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| 23-21-1 Houston -7 League: 132-39 SU (Av. win 8.4) home 5+ fav, 1 day off 10- ats loss as home 5+ fav. [Houst] (21-4 SU (Av. win 9.3) if total <180) 30-20-1 (Av. win 11.7) if opp off 10- ats win. (4-1 this no. this season) 14-7-2 (Av. win 12.3) if the 10- ats win was at home. 10-3-2 (Av. win 12.3) if they were favs. League: 27-42-1 (Av. loss 10.8 ) away 5+ dog, no rest off 10- ats win as home fav. [NO] 14-23-1 (Av. loss 12.1) if opp was last at home. 3-8 (1-9-1 this no. Av. loss 13.7) if opp off home 10- ats loss!! Houston are 7-2 the last 9 home meetings v. NO. NO are 5-13-2 last 20 v. Midwest. NO are 4-13 this season when total 170-180...also 4-13 under. This tells me that they are expected to lay an egg...They do!! NO are 1-7 last 8 away games. Mashburn back out of the team, and I expect them to struggle offensively again...esp. v. the best D% in the NBA. Sure, NO scored 95 v. Miami today, but they had 42-46 FT's!!! ...and only shot 34.8% Like the Rockets to win by DD in this one. |
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