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Old 20-11-2007, 20:21   #21 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 20/11

SönderjyskE - Frederikshavn over 6 goals @ 1.86>>> 9-0
Lugano @ 1.80>> 5-3
Vienna -1 @ 1.80 >>> Vienna lost 1-5 I think
Vålerenga -1 (A.H.) @ 1.99>> 1-0, push
Servette @ 1.65>>> 2-2
Rödovre -1.5 @ 2.19 >>> 5-1
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Old 20-11-2007, 20:22   #22 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 20/11

SönderjyskE - Frederikshavn over 6 goals @ 1.86 Pinnacle
Ok, third time in a row I back over when Sönderjyske's in action. Sönderjyske have now scored 70 and allowed 54 in 17 games, making their goal average a stunning 7.29. Sönderjyske at home: 4-1-2 37-26, 6 over and one push with this line. Frederikshavn away: 2-2-4 14-32, 3 over, one push and 4 under this line. Frederkishavn have allowed 21 goals in their last five matches, a shaky defence like that will cause them big problems vs Sönderjyske, I think Sönderjyske may cover this line themselves. I predict a match were Fredrikshavn won't be able to keep up with Sönderjyske's fast attacking and over an obvious choice.


Timrå - MODO (Home win @ 1.95 bet365)

It hurts to go against your own team but I think that the home team here has a good chance of a win. The games between these teams are derbies and it would be very even matched if MODO didn't have injuries on key-players like Timander and now also Sundström. Tommy Wargh is also out and so is Petrovicky who has been a big disappointment. The two biggest set-backs are of course Timander and Sundström, two of the "older" guys with huge routine and also leadership-qualities. Before Karjala cup MODO took some really nice wins and were the best team in Elitserien at that moment, after Karjala they won in OT against Luleå and lost at home against weak team Brynäs who have been rubbish both before and after that game (lost 3-4 against Södertälje last round). This is a sign of weakness since they are a strong team at home.
Timrå have been good as well but lost against Färjestad away in the last game by a whopping 7-1. This is a debacle of course but it was an away-game and Färjestad are IMO the strongest team of all right now with fantastic form following the Karjala cup. IMO they will now come back with great motivation to bounce back after this defeat, teams that lose big often seem to do just that. Their form at home is OK with 3/4 won and they have also defeated MODO away in Örnsköldsvik in their only H2H this season (1-4).

Lugano @ 1.80 Ladbrokes
Basel by far the worst team in this league, 2 wins in 23 games, lost last five matches with a margin. Lugano started poor, but are now getting in form, won last match 8-1 away vs Zug, a really astonishing result by all means, before that a 5-3 win vs 4th placed Davos. If I am correct about Lugano's rising form I must say that 1.80 looks like a very good offer, Basel atm to poor to give any team a run for it.


Played those Thx to G:G

Thx G:G for the analysis your top.
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Last edited by Amdtje; 20-11-2007 at 20:28.
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Old 20-11-2007, 20:54   #23 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 20/11

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bamse81 View Post


Elitserien:

Timrå - MODO (Home win @ 1.95 bet365)
2-1 FT
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Old 20-11-2007, 20:56   #24 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 20/11

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Originally Posted by Bamse81 View Post
2-1 FT
thx Bamse81
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Old 20-11-2007, 23:43   #25 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 20/11

Wednesday 21 November 2007
HomeTieAwayBPP
HC Pardubice v Vitkovice (17:00 GMT)1.784.503.60107%
Slavia Praha v Bili Tygri Liberec (17:15 GMT)1.924.203.50105%


HomeTieAwayBPP
Ässät Pori v Jokerit (16:30 GMT)3.604.801.84103%


HomeTieAwayBPP
HeKi v jokipojat (16:30 GMT)2.305.002.35107%
SaPKo v Salamat (16:30 GMT)1.855.252.85109%
Sport v KooKoo (16:30 GMT)1.705.253.55107%
Titaanit v LeKi (16:30 GMT)3.555.501.80102%
TuTo v Jukurit (16:30 GMT)1.855.003.00108%

HomeTieAwayBPP
AK Bars Kazan v Severstal Cherepovec (11:00 GMT)1.485.005.25107%
CSKA Moscow v Amur Khabarovsk (11:00 GMT)1.366.006.00107%
Khimik Mytishi v MVD Tver (11:00 GMT)1.664.603.80109%
Lada Togliatti v Avangard Omsk (11:00 GMT)2.804.402.00109%
Neftekhimik v Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (11:00 GMT)2.554.402.15109%
Salavat v Spartak Moscow (11:00 GMT)1.267.007.50107%
Skå v Dynamo Moscow (11:00 GMT)1.692.722.36139%
Torpedo Novgorod v Vitiaz Chehov (11:00 GMT)1.894.603.10107%
SKA St Petersburg v Dynamo Moscow (16:00 GMT)1.574.804.20109%
HomeTieAwayBPP
Almtuna v Leksand (18:00 GMT)5.005.501.55103%
Björklöven v AIK (18:00 GMT)1.555.004.20109%
Bofors v IK Oskarshamn (18:00 GMT)2.004.652.90106%
Hammarby v Borås HC (18:00 GMT)4.005.001.65106%
Huddinge v Nyköpings Hockey (18:00 GMT)2.224.652.62105%
Malmö Redhawks v IF Sundsvall Hockey (18:00 GMT)1.207.608.50109%
Rögle BK v Nybro Vikings IF (18:00 GMT)1.336.507.50104%
Västerås Hockey v Växjö Lakers (18:00 GMT)1.754.853.50107%



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Old 20-11-2007, 23:48   #26 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

Västerås @ 1.75 Centrebet
Västerås imo a very strange team, almost a mystery. Poor, one might even say crap away, but great at home. Homerecord: 8-1-0 39-15, awayrecord 2-2-5 25-26. They got a draw avay vs Oskarshamn last match, before that lost 1-2 away vs Huddinge, latest home matches 4-1 vs Hammarby and 2-1 vs Malmö. Växjö a team that are strong enough to compete for a playoff spot but not level with Leksand, Rögle and Malmö, from just looking at rosters they should not be able to get a point from Västerås either. I know that it's not always that easy to pick a winner in sports, but this match really looks like a homewin to me, bounce back time and Västerås at home vs Växjö who won after o.t. vs Huddinge last match, beat Hammarby before that, but lost vs Rögle, Malmö and Björklöven recently.

Malmö - Sundsvall under 6 goals @ 1.80 Bet365
I'll quote myself from my reasoning from Friday: "Sundsvall have played 17 games this season, 14 of which ended under, that's reason enough to take this bet I guess." Make it 15/18 now and the reason still stands. Malmö, despite being a team placed at 3d, not very highscoring, 4/5 latest under, 7/10 latest under. Once again I think Sundsvall will be able to keep the scoring down. Malmö have only allowed 13 goals in 8 home matches, their solid defence should have no problems with keeping Sundsvall from scoring either: Sundsvall have scored six goals their last five matches, 16 goals from eight away matches. I just have to back under, not to mention that this time Bet365 offer the six goal line for no obvious reason.
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Old 21-11-2007, 01:05   #27 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

Quote:
Originally Posted by G:G View Post

Malmö - Sundsvall under 6 goals @ 1.80 Bet365
I'll quote myself from my reasoning from Friday: "Sundsvall have played 17 games this season, 14 of which ended under, that's reason enough to take this bet I guess." Make it 15/18 now and the reason still stands. Malmö, despite being a team placed at 3d, not very highscoring, 4/5 latest under, 7/10 latest under. Once again I think Sundsvall will be able to keep the scoring down. Malmö have only allowed 13 goals in 8 home matches, their solid defence should have no problems with keeping Sundsvall from scoring either: Sundsvall have scored six goals their last five matches, 16 goals from eight away matches. I just have to back under, not to mention that this time Bet365 offer the six goal line for no obvious reason.
just did some looking at home malmo redhawk plays better and score more
18/11-07 Borås HC vs. MIF Redhawks 1:2
14/11-07 MIF Redhawks vs. IK Nyköping 5:1
12/11-07 Växjö Lakers vs. MIF Redhawks 1:4
02/11-07 VIK Västerås HK vs. MIF Redhawks 2:1
31/10-07 MIF Redhawks vs. Huddinge IK 4:1
26/10-07 Hammarby IF vs. MIF Redhawks 2:4
24/10-07 IK Oskarshamn vs. MIF Redhawks 1:1
2:1 (N.v.)
19/10-07 MIF Redhawks vs. Rögle BK 2:3
16/10-07 IF Björklöven vs. MIF Redhawks 3:1
14/10-07 MIF Redhawks vs. Almtuna IS 4:2
10/10-07 Bofors IK vs. MIF Redhawks 5:4
05/10-07 MIF Redhawks vs. Leksands IF 4:1
03/10-07 AIK IF vs. MIF Redhawks 3:5
30/09-07 MIF Redhawks vs. Nybro IF 6:0
25/09-07 IF Sundsvall Hockey vs. MIF Redhawks 2:3
23/09-07 MIF Redhawks vs. Borås HC 6:2

maybe that"s why its on 6 i think.
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Old 21-11-2007, 01:22   #28 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

just made the biggest bet of my life, bet365 has made a misstake..
Malmö is a big favourite and should have the hcp -2.5 instead the are +2.5.
anyone if it's legally right for them to cancel my bet when they realize their misstake???
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Old 21-11-2007, 01:29   #29 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

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just made the biggest bet of my life, bet365 has made a misstake..
Malmö is a big favourite and should have the hcp -2.5 instead the are +2.5.
anyone if it's legally right for them to cancel my bet when they realize their misstake???
Yes it is, that bet will most probably be voided, check rules, under "Palpable errors"

Amdtje :
Yup, they score more, but: Still 4/5 and 7/10 under, and now they are up vs the masters of under, Sundsvall. My guess is that this odds will be lower closer to matchstart.
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Old 21-11-2007, 02:52   #30 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

Leksand 1.60@Ladbrokes
Leksand is the best team in Allsvenskan with 10 straight wins now. Almtuna has been struggling and even with their new coaching staff I can't see them getting anything from this game. 1.60 is really good.

Borås 1.75@Ladbrokes
Borås has done a great job as newcomers. I'm really impressed by them in every aspect. Last round they lost to Malmö at home 2-1, but that game could have gone anyway. Before that they beat Rögle away 4-2. Extremly impressive to win in one of the toughest fixture of the season. Hammarby are 1-2-15 and I expect another loss here. Nothing is working for them and Borås definately has enough class to beat them.
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Old 21-11-2007, 08:58   #31 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

AK Bars Kazan- Severstal Cherepovec
home win @1.55 6/10


After the break in the regular championships Kazan team seems to be finding their game. They beat strong Lokomotiv at home and the new players like Cajanek and Esche are making the impact. Kazan really needs points and this game is great for picking up three points....imo they will win this game vs Cherapovec.

opinions are welcome...


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Old 21-11-2007, 12:24   #32 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

TuTo @ 1.85 Centrebet
TuTo at 1st place, Jukurit at 3d, but different form and the homeadvantage made me like this bet. TuTo with 4/5 latest won, 8-0-1 51-17 at home, won 6-1 vs Finland U20 last match but more important that they won 3-1 vs by then 3d placed Hokki the home match before that. TuTo have really got their scoring going atm, 24-11 their goaldiffrence the last five. Jukurit with awayrecord 3-3-2 25-19, the wins vs weak teams Titaanit, Sapko and Jokipojat, should get a really difficult time in this match, 1.85 a very decent price for a homewin imo.

LeKi @ 1.80 Ladbrokes
Titaanit by far the worst team in Mestis, one win in 18 games, homerecord 1-2-6 22-38. LeKi on the other hand: placed 2nd, won 4/5 latest, won vs 1st placed TuTo last awaymatch, won the h2h at home 4-1. Despite the trouble I gave finding info about Mestis I decided to get this one, 1.80 looks very overpriced imo.
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Old 21-11-2007, 16:12   #33 (permalink)
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Default Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11

AIK dnb @ 3.20 Pinnacle
This odds is way too high, not much between these teams, AIK have been playing rather well for a while, but they have suffered from a bit sloppy defence, naive mistakes and poor goalscoring effiency, with a bit of luck and if they can finally find the net a bit more often this bet won't be far away at all, a match that I see as a lot closer than this odds suggests. 5/10

Leksand -1.5 @ 1.98 Pinnacle
This bet don't need much explanation imo, Leksand simply one level above the other teams in Allsvenskan atm, while Almtuna still struggle to find any kind of form. The only concern I have is if Leksand might take it easy or be too self confident, if not they'll cover this line.
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