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Old 04-02-2008, 09:51   #47 (permalink)
lunatism
...a little crazy
 
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Join Date: 21 Jul 2006
Location: Wolverhampton, UK
Age: 21
Posts: 659
Soccer 03-02-08 (summary)

Right - summary for yesterday, in short.....disappointing! Inter could only scrape a 1 nil win (did the red card affect that? i don't know.....), Juve drew (i watched that one....lacked any creativity going forward), and my two from the Spanish Tercera both lost! That means that the day saw a 25% strike rate, and that both yield shrink and the "orange selections" have tasted their first "defeats". But no worries I'll be looking over the ratings and the accompanying data to see if there was any way in which I could have forseen these results

Results below:

DATELEAGUEFIXTUREREAL RESULTCORRECT SCORE?CORRECT WINNER?RETURN
03/02/08Italian Serie AInter Milan vEmpoli FC 1 - 0---YES10.41
03/02/08Italian Serie AJuventus Football Club S.p.A. vCagliari Calcio 1 - 1------0.00
03/02/08Spanish Tercera Division - Group 9 (Andalucía Oriental y Melilla)CD Roquetas vUD Almeria II 2 - 4------0.00
03/02/08Spanish Tercera Division - Group 17 (Aragón)CD Sariñena vSD Ejea 0 - 1------0.00


and the stats:

STARTING BANK100.00
CURENT BANK92.62
TOTAL STAKED165.70
NUMBER OF BETS25
WINNING BETS17
LOSING BETS8
STRIKE RATE68.00%
YIELD-4%
PROFIT / LOSS-7.38
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS1.44
CORRECT SCORE12% (3/26)
CORRECT MARGIN12% (3/26)
WINNING AT HALF TIME61% (11/18)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME33% (6/18)
LOSING AT HALF TIME6% (1/18)
HOME PERFORMANCE70% (16/23)
AWAY PERFORMANCE50% (1/2)


STARTING BANK100.00
CURENT BANK109.26
TOTAL STAKED95.02
NUMBER OF BETS14
WINNING BETS12
LOSING BETS2
STRIKE RATE85.71%
YIELD10%
PROFIT / LOSS9.26
ADDITIONAL STATS
AVERAGE ODDS1.35
CORRECT SCORE14% (2/14)
CORRECT MARGIN14% (2/14)
WINNING AT HALF TIME67% (6/9)
DRAWING AT HALF TIME33% (3/9)
LOSING AT HALF TIME0% (0/9)
HOME PERFORMANCE85% (11/13)
AWAY PERFORMANCE100% (1/1)


There won't be any selections until Saturday - looks like quite a few present (although things can change of course). I'm still grappling with the idea of going full AH (or something along those lines), for no matter how good a strike rate, if the odds are consistently low - how many losses could be sustained?!!

IMO - the "orange selections" still appear to be the way to go. but next weekend should help decide on that point - the majority of selections come recommended by those ratings.

.......so see you all next friday
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lunatism [loo-na-ti-zam]: common sense, local lore & statisticus
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