ATP & WTA New Haven & WTA Forest Hills 17th-23rd August

[Mr Intensity]

One week till the US Open

[keliot]

Forest Hills on too. My favourite gal Martina Muller is playing.

[Mr Intensity]

Originally Posted by keliot

Forest Hills on too. My favourite gal Martina Muller is playing.

I'll change the thread title because I know you'll be making a play.

But I bet I don't mention that tournament again

[keliot]

Originally Posted by Mr Intensity

I'll change the thread title because I know you'll be making a play.

Ta, you betcha I'll be making a play. There's only 2 or 3 players on the list I wouldn't trust to batter her 2-0.

No prices yet but at New Haven, I quite fancy Kanepi against Mauresmo and I expect her to be a dog there, not the 3.50 that Dechy was tonight unfortunately but hopefully fair enough value. She's been pretty solid this year and put in some strong performances at the olympics, beating Pennetta and Razzano before losing to the v.impressive Li in 3. Mauresmo's suffering from low confidence and poor form, talking about retirement and so on, and she lost quite easily to the only semi decent opposition she faced at the W&S, so it should be worth taking a talented powerful player like Kanepi here yes.

[keliot]

Kanepi @ 3.50 on boylesports. Very good value imo.

[Mr Intensity]

DANIEL @ 2.83 Pinnacle. Daniel looks worth a shot here. He played pretty well last week pushing Melzer to 8-6 in the first round and the Austrian showed he was playing well later in the week. Here he gets a chance against another lefty and looks a big price. He’s not got much experience on hard courts but has a lot of potential. Gremelmayr had a good week in LA upsetting a couple of big names out of form. He lost tamely to Roddick then similarly against Troicki who showed he was playing well in Washington. I’d rate these guys pretty evenly at the moment and wouldn’t have Daniel above 2.25.

ISNER @ 1.72 Will Hill. The 1.72 available looks reasonable, and I think the Betfair price will settle lower. I think Isner's been playing OK recently, he's certainly picked up the past month. You know how this match will go for him, and I just see him being too solid on serve. Kunitsyn had a good week in Washington, but looking back he seemed quite fortunate. He's not very solid behind his serve, and I think Isner will be able to break him a couple of times. Reasonable price I'd have closer to 1.60.

[keliot]

Kanepi's price has been slashed everywhere.

Cibulkova v Wozniacki will be interesting today. Nothing for me there as it's potentially a pretty close matchup but I lean towards Wozniacki.

[mikho]

any info about Bogomolov game?
local bookie giving massive 3.3 while its 2.79 on betfair

[keliot]

Originally Posted by mikho

any info about Bogomolov game?
local bookie giving massive 3.3 while its 2.79 on betfair

Troicki's coming straight from last night's final in washington and may be carrying an injury. I'd be surprised if he's in any sort of condition to be competitive.

[mikho]

Originally Posted by keliot

Troicki's coming straight from last night's final in washington and may be carrying an injury. I'd be surprised if he's in any sort of condition to be competitive.

i played it for 3.2

hope he does the job

[keliot]

Originally Posted by mikho

i played it for 3.2

hope he does the job

Bad luck mate, Bogomolov should've served out the first but was just too poor. Worth a go though.

[mikho]

Originally Posted by keliot

Bad luck mate, Bogomolov should've served out the first but was just too poor. Worth a go though.

yeah mate. had good chances to win

[keliot]

Cetkovska 2-0 @ 1.72 on paddypower. Not much to say here. Muller struggles against anyone inside the top 250 and apart from a win against the unbackable Bychkova, she has not taken a set off a top 100 player for about a year. As long as there's no messing about, the Czech lady on her favoured surface should give her a reasonably thorough pasting. This being the WTA a 3 setter is always a possibility but 2-0 looks most likely and this is a good price.

[keliot]

Muller won. And Kanepi struggling on serve so far. Heading for a poor day I fear.

[Mr Intensity]

Unlucky mate. Nothing for me again today.

[keliot]

Originally Posted by Mr Intensity

Unlucky mate. Nothing for me again today.

I managed to salvage the day thanks to betfair jiggery pokery. That forest hills tournament is weird.

US Open draw tomorrow. I've taken Rafa @ 2.76 and Del Potro @ 42.00 as outrights so far. De Potro could've done with some stiffer competition in the run up but he needs that rest.

[Mr Intensity]

MAURESMO @ 1.58 Betfair. This is the first time I've backed Mauresmo for a long time, but this price looks reasonable. Szavay is woefully out of form and looks a shadow of the player we saw last year and at the start of this year. She's still been picking up a few wins, but almost exclusively agaisnt very poor opposition then she's been found out against better players. Hr serve isn't working well and she's making a lot of errors. Could say similar things about Mauresmo, although she does seem to be playing better lately. Semi finals last week and a couple of tough wins against Kanepi and Schnyder this week. She's a fighter and can win when not playing well, and I like her in this match up.

CORNET -2.5 @ 1.83 Will Hill. This looks pretty reasonable to me. Hantuchova is on the comeback trail after injury but has struggled to get much going. She hasn't been past the 2nd roud in the 4 previous tournaments she's played starting at Wimbledon and has had some pretty weak losses. She came through a final set tiebreak against Govortsova yesterday but this will be a big step up. Cornet is playing reall well, improving a lot on hard courts and has a couple of decent wins this week over Vaidisova and Srebotnik. She should just be too solid from the back and should break Hantuchova regularly. H2H is 2-0 to Hantuchova both at the Aussie Open but Cornet has improved ramatically since then.

[Tigris]

Could anyone tell me why odds for Bartoli are so high against Wozniacki ?( 3,75 in Pinnacle ) Any significant info ?

[Mr Intensity]

Originally Posted by Tigris

Could anyone tell me why odds for Bartoli are so high against Wozniacki ?( 3,75 in Pinnacle ) Any significant info ?

She's had a poor year - but did hae a couple of decent tournaments in the US in the past 6 weeks. Wozniacki in good form, rising star, and has battered Bartoli twice this year.

Price looks about fair to me.

[Tigris]

Thanks mate , no bet for me too . This is WTA , anything could happen .