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Old 15-03-2004, 06:10   #1 (permalink)
abookiesworstnightmare
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Default Slight Arb + middle

Dallas Mavericks -3.5 at evens Coral
LA Clippers + 4 at 21/20 Pinnacle

Risking nothing possibly hit 1 and tie 1 if anyones interested in a risk free bet
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Old 15-03-2004, 07:42   #2 (permalink)
Bohemian NHL Punter
 
Join Date: 02 May 2001
Location: Prague
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Default Slight Arb + middle

Well spottet, nightmare, although you really need a fatter cushion for a bit comfortable arb. That said, Dal -4 (ex) may be on cards
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Old 15-03-2004, 08:03   #3 (permalink)
abookiesworstnightmare
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Default Slight Arb + middle

yeah i wont middle unless it's at least 2 points and low juice on a side but as it's free i will invest max stakes allowed prob about 500 £ at coral ;-)
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Old 15-03-2004, 08:16   #4 (permalink)
Bohemian NHL Punter
 
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Default Slight Arb + middle

good luck
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Old 15-03-2004, 09:00   #5 (permalink)
abookiesworstnightmare
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Default Slight Arb + middle

thx man, and my proper pick for tonight is also that game.

Dallas off Back to back games
Total average pts total this season 102.47
Total average pts total away this season 101.64

La Clippers Off one day Rest
Total average pts total this season 94.1
Total average pts total at home this season 97.5

H2H's this season 1 under 1 Over
from them stats it should be around a 200 total i'm taking under 211 20/21 Pinnacle
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Old 15-03-2004, 09:23   #6 (permalink)
TazaD
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Default Re: Slight Arb + middle

Dallas -4.5

League: 12-2 (13-1 this no. Av. win 13.1) away fav, any rest off 15+ ats win as away 5+ fav. [Dal]
9-0 this no. (Av. win 14.3) if playing with no rest!!

League: 10-19 (Av. loss 9.0) home dog, 1 day off SU loss as awau 5+ dog. [LAC]
6-12 (Av. loss 9.4) if they lost ats.

Dallas beat up Phoenix last night after a sting of road losses v. quality teams, and know they have to keep winning these 'easy' games for a chance of home court in the play-offs.

Forget the arb, and just unload on Dallas!
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Old 15-03-2004, 10:30   #7 (permalink)
Mr Bookie Buster
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Default Slight Arb + middle

Excellent post abookiesworstnightmare. Poor old Coral are really asleep tonight. The line in Bet365 is -5 at 20/23. If Dallas win by more than 3.5 tonight, they are really going to suffer a lot. Also felt that the total of 211.5 in William Hill is just far too high on this game so put an under bet on that. I came up with a similar calculation to you abookiesworstnightmare and feel that under 211.5 is super value. Great post

Cheers

BB
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Old 15-03-2004, 10:34   #8 (permalink)
Mr Bookie Buster
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Default Slight Arb + middle

By the way if you follow my lead, you can get the LA Clippers+4.5 at 2.08 at Betfair.
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Old 15-03-2004, 10:55   #9 (permalink)
JJBEAR
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Default Re: Slight Arb + middle

Arbs all over the place, Bluesq are 8/15 moneyline on DAL and you can get 21/10 (widely available) on the Clips.

Have to agree with everyone on the total going under.

And if anyone of ya fancy DAL to really take it to the Clips WillHill are offering a healthy 9/2 on them to win by 13+ points. (excluding overtime) but a team would very rarely win by 13 or more in overtime so not really worth worrying about.
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Old 15-03-2004, 13:54   #10 (permalink)
abookiesworstnightmare
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Default Re: Slight Arb + middle

101-88 Final WOW, It Goes way Under for Me and BB Covers Easy for Taz and Hits the Winning Margin For JJ Atswhati'mtalkin'about!!!
Nice Stuff Guys Same time Tomorrow
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Old 15-03-2004, 14:44   #11 (permalink)
JJBEAR
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Default Re: Slight Arb + middle

Oh yeah baby, that 9/2 was well overpriced, DAL are back on track now, and the hadicappers are just not caught up yet.

For tommorow ORL + 13.5, but wont hit it yet as "squares" will back this up to 15 i think.
Just watch out there are rumours about Kobe, so keep a close eye on this one.

See ya later.
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