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Old 10-05-2007, 10:46   #1 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Default Burran bets...

Starting a little sideshow of my own. My hope is to double the bank, time is not a factor

I'm betting on everything really. Mostly football and ice hockey, but the hockey season is over soon

Starting bank: 100pts
Bookies: Pinnacle, Bet365, Pinnacle, Betsafe


This could be fun
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Old 10-05-2007, 10:50   #2 (permalink)
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Good Luck
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Old 10-05-2007, 11:17   #3 (permalink)
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Thx mate!

Bet 1

Event: USA-Finland
Bet: Finland (dnb)
Price: 1.71
Bookie: Pinnacle
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Finland looks stronger than USA to me. Finland has a great defense and if they can get their offense going I think they'll have a good chance here.

Bet 2

Event: Eurovision Song Contest, Semifinal
Bet: Will Iceland advance to the final? YES
Price: 3.5
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
28 songs, top 10 go through to the final. I like this song. It's a rock song with a good singer. I'm sure more people than I will like it and the price is great.
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Old 10-05-2007, 12:05   #4 (permalink)
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Bet 3

Event: Groningen-Feyenoord
Bet: Groningen-0.25
Price: 1.86
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Groningen won both meetings in the league. 4-0 away and 3-0 at home. They have a much better form going into this playoff winning 5 of their last 10 games while Feyenoord have only won 2 in their last 10. I think Groningen have a good chance of repeating their performance in the league, winning this one.
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Old 10-05-2007, 12:11   #5 (permalink)
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Good luck mate ..admit your GH thread inspired me to start my own again...
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Old 10-05-2007, 13:45   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: Burran bets...

good luck mate
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Old 10-05-2007, 14:42   #7 (permalink)
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Bet 4

Event: Toulose-Le Mans
Bet: Toulose
Price: 1.70
Bookie: Betsafe
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Toulose need a win to get into CL. Le Mans have nothing to play for.


Bet 5

Event: Eurovision Song Contest, Semifinal
Bet: Will Hungary advance to the final? YES
Price 3.70
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
A Swedish expert has pointed out this song as the best of the semifinal and he says that it will qualify with ease. Have to try it at this price, it's a nice song.


Bet 6

Event: Eurovision Song Contest, Semifinal
Bet: Will Belgium advance to the final? YES
Price 7
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 0.5pt
Reasoning
The same guy doesn't like this song but still thinks that it will advance. It's a 1970-ish song with a lot of pink backlight etc. It's a performance which will catch peoples eyes and these kind of performances often do well.

Last edited by Burran; 10-05-2007 at 16:24.
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Old 10-05-2007, 20:58   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Burran View Post
Thx mate!

Bet 1

Event: USA-Finland
Bet: Finland (dnb)
Price: 1.71
Bookie: Pinnacle
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Finland looks stronger than USA to me. Finland has a great defense and if they can get their offense going I think they'll have a good chance here.

4-4 Push

Bet 3

Event: Groningen-Feyenoord
Bet: Groningen-0.25
Price: 1.86
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Groningen won both meetings in the league. 4-0 away and 3-0 at home. They have a much better form going into this playoff winning 5 of their last 10 games while Feyenoord have only won 2 in their last 10. I think Groningen have a good chance of repeating their performance in the league, winning this one.

2-1 Groningen
.
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Old 10-05-2007, 22:40   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Burran View Post
Bet 2

Event: Eurovision Song Contest, Semifinal
Bet: Will Iceland advance to the final? YES
Price: 3.5
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
28 songs, top 10 go through to the final. I like this song. It's a rock song with a good singer. I'm sure more people than I will like it and the price is great.

Unfortunately Eikur didn't go through


Bet 4

Event: Toulose-Le Mans
Bet: Toulose
Price: 1.70
Bookie: Betsafe
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Toulose need a win to get into CL. Le Mans have nothing to play for.

0-1

Bet 5

Event: Eurovision Song Contest, Semifinal
Bet: Will Hungary advance to the final? YES
Price 3.70
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
A Swedish expert has pointed out this song as the best of the semifinal and he says that it will qualify with ease. Have to try it at this price, it's a nice song.

Yeah, she went through!

Bet 6

Event: Eurovision Song Contest, Semifinal
Bet: Will Belgium advance to the final? YES
Price 7
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 0.5pt
Reasoning
The same guy doesn't like this song but still thinks that it will advance. It's a 1970-ish song with a lot of pink backlight etc. It's a performance which will catch peoples eyes and these kind of performances often do well.

No disco in the final
A profitable start anyway, Thanks Hungary!

Staked: 5.5pts
Returned: 6.56pts
Profit/Loss: +1.06



Last edited by Burran; 10-05-2007 at 22:41.
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Old 11-05-2007, 01:44   #10 (permalink)
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Still up, mate best of luck
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Old 11-05-2007, 11:56   #11 (permalink)
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Bet 7

Event: FC Lahti-HJK Helsinki
Bet: HJK-0.25
Price: 1.83
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
HJK looks like a stronger team to me. They won their last game away at TPS, very strong! Lahti also won their last game, but in their only home game so far they lost to Jaro, 1-4. HJK should have a good chance of getting a win here.


Bet 8

Event: Liverpool-Charlton
Bet: Liverpool-1.5
Price: 2.05
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Liverpool wants to end the PL-season in class and I am confident that they can do so against a relegated Charlton side despite resting players. I give them a bit more than 50% chance of covering this line.

Last edited by Burran; 11-05-2007 at 17:03.
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Old 11-05-2007, 17:13   #12 (permalink)
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Bet 9

Event: Detroit Red Wings-Anaheim Ducks
Bet: Detroit
Price: 2.20
Bookie: Betsafe
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
This should be a tight semi final series, but hopefully Detroit can snatch the first game in front of their home crowd. Betsafe has the highest price available and I'll try it!


Bet 10

Event: Marseille-Sochaux, Coupe de France Final
Bet: Marseille-0.25
Price: 1.88
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Marseille managed to snatch 2nd place in the league after an impressive finish. Makes sense to bet on the team who have 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 7 games.


Bet 11

Event: Canada-Sweden
Bet: Over 5.5 goals
Price: 1.89
Bookie: Pinnacle
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Two offensive minded teams. 6 of Canadas 7 games have ended over 5.5 and Sweden have the same stats.


Bet 12

Event: Sevilla-R. Huelva
Bet: Sevilla
Price: 1.60
Bookie: Betsafe
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Sevilla are still in the title race but they need a win here. I think their dream of becoming league-winners is still alive after this game.

Last edited by Burran; 12-05-2007 at 00:22.
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Old 11-05-2007, 21:58   #13 (permalink)
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Dunno what HJK was doing, they weren't winning anyway.

Still +0.06 pts though
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Old 12-05-2007, 09:58   #14 (permalink)
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Bet 13

Event: Eurovision Song Contest
Bet: Belarus Top 4
Price: 2.22
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
I like this song and this is a potential winner. I think they will end top 4.


Bet 14

Event: Russia-Finland
Bet: Finland+1.5
Price: 2.45
Bookie: Pinnacle
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
I believe that there's value here now. I still think that Russia will win it, but it could be a closer game than the bookies predict.

Last edited by Burran; 12-05-2007 at 11:41.
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Old 12-05-2007, 16:04   #15 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Burran View Post

Bet 9

Event: Detroit Red Wings-Anaheim Ducks
Bet: Detroit
Price: 2.20
Bookie: Betsafe
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
This should be a tight semi final series, but hopefully Detroit can snatch the first game in front of their home crowd. Betsafe has the highest price available and I'll try it!

2-1 Red Wings

Bet 14

Event: Russia-Finland
Bet: Finland+1.5
Price: 2.45
Bookie: Pinnacle
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
I believe that there's value here now. I still think that Russia will win it, but it could be a closer game than the bookies predict.

1-2 Finland a. OT
+2.71pts atm
5pts pending.
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Old 12-05-2007, 16:17   #16 (permalink)
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Bet 15

Event: Eurovision Song Contest
Bet: Hungary Top 10
Price: 2.00
Bookie: Betfair
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning

I'll keep on betting on one of my favourites. Top 10 is very possible. A plus that she were in the semifinal.
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Old 12-05-2007, 18:37   #17 (permalink)
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Bet 16

Event: Toronto FC-Chicago Fire (MLS)
Bet: Chicago-0.25
Price: 1.80
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Toronto has started the season with 4 straight losses. Chicago looks to be a stronger team as they've collected 10 points in their 5 first games.


Bet 17

Event: Sligo Rovers-Cork City
Bet: Cork City
Price: 1.80
Bookie: Betsafe
Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
Cork won both meetings last season. 3-0 away and 2-0 at home. They have started this season more confident than Sligo and a win here looks probable.


Bet 18

Event: Hammarby-Örebro
Bet: Hammarby-1
Price: 2.12
Bookie: Pinnacle

Stake: 1pt
Reasoning
The current league leaders has been looking sharp so far, especially at home where they have won two games against teams like Örebro. I think that Örebro will face the same destiny as BP and Trelleborg at Söderstadion and they may well lose by more than one goal.

Last edited by Burran; 12-05-2007 at 18:59.
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Old 13-05-2007, 09:57   #18 (permalink)
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Some strange results yesterday. Room for improvement today

Marseille-Sochaux 1-1
Sligo-Cork 4-1

Sevilla-R. Huelva 2-1
Toronto-Chicago 3-1
Hungary top 10...She ended 9th
Belarus top 4...They ended 6th
Canada-Sweden Over 5.5...4-1 Canada, not a single goal in the last period

-3.4pts and a total loss of 0.69pts



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Old 13-05-2007, 10:54   #19 (permalink)
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Wolves-WBA
Wolves (0) 2.13@Pinnacle 1pt
I hold Wolves as slight favourites in front of their home crowd and 2.13 for the fnb is therefore good.
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Old 13-05-2007, 13:24   #20 (permalink)
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Pompey-Arsenal
Pompey+0.25 1.94@Pinnacle 1pt
Pompey are hunting Reading and Bolton and if they win they have a good chance of playing in the UEFA-cup next season. They've beaten a Liverpool-side in the same situation as Arsenal recently and ofc. United a while before that. They have a good chance of winning this one too.
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