[Postiga]

Originally Posted by meatman

Egypt -1 @ 2.0 Canbet 6/10

To be honest I’m quite stunned to find only a -1 AH line on Egypt today and it deserves to be much more IMO. Ok lets start with the negatives - they don’t have to win the game but they also cant afford to be fiddling around with a draw in case of a danger of small defeat. Egypt are expected to be at full strength for the match, and although I’d imagine some of the players wont be as bothered today, the North Africans appear to me like a team who needs to keep up their momentum. Any poor performance or result here could affect their rhythm so I expect them to pretty much ‘go for the win’ Zambia also must realistically win this match to stand any chance of qualification, but there is a clear class difference between these 2 sides.

Zambia have some decent pace in attack, but aren’t the best of finishers and tend to have a lot of efforts going way off target. Egypt have proven to be clinical, fast and skilful in attack so far, and their frontline should be ideal to break down a weak Zambian defence which has made a lot of errors in this tournament. The only danger like I said is that Egypt don’t ‘have’ to win but I see no real reason why they shouldn’t get 3 points and get them fairly easily. The -1AH is far too generous by bookies and I don’t know why they continue to overestimate Zambia? Nothing against them personally, but they are certainly nothing special. In what has, and will continue to be a tough round of final matches, this bet looks by far the best IMO and hopefully will win.

Good call...

Egypt half time full time is evens with Ladbrokes, Quite fancy that also.