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| | #21 (permalink) |
| _GNAGET_ ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,141
| SönderjyskE - Frederikshavn over 6 goals @ 1.86>>> 9-0 ![]() Lugano @ 1.80>> 5-3 ![]() Vienna -1 @ 1.80 >>> Vienna lost 1-5 I think ![]() Vålerenga -1 (A.H.) @ 1.99>> 1-0, push Servette @ 1.65>>> 2-2 ![]() Rödovre -1.5 @ 2.19 >>> 5-1 ![]()
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. |
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| | #22 (permalink) |
| Junior Punter ![]() Join Date: 30 Aug 2007 Location: Belgium Age: 23
Posts: 54
| SönderjyskE - Frederikshavn over 6 goals @ 1.86 Pinnacle Ok, third time in a row I back over when Sönderjyske's in action. Sönderjyske have now scored 70 and allowed 54 in 17 games, making their goal average a stunning 7.29. Sönderjyske at home: 4-1-2 37-26, 6 over and one push with this line. Frederikshavn away: 2-2-4 14-32, 3 over, one push and 4 under this line. Frederkishavn have allowed 21 goals in their last five matches, a shaky defence like that will cause them big problems vs Sönderjyske, I think Sönderjyske may cover this line themselves. I predict a match were Fredrikshavn won't be able to keep up with Sönderjyske's fast attacking and over an obvious choice. Timrå - MODO (Home win @ 1.95 bet365) It hurts to go against your own team but I think that the home team here has a good chance of a win. The games between these teams are derbies and it would be very even matched if MODO didn't have injuries on key-players like Timander and now also Sundström. Tommy Wargh is also out and so is Petrovicky who has been a big disappointment. The two biggest set-backs are of course Timander and Sundström, two of the "older" guys with huge routine and also leadership-qualities. Before Karjala cup MODO took some really nice wins and were the best team in Elitserien at that moment, after Karjala they won in OT against Luleå and lost at home against weak team Brynäs who have been rubbish both before and after that game (lost 3-4 against Södertälje last round). This is a sign of weakness since they are a strong team at home. Timrå have been good as well but lost against Färjestad away in the last game by a whopping 7-1. This is a debacle of course but it was an away-game and Färjestad are IMO the strongest team of all right now with fantastic form following the Karjala cup. IMO they will now come back with great motivation to bounce back after this defeat, teams that lose big often seem to do just that. Their form at home is OK with 3/4 won and they have also defeated MODO away in Örnsköldsvik in their only H2H this season (1-4). Lugano @ 1.80 Ladbrokes Basel by far the worst team in this league, 2 wins in 23 games, lost last five matches with a margin. Lugano started poor, but are now getting in form, won last match 8-1 away vs Zug, a really astonishing result by all means, before that a 5-3 win vs 4th placed Davos. If I am correct about Lugano's rising form I must say that 1.80 looks like a very good offer, Basel atm to poor to give any team a run for it. Played those Thx to G:G Thx G:G for the analysis your top.
__________________ IliketoGambleandwin. Last edited by Amdtje; 20-11-2007 at 20:28. |
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| | #25 (permalink) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| _GNAGET_ ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,141
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__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| | #26 (permalink) |
| _GNAGET_ ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,141
| Västerås @ 1.75 Centrebet Västerås imo a very strange team, almost a mystery. Poor, one might even say crap away, but great at home. Homerecord: 8-1-0 39-15, awayrecord 2-2-5 25-26. They got a draw avay vs Oskarshamn last match, before that lost 1-2 away vs Huddinge, latest home matches 4-1 vs Hammarby and 2-1 vs Malmö. Växjö a team that are strong enough to compete for a playoff spot but not level with Leksand, Rögle and Malmö, from just looking at rosters they should not be able to get a point from Västerås either. I know that it's not always that easy to pick a winner in sports, but this match really looks like a homewin to me, bounce back time and Västerås at home vs Växjö who won after o.t. vs Huddinge last match, beat Hammarby before that, but lost vs Rögle, Malmö and Björklöven recently. Malmö - Sundsvall under 6 goals @ 1.80 Bet365 I'll quote myself from my reasoning from Friday: "Sundsvall have played 17 games this season, 14 of which ended under, that's reason enough to take this bet I guess." Make it 15/18 now and the reason still stands. Malmö, despite being a team placed at 3d, not very highscoring, 4/5 latest under, 7/10 latest under. Once again I think Sundsvall will be able to keep the scoring down. Malmö have only allowed 13 goals in 8 home matches, their solid defence should have no problems with keeping Sundsvall from scoring either: Sundsvall have scored six goals their last five matches, 16 goals from eight away matches. I just have to back under, not to mention that this time Bet365 offer the six goal line for no obvious reason.
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. |
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| | #27 (permalink) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Junior Punter ![]() Join Date: 30 Aug 2007 Location: Belgium Age: 23
Posts: 54
| Quote:
maybe that"s why its on 6 i think.
__________________ IliketoGambleandwin. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| | #28 (permalink) |
| blomma19 Join Date: 01 Nov 2007 Location: SWEEEDEN
Posts: 6
| just made the biggest bet of my life, bet365 has made a misstake.. Malmö is a big favourite and should have the hcp -2.5 instead the are +2.5. anyone if it's legally right for them to cancel my bet when they realize their misstake??? |
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| | #29 (permalink) | |
| _GNAGET_ ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,141
| Quote:
Amdtje : Yup, they score more, but: Still 4/5 and 7/10 under, and now they are up vs the masters of under, Sundsvall. My guess is that this odds will be lower closer to matchstart.
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. | |
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| | #30 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 05 Sep 2006 Age: 21
Posts: 770
| Leksand 1.60@Ladbrokes Leksand is the best team in Allsvenskan with 10 straight wins now. Almtuna has been struggling and even with their new coaching staff I can't see them getting anything from this game. 1.60 is really good. Borås 1.75@Ladbrokes Borås has done a great job as newcomers. I'm really impressed by them in every aspect. Last round they lost to Malmö at home 2-1, but that game could have gone anyway. Before that they beat Rögle away 4-2. Extremly impressive to win in one of the toughest fixture of the season. Hammarby are 1-2-15 and I expect another loss here. Nothing is working for them and Borås definately has enough class to beat them. |
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| | #31 (permalink) | |||
| Junior Punter ![]() Join Date: 10 Aug 2007
Posts: 65
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After the break in the regular championships Kazan team seems to be finding their game. They beat strong Lokomotiv at home and the new players like Cajanek and Esche are making the impact. Kazan really needs points and this game is great for picking up three points....imo they will win this game vs Cherapovec. opinions are welcome... GL | |||
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| | #32 (permalink) | |||
| _GNAGET_ ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,141
|
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. | |||
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| | #33 (permalink) |
| _GNAGET_ ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,141
| AIK dnb @ 3.20 Pinnacle This odds is way too high, not much between these teams, AIK have been playing rather well for a while, but they have suffered from a bit sloppy defence, naive mistakes and poor goalscoring effiency, with a bit of luck and if they can finally find the net a bit more often this bet won't be far away at all, a match that I see as a lot closer than this odds suggests. 5/10 Leksand -1.5 @ 1.98 Pinnacle This bet don't need much explanation imo, Leksand simply one level above the other teams in Allsvenskan atm, while Almtuna still struggle to find any kind of form. The only concern I have is if Leksand might take it easy or be too self confident, if not they'll cover this line.
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. |
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