Question About NBA - Regarding Lakers game and props tonight

PaddyPower have priced the amount of 3 point successful shots in the Lakers Game tonight at 5/6 on a line of 9.5 Over/Under

Origionally I thought that 9.5 was too low based on the last 4 game between these two in Postseason. In there games there were 12 - 13 - 16 - 8 , making an average of 12.25.

After I checked into meetings between these two in the regular season I was quite suprised to find quite different stats. They played 4 games and there were 3 - 10 - 6 - 8, making an average of 6.75.

Now my question is why there is such a difference between the Post Season 3 pointers and the Regular season 3 pointers. If you add up the average 3 pointers in Post Season and regular season, you get an average of 9.5 exactly which is how I feel PaddyPower is coming up with this line. Anyway I do feel that 9.5 is too low based on reason matches, but taking into account the regular season, I will not be betting for the moment until I understand this disparity. Anyway I hope someone has an idea of why there is such a difference between the two stats above.

BB

Also went throught their other props tonight on the Lakers game and they got everything pretty ok, except for maybe the 3 pointers. That I am not sure of yet. I await a response from a more knowledgeable party on the PL.
BB

I am not sure but, I think kobe was out for a couple of the games. The difference between regular and post season play is that teams get a little bit more defensive and therefore are forced into throwing up more 3's. I think 9.5 is about right, but if you check pinnacle and thegreek, both US books and they have a massive amount of props. I have also noticed that bet365 have started to do player props aswell.

If the lines are out on paddypower, they will be wrong and not the others.

I have just checked thegreek and they have the line set at 11, ov @ 11/10, un @ 10/13. So maybe worth a shot on the over with paddy as this could be the last game of the season for MINN and could get a bit rough and defensive. Kobe hits about 6 or 7 3's tonight on his own.

Cheers J Bear, well explained regarding teams being more defensive in the Post Season. I always check the props of the other bookmakers to check how PaddyPower are doing. I already went to check Pinicle tonight but they did not have their props up earlier.

BB

Cassel for MINN is a game time decision, even if he does play the injury he has will hinder him a bit. So playing Garnett points over 22.5 @ paddy may be a good bet, it is 23.5 @ 5/7 at bet365, pinnacle has the same. His last game he shot 28 pts and 13 boards. So I expect a big game from him tonight, given that if they lose tonight they are out of the championship, and someone will have to score for MINN, cos the rest of the team will probaly only make up about 55% - 60%.

Well, Cassell didn't play and as predicted Garnett went over scoring 30 points, but they hit only 9 3 pointers, so that is another win for paddy. But if they continue to put these up they will be beaten in the long run.