In bookie we trust

[expert]

Okay..yes..another gh thread..i know im the pain in the ass...but, wanted do that and will document it publicly so that it doesnt get lost in my "My documents" folder.

OK, so here it goes..i will be using three leagues
Premiership
Tippeligaen and
Jupiter league

and in offered coupun i will put same amount of units on the result, which the bookie think its the most predictable, for example if a match

Newcastle vs. Wigan is valued 2.10 3.40 1.25..im putting cash on Wigans win...clear enough imo

so thats a no brainer theory to see how many times the book is right. Also i have chosen Premiership which is imo very well covered by bookie experts, Belgium which can offer some unexpected results and Norway which is known of many upsets and hard to predict league...

chosen book is bet365, stakes 10 units per bet and paper system only..

so let the "trusting" begin

[expert]

25 Aug 12:45	Sunderland v Liverpool		5.50	3.60	1.61	+21
25 Aug 15:00	Arsenal v Man City		1.53	3.80	6.00	+21
25 Aug 15:00	Aston Villa v Fulham		1.83	3.40	4.33	+21
25 Aug 15:00	Bolton v Reading		2.25	3.20	3.00	+21
25 Aug 15:00	Chelsea v Portsmouth		1.28	5.00	10.00	+21
25 Aug 15:00	Derby v Birmingham		2.37	3.25	2.87	+21
25 Aug 15:00	West Ham v Wigan		1.90	3.25	4.00	+21
25 Aug 17:15	Everton v Blackburn		2.10	3.20	3.50	+21
26 Aug 13:30	Middlesbrough v Newcastle		2.60	3.20	2.62	+21
26 Aug 16:00	Man Utd v Tottenham		1.53	3.80	6.00	+21

25 Aug 17:00	Germinal v Genk		2.70	3.20	2.30	+13
25 Aug 19:00	Anderlecht v FC Brussels		1.20	5.50	10.00	+13
25 Aug 19:00	Cercle Brugge v Dender		1.72	3.40	4.20	+13
25 Aug 19:00	Gent v Zulte-Waregem		1.36	4.20	7.00	+13
25 Aug 19:00	Mons v Lokeren		2.10	3.20	3.10	+13
25 Aug 19:00	Roeselare v Standard Liege		4.20	3.40	1.72	+13
25 Aug 19:00	Westerlo v Excelsior Mouscron		1.90	3.25	3.50	+13
26 Aug 17:00	St.-Truidense v Charleroi		2.50	3.20	2.50	+13
27 Aug 19:30	KV Mechelen v Club Brugge		5.00	3.40	1.61	+13

25 Aug 18:00	Rosenborg v Valerenga		1.75	3.50	4.75	+15
26 Aug 17:00	Fredrikstad v Tromso		1.90	3.50	3.75	+15
26 Aug 17:00	Lillestrom v Aalesund		1.61	3.60	5.50	+15
26 Aug 17:00	Lyn Oslo v Stromsgodset		1.90	3.40	4.00	+15
26 Aug 17:00	Odd Grenland v Viking FK		2.60	3.30	2.60	+15
26 Aug 19:00	IK Start v SK Brann		2.87	3.40	2.37	+15
27 Aug 18:00	Sandefjord v Stabaek		2.90	3.40	2.30	+13

[expert]

The 1st week bookies picks

ENGLAND
Liverpool 1.61
Arsenal 1.53
Aston Villa 1.83
Bolton 2.25
Chelsea 1.28
Derby 2.37
West Ham 1.90
Everton 2.10
Middlesbrough 2.60
Man Utd 1.53

BELGIUM
Genk 2.30
Anderlecht 1.20
Cercle Brugge 1.72
Gent 1.36
Mons 2.10
Standard Liege 1.72
Westerlo 1.90
St.-Truidense 2.50
Club Brugge 1.61

NORWAY
Rosenborg 1.75
Fredrikstad 1.90
Lillestrom 1.61
Lyn Oslo 1.90
Odd Grenland 2.60
SK Brann 2.37
Stabaek 2.30

[Hodgey]

If you are backing the favourite in every match I think it's a safe assumption you will lose long term. And if you are only using one bookie I think it's doubly safe you will lose long term.

[expert]

Originally Posted by expert

chosen book is bet365, stakes 10 units per bet and paper system only..

no need to worry mate

[Hodgey]

Originally Posted by expert

no need to worry mate

Ok fair enough. And very wise to do so.

But.... I still think you're paper system will not show a profit!

[expert]

Originally Posted by expert

The 1st week bookies picks

ENGLAND
Liverpool 1.61
Arsenal 1.53
Aston Villa 1.83
Bolton 2.25
Chelsea 1.28
Derby 2.37
West Ham 1.90
Everton 2.10
Middlesbrough 2.60
Man Utd 1.53

BELGIUM
Genk 2.30
Anderlecht 1.20
Cercle Brugge 1.72
Gent 1.36
Mons 2.10
Standard Liege 1.72
Westerlo 1.90
St.-Truidense 2.50
Club Brugge 1.61

NORWAY
Rosenborg 1.75
Fredrikstad 1.90
Lillestrom 1.61
Lyn Oslo 1.90
Odd Grenland 2.60
SK Brann 2.37
Stabaek 2.30

results so far..