Best Bet Of The Day 1st July

[chris34]

Another month rolls in and thankyou again for all BH's hard work in organising it!

Good luck everyone!

8.50 Kempton
Good buy dubai is the only CD winner in this contest let alone the alone the only course winner which I feel is important round kempton. Last time he visited here he won off a mark of 59 only 1lb higher and Catlin taking the ride!

0.5pt e/w good buy dubai

[mowgli77]

Maid Of Stone 7.20 Kempton (EW)
4th on debut behind Flame Of Gibraltar which went on to finish 2nd in a Gp2 at Royal Ascot. Looked green on debut and should have come on for that experience. Looks value against the 2 short priced horses and drawn well.

[Spooner]

Perth 16:20 - Crozan 0.5pts (Each-Way)

Sue Smith runs two here in Crozan and Mill Side and Crozan got the better of the two when they last met at Carlisle, the selection was 3rd that day. His career started with promise under Nicky Henderson when winning a novice chase by seven lengths against the likes of Lough Derg, Exotic Dancer & Garden Champetre but since then has never won a race, he joined Sue Smith's stable towards the end of last year and he ran in the Great Yorkshire in January this year up when finishing 7th. He has since been running in a few easier races and form is picking up whilst still sliding down the handicap, he steps back to three miles here after running over three mile four at Statford, stable have not had much to shout about this year with only two winners in 60 runs but I fancy this one to go well for them this afternoon.

[BH]

240 Worcester; Converti EW

Ring For Time is heading the market, showed nothing in similar races but then improved in handicaps so has to prove he can go well here. Newsday and Converti carry penalties, I think Converti has the most solid form. His second at Towcester showed he wanted a real test of stamina and then out battled Khumbi last time over this trip, nothing special but if any of the others have any doubts about the trip Converti will find them out. Was 10/1 earlier and anything like that is a fair price. Jonjo has On You Go wich hasnt showed anything for a couple of years and maybe best watched.

[Sandgrounder]

Perth to-day lookes like an Irish meeing, I'm taking a chance with one in the 2.20.Loughaderra Dame.[Ew] at 6-1 at the moment Ew lookes the best opsion. finish 3rd. in a handicap last time. W Burke the trainer had 2 winners at Stratford on Tuesday.

[cc75]

Perth 4.20
No Complaint
0.5pts each way

Tom George a rare visitor to Perth but think he has brought one up with a fair chance today at a decent price. Only 3lbs higher than last win when convincing victor over 2m7f at Market Rasen last July. Should strip fitter for slightly disappointing reappearance run over inadequate trip LTO and with Sam Thomas up to take the ride looks a little overpriced at current 14/1.

[Anita Kokinme]

8.10 Chepstow - Bolton Hall (win)

The selection has dropped to a career low mark of 50, and comes into this race on the back of a consistent run of his best ever hurdles performances including a win off 96 over 22f at Newton Abbot. He's ran 5 good races over hurdles this spring, with just his lto PU effort disappointing. He's won off higher marks than this in the past on the level - 72 being a career high win - prefers the ground being firmer than good, and has won in as high as a Class 2 race in his prime. Whilst acknowledging he is well below that prime now, I nonetheless think he has his chance off this mark tonight.

[skylark2009]

9.10 Chepstow ( Sorry BH)

Just Jimmy 0.5pts E/W

He is running ahead of a 4lb raise for his 2nd LTO here at Chepstow, He has won off of a rating of 49 before and is rated 50 today. He has a high draw which may assist his chances today. The overall conditions (distance, course, class, going etc) seem to be ok for him to run well again today.

[palaceman]

3:30 Catterick. Summer Dancer. 1 point LAY

This horse hadn't won for 2 years until winning at Musselburgh recently, and he followed that up just four days later with another good win at Beverley. Before these successes he had slipped down the weights, which of course helped him when he recaptured some form. However, as a result of those victories he has gone up 12lbs in total, and is now racing off a mark that is higher than he's ever won on.

This is a pretty competitive handicap today, and I can see that weight being significant with higher class of opponents than he has seen off in those two wins.

[Lucky-15]

Catterrick 17.00

Bijou Dan gets the nod for me, won around here off 62 in may and seems to make some of his best runs round here with his last four being placed winning twice.
Dropped back in trip but that shouldn't be a problem as he's got form from 7f all the way up to 16f, running off 63 today with the same jockey and going as his last victory he should be in the running for this.

1pt win
Cheers for a great comp BH

[Trendsman]

DUNE RAIDER

Worcester

15.40 Grandstand Value Package For Group Bookings Selling Hurdle (Class 5) (4YO plus)

The Kingmambo gelding has not been seen on a course for 14 months and first time in a seller this afternoon Was last seen winning at Leicester back in 2007 over two and a half miles when off this mark in Handicap company, but that was a chase, diverts back to hurdling today.

Once trained by Kevin Ryan on the level and had a fair rating of 84, was a three time winner from ten starts over hurdles in his early career off a rough guide rating of at least 6lb higher than today.

Dicky Johnson rides this afternoon who has ridden 92 winners here at Worcester in his career with a break down of 17.97% and Johnson is taking his only second mount for the trainer today with a 100% record intact.

[Ebor]

3.00 Catterick

I think Nuit Sombre could go well fresh if doesn't get into a duel up front with Bold Marc. Last win was recorded over today's conditions (ground, dist, grade) and jockey obviously gets on extremely well with the animal.

Nuit Sombre - 0.5pts E/W @ 19.5/4.50

[wizzkid walter]

2.30 Catterick

Contract Caterer - back

Has some of the strongest form in this maiden and was only narrowly beaten last time out, so could make amends here and win at the third time of asking.

[fintron]

9.10 Chepstow

This six furlong sprint looks wide open and after Cheap Street and Minnola were pulled out this morning, fifteen will now face the starter. However, they are betting 5/1 the field and nothing appears standout. Paul Doe's mount Just Jimmy heads the market and is a course and distance winner. He was a close second in this grade over course and distance last time out for David Evans and infact drops in grade to figure here, however, he is the lowest rated runner in the field and may potentially be outclassed by one from further up the handicap. Bobhoe and Plumage share second favourtism at 7/1 but neither looks bombproof even if their positions towards the head of the market are understandable. Bobhoe won on fast ground at Salisbury last time out and has been raised just 2 lbs for that win. Dropping in grade he appears one of the more likely ones, whilst Plumage remains a thirteen race maiden but does have bits and pieces of placed form to hint a small handicap may be waiting for her at some point. However, the one that takes my fancy at the prices is Stuart Kittow's Desert Pride, a 14/1 shot with Sporting Bet. The yard have had a couple of decent priced winners in the past fortnight and have a super record at this track in recent seasons. Add to that the fact the top course jockey (Fergus Sweeney) is on top and already you could make a case for the horse even without going any further, however, when you do, the bet looks even more tempting. Last time out Desert Pride ran over course and distance and finished a respectable third to Cape Melody and Alisa Craig. Beaten by little over one and a half lengths, the gelding edged right inside the final furlong but hopefully the visor that is applied tonight can act as a corrective measure. The form of that race is working out respectably as the second and fourth were both tight seconds next time out in class 5 handicaps, whilst Desert Pride infact drops down to class 6 (0-65 level) here. He runs on the same ground, off the same mark, and hopefully the headgear can make all the difference.

1 pt win

[StuSimmy]

16.40 Worcester - Tarsus

This horse is a very consistent performer with its last 6 outings reading 2211-32. Very impressive in my opinion. Shouldn't have a problem with the going either. Dan Ryan who I was on LTO didn't win too convincingly and wasn't an easy ride for Scudamore so I fancy Tarsus to get his head in front today.

[Ebor]

Originally Posted by Ebor337

3.00 Catterick

I think Nuit Sombre could go well fresh if doesn't get into a duel up front with Bold Marc. Last win was recorded over today's conditions (ground, dist, grade) and jockey obviously gets on extremely well with the animal.

Nuit Sombre - 0.5pts E/W @ 19.5/4.50

Meant to say 3.30, sorry BH!

[Falbrav]

HARCAS 5.00 Catterick.

0.5 points each way.

The ground today doesn't suit everybody, but it suits us and although we need to step up a little on all known recent form, we should be able to get the run of the race and also get in this race off an attractive looking mark of 57. The trip's not a concern, so if he can muster up his ability, then there's no reason why he shouldn't go close at decent enough odds.

[Verisimilitude]

LADY JINKS 8.10 Kempton. 0.5 points each way.

Holds her form better than most and the trip and quick ground wouldn't be a problem. I'm a little worried about the pace of the race going against us, but there's cause for thinking she will be able to go her clip and then she should be able to get fully involved off a dropped mark of 51.

[Rainbow]

addiena 840 chep. 0.5 pts ew. seems to have been running over inadequate trips recently and on ground that didnt seem ideal. returns to a better trip and on ground that suits better this evening. drops to a mark of 63 (4lb lower than recently) and so can run a big race.

[RussP]

8.10 Chepstow
4 NR's but still a decent sized field for this 1m4f handicap. In search of a value price, I'm on:
Lady Jinks (11/1 SportingBet) - As short as 7's elsewhere, this looks way overpriced. On recent form, this horse should go well and has the assistance of stronger handling tonight, something this quirky horse should benefit from. Off a nice mark of just 51, that in spite of a staying on 2nd 2 starts ago off 1lb higher. The longer straight at Chepstow will suit too as it takes the horse a while to hit top gear. Trip & track look right, goes well on the ground and, with a lack of major players here, I expect a big run.
EW