The Punters Lounge - The World's Best Betting Forum - View Single Post - Africa Cup of Nations - matches 28/1

nicko · 28-01-2008, 14:16

Ghana needs to top the group if they want to avoid Ivory Coast next, so they need at least a draw. Morocco are good team and they could surprise, but that will be hard vs extremely cautious hosts. If I understood the rules right and if Morocco wins and Guinea wins, there will be 3 teams with 6 points. What counts first is the H2H and goal difference in H2H. This way Morocco will have advantage over Ghana, Guinea will have advantage over Morocco, and Ghana - over Guinea. In such case total goal difference should decide if I got this one right. Now, suppose Guinea gets a convincing win over Namibia ( and Morocco wins ), Ghana should be out ?!?
Please correct me if I am wrong.....
Because if I am not then Ghana tonight is going out not to lose, Morocco - to win and Guinea to win. All analysis should start with this in mind. I do not involve Namibia here as from what I have seen they are poor - a good defensive game vs the hosts certainly doesn't make them contenders for second spot - on top of defending they also need to score and not just once. Namibia -1 EH ???? Now that will be the end of my betting posts with reasoning, I will only stick to the weekend bets thread....

28-01-2008, 14:16	#11 (permalink)
nicko Legendary Punter Join Date: 23 Oct 2007 Posts: 1,432	Re: Africa Cup of Nations - matches 28/1 - 31/1 Ghana needs to top the group if they want to avoid Ivory Coast next, so they need at least a draw. Morocco are good team and they could surprise, but that will be hard vs extremely cautious hosts. If I understood the rules right and if Morocco wins and Guinea wins, there will be 3 teams with 6 points. What counts first is the H2H and goal difference in H2H. This way Morocco will have advantage over Ghana, Guinea will have advantage over Morocco, and Ghana - over Guinea. In such case total goal difference should decide if I got this one right. Now, suppose Guinea gets a convincing win over Namibia ( and Morocco wins ), Ghana should be out ?!? Please correct me if I am wrong..... Because if I am not then Ghana tonight is going out not to lose, Morocco - to win and Guinea to win. All analysis should start with this in mind. I do not involve Namibia here as from what I have seen they are poor - a good defensive game vs the hosts certainly doesn't make them contenders for second spot - on top of defending they also need to score and not just once. Namibia -1 EH ???? Now that will be the end of my betting posts with reasoning, I will only stick to the weekend bets thread....