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| | #1 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| Curiosity has been getting to me lately and I wanted to see if laying teams could hold its own in a proper system compared to "Draw No Bets" or straight winners (1x2). The purpose of this thread will be to use the picks from my laying thread and put them into three separate banks, one for each type of bet. Each bank will have 100 points and each bet will be 10% of the bank. This will be worked out before each bet. All lays will be with betfair and all other bets will use the best odds I can find. The bookmaker will be posted. THIS IS A PAPER TRIAL Stay Tuned!
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" Last edited by jimmah; 17-05-2009 at 19:33. |
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| | #2 (permalink) |
| 322 ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 12 Aug 2005 Age: 33
Posts: 25,085
| i'd have thought that the dnb's/laying would be better in one bank, but simply looking at which odds are better value as they return the same outcome? EDIT - still in holiday mode - mistaking dnb's with double chance bets ![]() interesting to see the comparison - not exactly paper trialled like this, but most of my betting these days is layign rather than betting on. good luck ![]() |
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| | #3 (permalink) |
| Legendary Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 20 Apr 2009
Posts: 1,842
| draw no bets are more proftable bets but i guess if you factor in occasional draws where your bank is not growing (whereas the same result would yield an increase in the laying bank) then it might work out to be a similar figure in terms of growth |
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| | #4 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| Time will tell i spose 1. Helsingborgs vs Trelleborgs with the home team being backed in the three ways 1x2 Bank 10 points at 1.5 Balance 90 DNB Bank 10 points at 1.17 Balance 90 Lay Bank 10 points laying at 10.26 (odds I got matched at on Betfair) Balance 90
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" |
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| | #5 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| As a note the 10 points on the laying bank is the liability not the payout if you catch my drift EDIT Also completely forgot to say the bookmakers. The 1x2 bet is with Skybet and the DNB is Stan James
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" Last edited by jimmah; 18-05-2009 at 10:07. |
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| | #7 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| Well Helsingborgs squandered a 2-0 lead and it finished 2-2 1x2 Bank Balance £90 DNB Bank Balance £100 Lay Bank Balance £101.08 Wins 0 Draws 1 Losses 0
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" Last edited by jimmah; 18-05-2009 at 20:15. |
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| | #8 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| 2. Trelleborgs at home to Djurgardens with the home team being backed 1x2 Bank 9 points at 2.08 with Betfair DNB Bank 10 points at 1.44 with bet365 Lay Bank 10.11 points at 4.3
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" |
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| | #11 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| I'm not sure to be honest. This experiment is really to see which system would work best and I think if I were to run one of these systems it would be using the best odds I could find. Though I agree if it were just a pure comparison of the 3 methods of betting rather than the systems it would be more "correct" to use the same bookie.
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" |
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| | #12 (permalink) | |
| Disturbed Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 18 Jan 2008 Location: Sweden Age: 36
Posts: 3,679
| Quote:
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| | #13 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| 2-0 Trelleborg 1x2 Bank Balance £99.72 DNB Bank Balance £104.40 Lay Bank Balance £104.14
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" |
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| | #16 (permalink) |
| God Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 06 Nov 2004 Location: west calder , scotland Age: 49
Posts: 4,838
| Hope you manage to keep this going for a good while jimmah it should be interesting to see how the 3 compare over time . Good Luck mate ![]() |
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| | #19 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| Thanks. I intend to keep it going for as long as the Laying Football Selections thread has money in it and at the rate its currently going that could be a long, long time!
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" |
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| | #20 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 02 Oct 2008 Location: London Age: 26
Posts: 647
| 3. Bohemians at home to Drogheda with the home team backed 1x2 Bank 9.97 points at 1.3 with Victor Chandler DNB Bank 10.44 points at 1.09 with William Hill Lay Bank 10.41 points at 19.87
__________________ "In a bet there is a fool and a thief" |
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