Chuteys First Challange (Under 2.5)

[chutey]

Hi to all and welcome to my first challange and indeed first post on PL. I have been reading the forum avidly for over 6 months and thought i should contribute something back. I have worked in the betting industry and have been punting (very amateurishly) for around 6 years just about breaking even (albeit thanks to a rather nice placepot return at cheltenham a few years ago). Now decided it is time to take a more managed and systematic approach to my betting.

Right on the the challange! All the usual info... starting bank of 100pts, all selections will be taking best odds available at time of post (i know betfair may be better value but prices but they can change rapidly and may not be available at a later time).

Selections will be made using my own mix of statistical analysis and value.

Ok here it goes...... Its my birthday on sunday what a present to get off to a winning start

Selections for weekend commencing 30/03/07
All bets 5pt win

Burnley v Luton - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.80 Bet365
Boston v Bury - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.73 SOptions
Wrexham v Mansfield - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.75 SOptions

[staffy]

and good luck.

[sbi]

good luck. the burnley and wrexham games came up on my system too.

by the way, who the funk are SOptions?

[chutey]

Results are in and it is a great start to the system.

Burnley v Luton - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.80 Bet365
Boston v Bury - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.73 SOptions
Wrexham v Mansfield - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.75 SOptions



100% (wont last for long but going to bask in the glory while i can).

Starting Bank = 100 pts
Number of bets = 3
Winning Bets = 3
Strike Rate = 100%

Staked = 15pts
Returned = 26.4pts
New bank = 111.4pts
Profit / loss = +11.4pts

[chutey]

i dont know who the funk soptions is should have been sporting odds. sorry if it caused any confusion

[aliando]

to PL mate - cracking start

[chutey]

Midweek Selections all bets 5pt win. Lets see if we can stay in profit

Burnley v Plymouth - Under 2.5 goals - 1.73 Sporting Odds

St Mirren v Hibs - Under 2.5 goals - 1.73 Sporting Odds

[chutey]

First loser of the challange last night. Here is hoping we get back to winning ways tonight.

[aliando]

st mirren game finishes 1-1 - nice one chutey, back on track!

[chutey]

Cheers Aliando! With last nights result we are back on track. midweek results are as follows;

Burnley v Plymouth - Under 2.5 goals - 1.73 Sporting Odds
St Mirren v Hibs - Under 2.5 goals - 1.73 Sporting Odds

System to date:

Starting Bank = 100 pts
Number of bets = 5
Winning Bets = 4
Strike Rate = 80%

Staked = 25pts
Returned = 35.05pts
New bank = 110.05pts
Profit / loss = +10.05pts

[chutey]

One selection for friday 06/04/07

Manchester C v Charlton - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.67 Sporting odds

[chutey]

Dont know about good Friday. This has been a GREAT FRIDAY!!!!

Just got back from the match, saw the blues climb up to 5th, and another win for the system!
Manchester C v Charlton - Under 2.5 Goals - 1.67 Sporting odds

System to date:

Starting Bank = 100 pts
Number of bets = 6
Winning Bets = 5
Strike Rate = 83%

Staked = 30pts
Returned = 43.40pts
New bank = 113.40pts
Profit / loss = +13.40pts

The unders system is still looking very healthy but my analysis has brought up a very unexpected trend that would have returned over 80.00pts profit over 11 bets with a 73% SR. I may consider starting another thread shortly.

Any way gonna start analysis of tomorrows game now before i fall asleep

[chutey]

selections for saturday all 5pts win

wigan v bolton - under 2.5 goals - 1.67 sporting odds

brighton v doncaster - under 2.5 goals - 1.67 sporting odds

hereford v swindon - under 2.5 goals - 1.7 sporting odds

[munki]

Brilliant start Chutey

Best of luck today.

[chutey]

Update of results another good weekend, although we were nowhere near with the Wigan game

wigan v bolton - under 2.5 goals - 1.67 sporting odds
brighton v doncaster - under 2.5 goals - 1.67 sporting odds
hereford v swindon - under 2.5 goals - 1.7 sporting odds

System to date:

Starting Bank = 100 pts
Number of bets = 9
Winning Bets = 7
Strike Rate = 78%

Staked = 45.00pts
Returned = 60.25pts
New bank = 115.25pts
Profit / loss = +15.25pts

Look out for more bets on Monday

[chutey]

selections for monday

Watford v Portsmouth -under 2.5goals- 1.67sporting odds

Boston v Macclesfield - under 2.5goald - 1.8 sporting odds

wrexham v notts c - under 2.5 goals - 1.73 sporting odds