Ipswich v Birmingham 01/01/07 15:00
• Goal Total: 17
• Bet: £5.83 @ 1.09 Betfair (Unmatched)
• Return: £6.35

there were other qualifying selections that looked bad, having a 0-0 in the 6 matches looked at, and another having 3 1-0's. i also liked the look of Fulham v Watford, but their goal total is below the required limit.

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

Bet 3:

• Ipswich v Birmingham 01/01/07 15:00 RESULT 1-0
• Goal Total: 17
• Bet: £5.83 @ 1.09 Betfair (Matched)
• Return: £6.34 (was 1p off)

sorry for the lack of updates but my net died for a day after lightning hit our cable exchange. will post next pick after reviewing markets/matches for tomorrow. no picks tomorrow, Grays Athletic v Gravesend is the only available match and with 2 0-0 results of the last 3 for grays and gravesend only winning the last 3 matches by a single goal. there's no way im jumping ship with this one to keep me afloat

[Masterplan]

Bet 4:

• Yeovil v Huddersfield 05/01/07 19:45
• Goal Total: 21
• Bet: £6.34 @ 1.1 Betfair (Matched)
• Return: £6.97

the first qualifying selection for days to come, although yeovils last match was 0-0 match report indicates some amazing goalkeeping kept the goals out. and with an average of over 3 goals per match it should be well worth the odds

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

Bet 4:

• Yeovil v Huddersfield 05/01/07 19:45
• Goal Total: 21
• Bet: £6.34 @ 1.1 Betfair (Matched)
• Return: £6.97

3-0 at half time, w00t
return £6.96 (1p commission)

Bet 5:

• Auxerre v Niort 06/01/07 20:00
• Goal Total: 19
• Bet £6.96 @ 1.07 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £7.44

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

3-0 at half time, w00t
return £6.96 (1p commission)

Bet 5:

• Auxerre v Niort 06/01/07 20:00
• Goal Total: 19
• Bet £6.96 @ 1.07 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £7.44

2-2 at full time, but betfair didnt payout for ages last night so couldnt post until i woke up late today.
still

Bet 6:

• Deportivo v Real Madrid 07/01/07 18:00
• Goal Total: 17
• Bet £7.44 @ 1.09 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £8.10

[Masterplan]

ok, i'm fed up of waiting for Betfair payouts so i'm going to be running a parallel system i shall designate System B starting bank £5.09.

System B Bet 1:

• Villareal CF v Valencia CF 07/01/07 20:00
• Total Goals: 19
• Bet £5.09 @ 1.11 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £5.64

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

2-2 at full time, but betfair didnt payout for ages last night so couldnt post until i woke up late today.
still

Bet 6:

• Deportivo v Real Madrid 07/01/07 18:00
• Goal Total: 17
• Bet £7.44 @ 1.09 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £8.10

wow a fast payout for once

System A Bet 7:

• Villareal v Valencia 07/01/07 20:00
• Goal Total: 19
• Bet £8.10 @ 1.1 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £8.90

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

System A Bet 7:

• Villareal v Valencia 07/01/07 20:00
• Goal Total: 19
• Bet £8.10 @ 1.1 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £8.90

System B Bet 1:

• Villareal CF v Valencia CF 07/01/07 20:00
• Total Goals: 19
• Bet £5.09 @ 1.11 Betfair (Matched)
• Return £5.65 (no comission charged)

only a single goal, but winners for both nonetheless.
some friendlies going on tomorrow it seems.

System A Bet 8:

• Besiktas v Werder Bremen 08/01/07 18:00
• Total Goals: 21
• Bet £8.10 @ 1.09 (Unmatched)
• Return £9.70

System B Bet 2:

• Lazio v Marseille 08/01/07 13:45
• Total Goals: 16
• WAITING FOR TOTAL GOALS MARKET TO OPEN

[Masterplan]

Originally Posted by Masterplan

System A Bet 8:
LAPSED
System B Bet 2:
NO MARKET

so back to finding these 2 again

which is a shame because match 1 is 0-2 and match 2 was 3-1

[Masterplan]

System A Bet 8:

• Empoli v Inter Milan 09/01/07 20:00
• Total Goals: 16
• Bet £8.90 @ 1.09 (Matched)
• Return £9.70

System B Bet 2:

• Liverpool v Arsenal 09/01/07 19:45
• Total Goals: 16 (only counting the FA cup tie once for Liverpool)
• Bet £5.65 @ 1.09 (Matched)
• Return £6.16

[Masterplan]

System A Bet 8:

• Empoli v Inter Milan 09/01/07 20:00
• Total Goals: 16
• Bet £8.90 @ 1.09 (Matched)
• Return £9.69

System B Bet 2:

• Liverpool v Arsenal 09/01/07 19:45
• Total Goals: 16 (only counting the FA cup tie once for Liverpool)
• Bet £5.65 @ 1.09 (Matched)
• Return £6.15

2 late(thank god for that) goals by inter and 9!! goals in the other match (arsenal got 6 from 6 SoT) leads to a good day

[Masterplan]

System A Bet 9:

• Wycombe v Chelsea 10/01/07 20:00
• Total Goals: 14
• Bet £9.69@ 1.05 (Matched)
• Return £10.16

System B Bet 3:

• Alaves v Barcelona 10/01/07 20:30
• Total Goals: 14
• Bet £6.15 @ 1.08 (Matched)
• Return £6.63

not huge goal totals on these 2 and 2 0-0's on the wycombe chelsea match, but after watching them take down macclesfield 6-1 i cant find a safer bet on tomorrows matches