Mlb 25/4

[Juuso]

Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ New York Yankees

Devil Rays 3.15 (Pinnacle) 4 units


TB: LHP Scott Kazmir, 2-1 , ERA 4.07 , WHIP 1.52

NYY: RHP Mike Mussina, 2-1 , ERA 2.67 , WHIP 1.07


Very good odds on tampa with their young ace Kazmir on the mound today. Tampa was really good games against Yankees last season, 6-3 record at yankee stadium and 11-8 overall. Kazmir has a 2.81 ERA against the Yankees in three career appearances. Kazmir is a really promising talent and has the ability to strike out batters with a about 1 so per inning ratio. He has looked really good in his last 2 starts, so i feel pretty good backing him in this spot. Mussina has also been really good this season and he has as 13-5 record with a 3.47 ERA against Tampa Bay in his career. Though, most of those games were several years ago when tampas batting were much weaker. Yankees are good, but in this case their odds are very short. Tampa has above average batting and base running game and having their best starter Kazmir on the mound and also taking into consideration their great h2h last season with similar lineups against NYY, they are really worth a shot today imo.



Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Indians

Indians 2.27 (Pinnacle) 6 units


BOS: RHP Curt Schilling, 4-0 , ERA 1.61 , WHIP .75

CLE: RHP Jake Westbrook, 2-2 , ERA 5.92 , WHIP 1.32


It's not often that Indians are underdogs at home. Reason for these odds are Westbrooks bad last starts and Schillings amazing start for the season. Westbrook had really dominant first 2 starts, both home games and after that he had trouble in his last 2 road games. I see a lot of value in Indians here. They hit really good against righties, are at home and despite Westbrook harsh outing in last game i think he has the ability to bounce back at home, where he has been really dominant so far. Also Indians road trip didn't go as planned they went only 4-6 and must be motivated in front of their home crowd. Battingwise both of these teams are in top 4 of the American league, so will probably be a good match. I simply have to try the Tribe with these odds. Schilling can't go on this dominant forever and Indians like to hit against righties.



Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers 2.09 (Pinnacle) 5 units


MIL: RHP Tomo Ohka, 1-1 , ERA 4.09 , WHIP 1.59

ATL: RHP Tim Hudson, 1-1 , ERA 6.08 , WHIP 1.48


I like this bet as Brewers are set as an underdog at home. Atlanta has been quite shaky in the beginning of this season and are still missing Edgar Renteria and Chipper Jones due to the injuries. Also Atlanta starter Hudson has been quite bad so far. His only good start was his last game agains Mets, who were missing Cliff Floyd and Carlos Beltran in that game. On the other hand Brewers have played good at home this season (7-4) and Tomo Ohka has been decent with only bad start in his last game against hard hitting Reds. Ohka was 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in four games against the Braves last season. I'm putting medium stakes on the Brew Crew as i think they should be slight favorites in this game.

[Bamse81]

Excellent write-ups as usual Juuso!

GL with your bets

[Juuso]

Originally Posted by Bamse81

Excellent write-ups as usual Juuso!

GL with your bets

Thanks mate. Been on a bit of a bad run lately, so hoping for a good result today.

[scruff]

Hi Jusso,
Just looking for a bit of advice

Chicago White Sox (Vazquez) at Seattle Mariners (Pineiro)

10 - 13

11 - 10

I know nothing about the pitchers but I was looking at the form and the White Sox look to be on fire and Seattle seem to be on a bad run, any feeling on the 10-13 price?

[Juuso]

Originally Posted by scruff

Hi Jusso,
Just looking for a bit of advice


I know nothing about the pitchers but I was looking at the form and the White Sox look to be on fire and Seattle seem to be on a bad run, any feeling on the 10-13 price?

Hi mate.

I have a small bet on Seattle. didn't post all my bets for the night. The starters are both very good. Seattles Pineiro cruised 5 innings of 2 hit - no run ball in last start at texas, but gave up a homerun in the 6th and bullpen blew up the win for him 3-4. Seattle won yesterday and i like them because of the home advantage. This one could really go either way and if you decide to bet either side, small stake recommended as this could be very even game. But definitely the value is on the home team imo. My rough estimation about 51%-49% in favor of Seattle.

[StevieFlack]

Just wrote a lovely long write up but it seems to not have appeared -

can't quite be bothered to write it all again but-

Some nailed on overs tonight.
Colorado vs Philly
Some horrible pitching in prospect as ASCENCIO (just recalled from triple a- lifetime era of around 6) faces Floyd lifetime era - nearing 7.

The over 10 @ 1.86 simply has to be taken- especially now Philly have re-jigged the start of their batting order


Meanwhile in Toronto- Lopez for baltimore is struggling to keep the ball in the park.Not a good idea, when facing in form wells, rios and glaus.

If chacin can keep it simple and pitch just well enough, toronto can expect a comfortable night at the Rogerscentre.

Blue Jays -1.5

150 pts @ 2.5

Meanwhile in Washington- some more wayward pitching to lick our lips at.Dave williams 15 runs yielded - 4outings -managed only 12 innings against our old pal Billy traber.His 2nd start since 2003

I will eat my hat if this does not get over 9 runs @ 1.86

250pt dble

[scruff]

Originally Posted by Juuso

Hi mate.

I have a small bet on Seattle. didn't post all my bets for the night. The starters are both very good. Seattles Pineiro cruised 5 innings of 2 hit - no run ball in last start at texas, but gave up a homerun in the 6th and bullpen blew up the win for him 3-4. Seattle won yesterday and i like them because of the home advantage. This one could really go either way and if you decide to bet either side, small stake recommended as this could be very even game. But definitely the value is on the home team imo. My rough estimation about 51%-49% in favor of Seattle.

Thanks for the advice Juuso, best of luck with your selections except the seattle one cause I decided on a small wager on Chicago myself just to make it interesting

[WorkingForTheEnemy]

LAD @ HOU

LAD 10-10, 5-3 road, 5-5 last 10, winning streak 2
HOU 13-6, 10-4 home, 7-3 last 10 , losing streak 1

Penny has been great so far for the Dodgers with 2 wins and a 1.88 ERA. He has only once given up more than 1 run, this being in his last outing where he gave up 2.

Nieve seemed to settle into his new role as a starter rather well last time out. Hopefully the rest of the pitchng staff will rub off on him. In the last 5 games their starting pitching staff have givenup 4 runs over 35 2/3 innings for a 1.01 ERA.

If Nieve can run with the rest of the Astros starting staff and prove he has ability then HOU could win this game. 2.1 isnt great so Im going to take a gamble on HOU(-1.5) @ 3.34

HOU (-1.5) to win
3.34 @ Pinnacle 5/10

[WorkingForTheEnemy]

PIT STL

PIT have given up more runs than anyone else in the majors.

Suppan has had a bad start but is a good pitcher and should turn things around eventually.

Theres worlds between this teams and Im going to take the same two bets that done me well last night.

STL (-1.5) to win
2.20 @ Pinnacle 7/10

STL to score over 5.5 runs
2.24 @ Pinnacle 7/10

[StevieFlack]

Well 250pts overs double already in.

150 PT blue jays -1.5 @2.5 leading 7-3 going into 8th

Looks like being a cracking days profit

[WorkingForTheEnemy]

Well done Stevie.

Both my STL bets came in. Wish theyd play PIT every night.

Im going to have to get lucky in the HOU game. Bottom of the 9th and its 3-3 so Im gonna need a multi run scoring hit to make the handicap. Oh well, thats what you get for being greedy.