Flat Rat 2008

[TheRat]

Originally Posted by mileni4uk

Muy bien hecho, amigo

Gracias
Muy bien Espanol

[mileni4uk]

I am going out with a spanish girl currently, that's all

[TheRat]

16.40 - Goodwood - Tawaash EW (10/1 Ladbrokes, 4 places 1/4 odds)
Backed this horse when winning well in a maiden at Lingfield in this thread and have been keepeing an eye on since. Always though could run well at this level and today has conditions in place to run well.
Trainer on form, has ideal draw and runs on the ground. Also think 7F is ideal. Won 2/3 at 7F and ran well LTO in a big field class 2 handicap to place in third.The run before that saw him run in 10th in a group 3 race, but was not too far off the pace and was respectable. One of only 2 horses in the field to have a group entry and I expect a bold show from the high draw.

[TheRat]

No good. 11th. Pretty disappointing to be honest.

Bets - 40
Won - 9
Placed - 6
Lost - 25
Profit/Loss - +258.73pts
Bank - 508.72pts

[TheRat]

14.15 - Goodwood Tranquil Tiger EW (6.00 Win Betfair and 2.08 to place, 3 places)
Competitive race this but I am siding with EW chance Tranquil Tiger who is the top rated horse in the race.
Been mega-consistant thi season and won teo listed races in that, as well as a decent 4th in a group 2. Was touched off just by Lion Sands LTO, but blinkered this time and may play into his hands, as has bags of ability and speed but ssometimes can't finish the job. I believe the stat for first time blinkers is not the best but could work on a horse like TT. A few dangers imo in the Lion Sands, Sixties Icon and Stotsfold. A key stat here is every race including 4 year olds has been one by one. Was tempted to bet on Lion Sands EW too at 10/1 but decided against it, hopefully won't bite me in the ass!

15.30 - Goodwood - Regal Parade EW (22.00 Betfair Win, 5.2 place, 4 places)
Won me some money two runs ago at Ascot when I tipped up at 50/1 and going to show faith again at a big price.
Still on same mark as LTO, and been running very well this season in some big handicaps. Higher stalls a clear advantage but has been won from stall 8. Once again 4 yr olds have a good record too and with his exerience in these big fields and knack to get ahead is a big bet yet again. 7F may be the ideal trip, but has ran well at a mile and not worried about the trip.
I do like the favourite in this, and fave has a decent record here, but this is a bigger price

17.15 - Goodwood - Clifton Dancer EW (16/1 Ladbrokes, 3 to place)
Again, competitive. Horse has really been in form winning last two and trainer is confident of a good run again. He has also been in the winners himself.
Last run was excellent, winning in listed company and the second in that race has gone on to win a class 2 race. Conditions will suit, and distance is fine. I expect a bold show at a big price, although as I said a few in with a shout, although some with questionable penalties.

[TheRat]

Awful, Awful day

Bets - 43
Won - 9
Placed - 6
Lost - 28
Profit/Loss - +228.73pts
Bank - 478.72pts

[TheRat]

Just one for the day, have other fancies but just some doubts in the back of my mind

17.00 - Goodwood - Tishtar WIN (4.4 Betfair)
Does have top weight but this mark may not be right. Won very well LTO and looked progressive enough. Only horse in the field to have Group 1 entries and could be destined for much better things. Stable does well in this race too.
Was third first time up in a good maiden at 6F before winning at 5F LTO. Was also withdroawn from a listed race. Looks to have quality and should take the beating here.

[TheRat]

No good again, but up for Goodwood on the whole thanks to one big priced winner. So fairly pleased

Bets - 44
Won - 9
Placed - 6
Lost - 29
Profit/Loss - +218.73pts
Bank - 468.72pts

[TheRat]

Putting this one up early

2.35 - Haydock - Smokey Oakey WIN (4.6 Betfair)
Like the look of this with the Gd-Soft ground and more rain forecast which will be a bonus.
Only two 4 yr olds in the race and last ten years have only seen 3 and 4 year old winners. Progressive horse too and has some decent form, winning well LTO at Sandown on soft. Was 6/8 before that in a class one and was seen winning a class 2 race the time before. Conditions will suit here and most are opposable with give in the ground. Distance not a problem. Tainer and jock have very good record on 4yr old plus too and just looks an excellent bet to me.

Maybe more to follow......

[TheRat]

Very surprised. Not that Multidimensional won, but wasn't even in the top 4! One of those that looked great to me and everything seemed to be in his favour.....

Bets - 45
Won - 9
Placed - 6
Lost - 30
Profit/Loss - +208.73pts
Bank - 458.72pts