Intersting Random HH from $109

[robilaruk]

Okay I have raised on the button with AK

How would play this - shove, call or fold

Damo


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Hand #339135006 at table: 5 Player $100 NL
Started: Thu Jun 22 14:59:48 2006

alvaroadv is at seat 1 with 1925.00
Winmachine is at seat 2 with 1290.00
hero is at seat 3 with 2255.00
Bluff Face is at seat 4 with 2900.00
casps is at seat 5 with 1480.00

casps posts the large blind 100.00
Bluff Face posts the small blind 50.00

Bluff Face: --, --
casps: --, --
alvaroadv: --, --
Winmachine: --, --
hero: Kd, As

Pre-flop:

alvaroadv: Call 100.00
Winmachine: Fold
hero: Raise 400.00
Bluff Face: Fold
casps: Call 400.00
alvaroadv: Fold

Flop (Board: 10d, Qh, 10c):

casps: Bet 300.00

[viggosen]

I Don`t think you can call here, because you doN´t know what cards will help say and A come if Villain has a T or AQ, then you are still dead, and you don´t have potodds to chase J alone.
If you push all-in, Villain have 1080 left after the flop so thats the max you can lose now, if you win you will get a pot of 3010.
So you need 36 % chance to win to make a push right (if you get called).
If he has a T then you have hopeless odds max 16 % and if he has AT, KT, or JT even worse.
Against a top pair AA-TT you also have hopeless odds max 26 %
If he has a Q then you have 26-31 % depending on his kicker.
Against an under pair like 77 you got about 47 %.
Against a straight draw KJ or J9 about 75 %.

On balance unless he is an aggresive player I think would let this hand go.
But I think you can defend both a push and a fold here.

[robilaruk]

many thanks viggo for the analysis

for me its an easy choice

FOLD

I have nothing, why call to hit a gutshot J? pointless as you say

Let him have it and move on

Damo

Originally Posted by viggosen

I Don`t think you can call here, because you doN´t know what cards will help say and A come if Villain has a T or AQ, then you are still dead, and you don´t have potodds to chase J alone.
If you push all-in, Villain have 1080 left after the flop so thats the max you can lose now, if you win you will get a pot of 3010.
So you need 36 % chance to win to make a push right (if you get called).
If he has a T then you have hopeless odds max 16 % and if he has AT, KT, or JT even worse.
Against a top pair AA-TT you also have hopeless odds max 26 %
If he has a Q then you have 26-31 % depending on his kicker.
Against an under pair like 77 you got about 47 %.
Against a straight draw KJ or J9 about 75 %.

On balance unless he is an aggresive player I think would let this hand go.
But I think you can defend both a push and a fold here.