US Sports, Tuesday

NBA

New Orleans Hornets (0) v (-5) Detroit Pistons Away@1.952 (Bet365)

New Orleans Hornets v Detroit Pistons Under 170@2.000 (Bet 365)

Memphis Grizzlies (0) v (+8) Toronto Raptors Away@1.909 (Bet365)

Chicago Bulls (-1) v (0) New Jersey Nets Home@2.100 (Bet365)

Sacramento Kings (0) v (+9) Milwaukee Bucks Away@2.000 (Bet365)

Hope you haven't missed the boat, Kimkarim.

Detroit are UNDER 9 of last 10....Playing great D, but total's will over-react sooner or later.

Memphis -8

League:17-4 SU (Av. win 10.0) home 5+ fav, 2 days off 10- ats win as home 4- fav. [Mem]
9-1 ats (Av. win 17.4!) if opp last off ats win! (2-0 this season)

League: 6-23 SU (Av. loss 9.4) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 4- SU win as away 5+ dog. [Tor]
6-12 ats (Av. loss 10.7) if opp off ats win.
2-6 ats (Av. loss 12.0) if ats win was at home.

Memphis are 9-2 v. Central div this season...17-7 v. all East.

Griz should be able to control the paint...can't see Toronto shooting over 50% 2 games in a row.

No worries, Taza. Been on 'em (ATS) past two games, so even if they mess up ATS and Total tonight, I'll escape with a small loss.

Adding Raptors (+8) for tonight. Not to provoke or anything, but think that's too many points to give a sound defensive team, who's off a splendid win at (weak) New Orleans. Grizzlies to win SU, Raptors for the money IMO. It is also a system play; a system that's gone 13-1 last two days (can't backproof). I'm starting a new thread in "Systems & Strategy", so for anyone interested...

[Tulenos]

Some days off due to being away for the weekend in the first place and then due to dreadful matches on tap last two days. It may be best to revise the standings at the moment.

127-146-26, +21.37 pts, yield +6.63 per cent YTD

You may see there has been a dip in for so although the profit is still healthy, March hasn't been very kind to me/us. Not going to complain about incredible bad luck and stuff, it just happens. Rolling on with quite a few fancies.
Just a note here - not backing Nashville due to price, NYI - defo due to price, NJD - price yet again or Philly - price.

Wouldn't put anyone off a nice looking ML accie of NJD, DET, PHI and maybe NYI if you think 1.299 is worth it (they have to do their best to keep in contention). Not an accyman myself so it's up to you.

Pitt (ML) to bt NYR @ 2.33 *Pinn* 2 PTS

Well, really can't understand the price here. The host, those infamous Rangers, have seemingly already hung their skates up for good - they have lost 6 sitraight and given all those stars in the line-up, they are sure not fired up for a meaningless encounter. The Pens, on the other hand, seem to be up and running just as if the elimination brought new life to this hopeless team. The fact is they have lost just once in eight and are as hot as you get. The H2Hs I hear you cry - yes, The Rangers are 3-2 this season BUT they won the first three and lost the last two. I can see no reason why not to back the Pens yet again in their crusade to finish rock bottom and yet the hottest team in the comp.

Ottawa (ML) to bt BOS @ 2.01 *Pinn* 1 PT

Ott 4-5-0-1, Bos 6-1-1, but the Bruins are a typical road team and they stagger once they get home. What's more, Ottawa have won L3 H2Hs (L5 H2Hs have gone under as well, but you never know with Ottawa).

Det -1/2 to bt SJS @ 2.24 *Pinn* 1 PT
Det @ SJS UNDER 5 @ 2.10 *Pinn* 1 PT

SJS off a loss after winning or drawin 6 on the trot. Det off a loss and have lost just twice in 12. The game hold no special importance for either team and yet there is something - if the Wings gather at least a point, they'll become the first team in NHL history to collect full 100 points in regular season. It's more than usual that an opponent, particularly a home and hosed opponent "helps". After all, it's their name that will appear in the book as well (I mean the match in which the record was achieved. The under -well, L3 H2H have seen 6, 3 and 5 goals. Det 4 unders / 2 overs in L6, SJS 4 overs in L4 - BUT 4 overs is the longest over streak the Sharks have recorded so far this season. Price play.

TB (ML) to bt TOR @ 2.30 *B365* 1 PT

Well, TB off the boil a little bit and against H2H disadvatange vs Tor, particulalry @ Tor. BUT neither team nothing much to play for and Tor never perform well as overwhelming favs. Another price play.

That's it.
T.

Moneyline does include overtime. Puckline involves a handicap (usually +½) for the underdog, which is the only difference between ML and PL.

Regarding Betfair: I don't know but would be surprised if they don't.

HI there, what does (ML) mean in your picks please ?

Cheers.

Moneyline (ML) means you get your stake back if match is tied (after overtime).

Ah right cheers, I take it that it isn't the same as puck line which includes overtime ? Do they offer the money line bet type on betfair ?

Cheers kimkarim

[Tulenos]

Betfair guys DON'T offer moneyline at all. They have 1x2 betting in regulation, ie after 60 minutes and the draw option is included, puckline (incl. OT) and totals - also after 60 mins. Beware. For instance, B365 is the book to run a full NHL book as well as Pinnacle (US book), and sure many others, mainly US based books. Euro books offer a fraction. Well, can't forget our beloved Paddy Power running the whole book as well (even though pricing up a little bit late).

[Tulenos]

These Rangers can't be serious this season (as usual). The only thing they are playing for is their pride and yet they are already two down in the first. Just hope I didn't jinx it now.

Thanks for Pitt (ML) to bt NYR pick Tulenos .
Piece of cake.

[Tulenos]

You're welcome. In the money overall even though those Wings managed to eat most of the profit.