For Me only one team really good bet ! ENGLAND let 1 ball !
Why ??? "Because of Capello ! I knew him well since Milan became "Dream Team". His father was a soldier in World War II for Italy under Musolini. His adapted the father mental and dicipline. I can say CAPELLO is "Mr. Perfecto " . No matter how team play bad or good only one thing in his mind to WIN the match !
With first time coach England and first game, I don't see Capello gonna play safe here. No draw or lose, Only Win in his mind. Believe me, Capello is the right man on the right place.
So
ENGLAND - 1 for me ! 
Notes : " CAPELLO not like KEVIN KEEGAN. KING KEV IS KING CLOWN, and CAPELLO really the EMPEROR ! ROME EMPEROR ! "