Gingers (Flat) Winners 08

[Gingertipster]

2:40 York
£25 @ 0.7/1 Twice Over (62% 8/13)
The saver bet comes first.

[Gingertipster]

2:40 York Cotd.
£17 @ 13.5/1 McCartney (11% 8/1)

[Gingertipster]

1:40 York cotd.
Saver
£10 @ 7.4/1 Green Park (14% 6/1)

[Gingertipster]

3:10 York
£20 each way @ 8/1 (paddy Power) Mia's Boy (14% 6/1)

[Gingertipster]

3:10 Contd.
£20 @ 9/1 (Paddy Power) Annemasse (12.5% 7/1)

[Gingertipster]

Might be one or two bets to come in the morning for Salisbury, if I can predict what the going will be.

[Gingertipster]

Sorry no analysis for yesterday, late decision to go to Salisbury.
Won't have much time today either, going to Newbury.

2:20 Newbury
£40 @ 6.2/1 Skadrack (20% 4/1)
£25 @ 1.68/1 Tajdeef (42% 11/8)
Form of the Chapple-Hym yard make these two must bets.

2:50 Newbury
£30 @ 11/1 (Paddy Power) Ada River (13% 13/2)
£18 @ 1.94/1 Kotsi (38% 13/8)
Kotsi has by far the best form and could well improve more. But trainer is not in great form and being first time out is a worry. Not so much of a worry as the one with the second best form Rosa Grace who may not stay anyway. Clowrance is too short in the market. Ada River is a half sister to Don't Dili Dali, progresive already and should improve at the trip.

[Gingertipster]

2:40 York
£72 @ 100/30 Royal And Regal (26.5% 11/4)
If this horse runs will be able to get a soft lead. Every other runner is usually held up off the pace. Will need watering / rain to run.

[Gingertipster]

Hope to put a bet up for the 4:30 Newbury (poor liquidity at the moment) in the morning but may not get the time.

[Gingertipster]

2:40 York contd.
£5 @ 18/1 Samuel (6.75% 14/1)

[Gingertipster]

Suffered from seconditus today.


The amount of rain is going to have a big effect on who will be value. The central south (west berks) looks as though it might miss most of the rain. No bets tonight and may not have time in the morning.

Ginge

[Gingertipster]

1:35 Newbury
£66 @ 3.7/1 Art Trend (25% 3/1)

2:10 Newbury
£72 @ 100/30 Tranquil Tiger (26.5% 11/4)

2:45 Newbury
£44 @ 6/1 Creachadoir (18% 9/2)
£16 @ 16.5/1 Majestic Roi (8% 12/1)
£9 @ 45/1 Arabian Gleam (4.25% 22/1)

5:00 Newbury
44 @ 11/2 (Paddy Power) Crazy About You (18% 9/2)

5:35 Newbury
£133 @ 1.9/1 Aqlaam (40% 6/4)

Sorry no time today for analysis.

[Gingertipster]

Originally Posted by Gingertipster

1:35 Newbury
£66 @ 3.7/1 Art Trend (25% 3/1)

2:10 Newbury
£72 @ 100/30 Tranquil Tiger (26.5% 11/4) 1st

2:45 Newbury
£44 @ 6/1 Creachadoir (18% 9/2) 1st
£16 @ 16.5/1 Majestic Roi (8% 12/1)
£9 @ 45/1 Arabian Gleam (4.25% 22/1)

5:00 Newbury
44 @ 11/2 (Paddy Power) Crazy About You (18% 9/2)

5:35 Newbury
£133 @ 1.9/1 Aqlaam (40% 6/4) 1st

Sorry no time today for analysis.

After a day of seconditus it is nice to get the winners flowing again. Thought I was losing tha knack.

Next bets probably for Goodwood

[BillyHills]

Nice treble Ginge, couple of cracking prices too!

Well done

[Gingertipster]

2:50 Goodwood
£57 @ 8.2/1 Top Lock (22% 7/2)

3:25 Goodwood
£50 @ 5/1 Hatton Flight (20% 4/1)

4:00 Goodwood
£33 @ 7.2/1 Michita (14% 6/1)
£35 @ 4/1 Rossleen (23% 100/30)

5:45 Goodwood
£40 @ 7.4/1 Young Bertie (16.75% 5/1)
£25 @ 7/1 Nortern Spy (15% 11/2)

[Gingertipster]

2:50
Top Lock did not finish far behind Whistledownthewind last time. Both can improve. Yet Whistle.. is bred to be a miler and Top.. is by Nayef. Should be suited by the increased test of stamina here particularly if it is a stronger pace than the Classic trial. Whistle deserves to be favourite but not that short.
Savarain could be a danger but needs to improve and is too short. City Leader was disappointing on reappearance.

4:00
Celtic Slipper is fav but reappears here and needed her first start as a 2yo.
Michita needed her reappearance and that was over 7f. Bred for this trip (American pedigree).
Rossleen runs as though will stay, staying on well at a mile on soft last time. If equally effective on this different surface can go close.
Rosa Grace has good form but trainer has a poor record with his three year olds first time up.
Don't Forget Faith appeared not to stay 10f last time and seems exposed.

[Gingertipster]

3:25 Goodwood additions
Oops! Hattan Fligt has gone for a walk, let's help bring him home.
£10 @ 10/1 Hattan Flight
£13 @ 5.6/1 Royal Jasra (18% 9/2)
£10 @ 7.6/1 Potentaile (13% 13/2)

2:50 Goodwood additions
£3 @ 20/1 Siberian Tiger (7% 14/1)

5:45 Goodwood addition
£17 @ 4/1 Formax (22.5% 7/2)

[Gingertipster]

It looks like Hatton Flight went directly from around 11/2 to 10/1 so whether he has had an injury scare or something, does seem odd. May be he is a doubtful runner.

Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Another good day with two good priced winners.

Now for another.

2:50 Goodwood
£40 @ 6.4/1 Spice Route (16.5% 5/1)
£16 @ 9/1 Sweet Lily (12.5% 7/1)

Sixties Icon is worth apposing at odds on over this trip, particularly as there seems a risk of a slow pace. Blue Ksar may be able to dictate but he has not looked entirely genuine and may be at his very best on softer.
Spice Route ran a good race last time despite being held up in a slow run race. Hopefully he will be more handy today.
Sweet Lily is not straightforeward either, flashes tail and has a poor win / run ratio. Should not be good enough. However, if it turns in to a sprint she might have the best turn of foot.

Ginge

[Gingertipster]

2:15 Goodwood
£50 @ 5.6/1 Rio Royale (20% 4/1)
£25 @ 6.2/1 Burning Flute (17% 5/1)

Taking a chance on the poor liquidity, but these two look overpriced in this maiden. Rio Royale ran well here last time and trainers two year olds usually come on a good deal for the run. Something that can also be said about Brian Meehan's two year olds. Burning Flute showed an encouraging amount of form fist time at Bath.
Indian Art is the obvious danger with Channon's In Transit to a lesser degree.

May come back in the morning if I have the time. Going again to Goodwood.

Ginge