Due a win challenge

[staffy]

I will looking to back teams that are on a losing run but due a win. I have not trialed this or backdated this at all. I will also use a martingale staking plan when I back the team again.

I will not back anyone who is in the bottom 5 of their league. They also need a fairly even win to loss ratio.

This is for small stakes and see how it goes.

[staffy]

Bet 1

Sweden 2nd Division
Hacken V Landskrona
Selection = Hacken
Odds 2.22
Stake £2
Potentiol return £2.32

[aliando]

good luck mate - have you decided on any cut off point should the martingale have a bad run?

[staffy]

Originally Posted by aliando

good luck mate - have you decided on any cut off point should the martingale have a bad run?

Probably just 3 bets per team mate. I would like to think a team that a team that has a rough 50/50 SR will win in the 3 games. Especially as they have not won in the 2 games before that before the 1st bet.

This is very low stakes though. There will obviously become more bets as the main seasons get going.

[staffy]

Bet	Team	Date	Odds	Staked	Total Staked	Wins	Return	Total p/l	Next Play	SR	Yield
1	Hackens	13/08/2007	£2.22	£2.00	£2.00	1	£2.32	£2.32	Not needed	100.00%	116.00%

[aliando]

good start mate!

[staffy]

Originally Posted by aliando

good start mate!

Cheers. Still early days though.

[staffy]

No bets tomorrow

[staffy]

Potential bet tomorrow is Kawasaki from Japan 1.

I am requesting 2.3 on betfair but earlies tomorrow so depends if i get matched. Very doubtful.

[staffy]

Bet	Team	Date	Odds	Staked	Total Staked	Wins	Return	Total p/l	Next Play	SR	Yield
1	Hackens	13/08/2007	2.22	£2.00	£2.00	1	£2.32	£2.32	Not needed	100.00%	116.00%
2	Kawasaki	15/08/2007	2.30	£2.00	£2.55	1	£0.00	£0.32	18/08/2007	50.00%	0.00%

[staffy]

I have realised that there are far too many leagues out there and not enough time for me to do them. I have decided to just at the moment stick to the English leagues. If I find I am not getting enough games I will add the main euro leagues.

[staffy]

Tomorrows Bets.

Bet	Team	Date	Odds	Staked	Total Staked
1	Reading	18/08/2007	2.66	£2.00	£2.00
2	Birmingham	18/08/2007	2.50	£2.00	£4.00
3	Portsmouth	18/08/2007	2.00	£2.00	£6.00

[kevsul]

Good Luck for tomorrow mate.

[staffy]

Originally Posted by kevsul

Good Luck for tomorrow mate.

Thanks mate.

[staffy]

Bet	Team	Date	Odds	Staked	Total Staked	Wins	Return	Total p/l	Next Play	SR	Yield
1	Reading	18/08/2007	2.66	£2.00	£2.00	1	£3.16	£3.16		100.00%	158.00%
2	Birmingham	18/08/2007	2.50	£2.00	£4.00	2	-£2.00	£1.16	25/08/2007	100.00%	29.00%
3	Portsmouth	18/08/2007	2.00	£2.00	£6.00	3	£1.90	£3.06		100.00%	51.00%

[staffy]

Correction to above

Bet	Team	Date	Odds	Staked	Total Staked	Wins	Return	Total p/l	Next Play	SR	Yield
1	Reading	18/08/2007	2.66	£2.00	£2.00	1	£3.16	£3.16		100.00%	158.00%
2	Birmingham	18/08/2007	2.50	£2.00	£4.00	1	-£2.00	£1.16	25/08/2007	50.00%	29.00%
3	Portsmouth	18/08/2007	2.00	£2.00	£6.00	2	£1.90	£3.06		66.67%	51.00%

[staffy]

Although Birmingham would technically go to bet 2 it is now dropped from system as they are in bottom 3.

No bets tomorrow or for next few days.

[staffy]

This weeks bets.

4	Weymouth	23/08/2007	2.5 +
5	Histon	24/08/2007	2.4 +
6	Sunderland	25/08/2007	7+
7	Man UTD	25/08/2007	1.4*
8	Bristol City	25/08/2007	1.9+
9	Charlton Athletic	25/08/2007	1.7+
10	Hull City	25/08/2007	2.5+
11	Leicester	25/08/2007	2.5+
12	Sheff United	25/08/2007	2.2+
13	Doncaster	25/08/2007	1.67+
14	Northampton	25/08/2007	2.3+
15	Nottingham Forest	25/08/2007	2.15
16	Bradford	25/08/2007	1.8+
17	Brentford	25/08/2007	1.7+
18	Grimsby	25/08/2007	1.80
19	MK Dons	25/08/2007	1.9+
20	Crawley	25/08/2007	1.9+

[staffy]

4

Weymouth

23/08/2007

2.72

£2.00

£8.00