Gingers (Flat) Winners 08

[Gingertipster]

2:30 Goodwood
£25 @ 22/1 Shaweel (9% 10/1)
This looks massively over priced. Was held up well off a slowish pace at Newmarket, Firth Of Fifth getting a soft lead and surprising the other jocks when kicking. Stable in excellant form and gets 3lbs from it's old rival.

more to come

Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Lets have another couple of quid on the Major.

3:30 Goodwood (addition)
£2 @ 19/1 Major Cadeaux

[Gingertipster]

2:50 Goodwood (additions)
£36 @ 7.2/1 Lord Shanakil (16% 11/2)
£8 @ 9.5/1 Ryehill Dreamer (12.5% 7/1)
£13 @ 5.4/1 Orizaba (18% 9/2)

5:15 Goodwood
£57 @ 4.6/1 Victoria Sponge (22% 7/2)
£7 @ 8.2/1 Sterling Sound (12.5% 7/1)

5:50 Goodwood
£75 @ 3/1 Firestreak (29% 5/2)

[Gingertipster]

So as to make a profit if just one horse wins: another:

2:50 Goodwood
£2 @ 7.2/1 Lord Shanakil

5:50 Goodwood
£2 @ 3/1 Firestreak

[Gingertipster]

2:50
Was mightily impressed by Orizaba's debut win but was disappointing at Royal Ascot after a slow start. Should get the trip but not certain. Stable in and out of form. Saved on it.
Sayif impressed at Newmarket, possibly still green when second to Classic Blade. Trouble is he's not sure to get the extra furlong, related to a Cornwallis (5f) winner and Chapple-Hym could be in better form.
Westphalia is another one of Coolmoore's which is far too short a price judged on it's form.
Will be interesting to see what they do with Lord Shanakil, drawn on the rail. Usually races prominently at shorter. Bred to get the trip, will they attempt to take on Firth Of Fifth? Argueably has the best form, placed in the Coventry.
Have already said about Shaweel and Firth Of Fifth.

5:15
Victoria Sponge ran well on debut to suggest she's up to winning this. Though I would prefer another furlong, bred to get quite a bit further. Travelled well enough at Windsor at 6f. Trainer is in good form and usually improves them second time up.
Tiger Eye is a big danger judging by reputation and breeding. Stable does well first time out too.
Marcus Treggoning seems to be getting a few winners lately and Sterling Sound could improve because of it, worth a saver.
Mark Johnston and Paul Cole's representitives are worth keeping an eye on in the market.

5:50
Not the best race in the Goodwood Festival but Firestreak is probably the only one capable of improvement so is worth a bet. Much improved since the Queen had him gelded.
Two of his main rivals, We'll Come seems to need everything to go right for him and Flawed Genius may want further nowadays.
Monkey Glas is interesting as he is the likely front runner, sometimes an advantage over Goodwood's seven furlongs.

[Gingertipster]

2:50 Goodwood
£61 @ 4.7/1 Masta Plasta (23.5% 100/30)
£27 @ 10/1 Befourtyfour (12.5% 7/1)
£8 @ 12/1 (bet direct) Crimson Fern (11% 8/1)

3:30 Goodwood
£45 @ 9/1 (Ladbrokes) Mad Rush (15.5% 11/2)
£16 @ 25/1 Regal Flush (8% 12/1)
£7 @ 47/1 Sagara (5% 20/1)
£12 @ 5.8/1 Honolulu (16.5% 5/1)

[Gingertipster]

5:15 Goodwood
£45 @ 7.4/1 High Heeled (16.5% 5/1)
£7 @ 49/1 Miss Sophisticat (5% 20/1)
£10 @ 5.2/1 Brief Candle (18% 9/2)

[Gingertipster]

2:15 Goodwood
£100 @ 2.65/1 Folk Opera (33.5% 2/1)
£12 @ 8.6/1 Queen Of Naples (13.5% 13/2)

[Gingertipster]

Day of near misses, hope for better tomorrow.

2:15 Goodwood
£60 @ 5/1 Tranquil Tiger (20% 4/1)
£20 @ 9/1 Lion Sands (12.5% 7/1)
£10 @ 43/1 Diamond Quest (6% 16/1)

4:05 Goodwood
£42 @ 9.5/1 Rileyskeepingthefaith (14% 6/1)
£45 @ 8.4/1 Total Gallery (15.5% 11/2)
£3 @ 33/1 Smokey Storm (5% 20/1)

[Gingertipster]

5:15 Goodwood
£38 @ 8/1 Cheyanne Star (13% 13/2)
£27 @ 13.5/1 Illusion (10% 9/1)
£25 @ 15.5/1 Royal Confidence (9% 10/1)
£6 @ 17/1 Clifton Dancer (8% 12/1)
£4 @ 43/1 Shabiba (3.5% 28/1)

£27
£20

[Gingertipster]

2:40 Goodwood
£100 @ 9/4 Perfect Stride (34.25% 15/8)
£25 @ 13/1 Atlantic Sport (11.5% 15/2)

3:15 Goodwood
£33 @ 7.4/1 Heaven Sent (15% 11/2)
£35 @ 7/1 Passage Of Time (15% 11/2)
£8 @ 8.8/1 Muthabara (12% 15/2)

[Gingertipster]

3:50 Goodwood
£38 @ 8/1 Prime Defender (13% 13/2)
£13 @ 29/1 Machinist (5.25% 18/1)
£12 @ 33/1 Orpsie Boy (4.75% 20/1)
£5 @ 16/1 Barney McGrew (7.5% 13/1)
£4 @ 20/1 Northern Fling (6.5% 15/1)

4:25 Goodwood
£45 @ 7/1 Full Toss (15.5% 11/2)
£30 @ 1.96/1 Holyrood (35.5% 15/8)
£12 @ 6.6/1 Cloudy Start (15.5% 11/2)

[Gingertipster]

1000 Guineas Ante-Post

£50 @ 10/1 (Paddy Power) Rainbow Viev (17% 5/1)

[Gingertipster]

Mightily impressive in the Sweet Solera despite things not going well for her early. Held up as they went a slow pace and had to be switched around her field. Yet powered 6 lengths clear. Bred to get at least 1m2f but seems to have plenty of speed, pulled a bit here. I believe she is related to Raven's Pass. Stable went close with Infallible this season. Although today was on soft and debut on good, has a fluent action and her mostly American pedigree suggests she will be equally effective on a firm surface.

Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Am going to Salisbury today, but can not give any selections as the going could be anything from good to heavy.

Ginge

[Gingertipster]

3:40 Salisbury
£68 @ 9/2 (WH) Hepburn Bell (21% 4\1)
£9 @ 8/1 Sea Chorus (13% 13/2)

4:15 Salisbury
£100 @ 3/1 Third Set (28.5% 5/2)
£20 @ 6/1 Ordnance Row (16.5% 5/1)
£15 @ 8/1 Laa Rayb (14% 6/1)

[Gingertipster]

I see 7/1 is the price now for Laa Rayb so will call it 7/1 not 8/1.

[Gingertipster]

3:40
Miss Rochester has the best chance but seems to be very short judged on it's form. And not sure to go on the ground either.
There are other progressive types in the field too. Hepburn Hill has looked to be crying out for the step up in trip. Finishing well in her races. Not raced on soft since debut but is worth chancing at the price.
Sea Chorus raced fairly prominently last time and in a race where there does not look much pace around, may be at an advantage if doing the same again.
Shimoni ran very well first time for Mr. Moore last time but may be flattered. Came from off a strong pace. Unlikely here.
Moon Sister could improve, but although from the family of Pentire is by Champion Sprinter Cadeaux Genereaux, so may not stay the trip on this ground.


4:15
If there is one that will go on to Group 1 honours it is Third Set. Did well for Godolphin in Dubai. If equally effective on soft will take some beating.
Laa Rayb is still on the up, may struggle on the ground but worth a saver at the price.
Ordnance Row is consistent and acts very well on the going. Has not been on it for a while and was considered best on soft earlier in his carreer.
Redford is a danger but may not get the truly run race he needs.
Redolent is the one likely to set the pace and his chance depends on getting a soft lead. Very possible as the only other likely prominent runner is the stable companion. Unless Laa Rayb goes back to those tactics after improving when held up last time.

Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Sorry, forgot to put these up.

2:40 Newbury
£60 @ 9\2 Donegal (21% 4\1)
£37 @ 8\1 Peppertree Lane (14% 6\1)
£15 @ 15\2 Eastern Anthem (13% 13\2)
£15 @ 15\2 Lion Sands (13% 13\2)

3:15 Newbury
£17 each way @ 11\1 Il Warrd (13% 13\2)

No time for analysis, sorry. Got to get off to Newbury.
Bye
Ginge

[Gingertipster]

1:45 Newbury
£15 each way @ 16\1 (paddy Power) Saxford (8% 12/1)
£45 @ 5\2 (paddy Power) Marine Boy (32% 85/40)